weatherfide

Where can you go to get all of them? WeatherBell?

Interesting. I have pivotal access, too, and saw that image, but I'm not sure how it's deriving it. It might be all sleet and freezing rain in southern AL and SW GA.

I'm looking at the College of DuPage GEFS individual members and I'm not seeing the same results that you mention. Really not much showing up for the deep south at all. What source are you using for the GEFS member outputs?

GFS is world's different than ICON and GDPS. It looks like late March for most of the country. No cold, no ridge out west. If it's right, winter was indeed over last week.

I really want to see the snowfall mean start to improve in GA, SC and NC on the EPS. We are entering the target zone and outside of a few big hitters, there aren't many members with snowfall outside of the mountains. The 12Z 2/7/2024 CMCE and GEFS were even worse than the EPS. II r

Out to 240 hours or so on the GEFS. No individual members with snow in the southeast. I'll check in again tomorrow, but this is not encouraging if you want snow in the southeast.

That potential storm is well out in fantasy land. I'm waiting on the GEFS for some ideas, though the last few runs of the GEFS haven't had many members with much snowfall in the southeast. Usually the means have been skewed by one or two big snow outputs.

Plus I really miss the dancing blue blob!

Started out at 31.1 at my house this morning. Abundant frost. With the outlook continuing to present cold opportunities, this should help keep vulnerable plants asleep a little while longer in to Spring.

I think I'm coming back to Americanwx for awhile. Southernwx is getting weird, all high on hopium and not really grasping reality.

Reached 39.7 here. Already below freezing at 31.1 and falling like a rock. No wind tonight. It's gonna be another cold one!

I thought only the far northwest part of GA was really in play from the start? There was a run or two from the GFS showing some snow further south but it was pretty lonely on that hill.

I have 50 degrees and cloudy. Dewpoint is 44. If we get a little precipitation before the main line, it might drop down a bit more.

Looking at the winter outlooks, it would seem that this pattern will repeat with quite a bit of frequency this winter. I'm betting I can get by with one tank of propane, so there is a silver lining.

Yeah, I don’t get that, either. They should have pulled the trigger.

06Z 2/14/2019 guidance from the ICON and GFS suggest the heaviest axis of rain will be north of Atlanta. 0Z CMC was also north of Atlanta with the heaviest precip. This seems to suggest the affects on Atlanta will be marginal. Would you agree? Also, what mechanisms would be in play to drop the axis south? It seems to me that the SE ridge is depicted as strengthening through day 10. Wouldn't this push the best lift north as well? I'm thinking mild to warm with maybe up to an 1" of rain for Atlanta would be realistic in that scenario.

I hate back-loaded winters. I rather have no winter.

This is a true statement. They should have been much more cautious. Snow is extremely rare at this latitude on the earth. If there is any disagreement in modeling, go with the Euro!!!