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December warm NOT White


PB GFI

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You have to wonder what caused the weeklies to have such a big miss week 4 with the 

North Pacific pattern. That trough digging into Western North America really surprised

the model. It did really well with the Pacific last winter, but this El Nino really threw

it a curve ball in December.

 

http://www.kptv.com/link/492613/fox-12-weather-blog

 

 

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(11x8.3) + (8x16) = 91+128 = 219 deg. deficit for month as of morning of the 20th.) if GFSx is about right with the next 8 days.   We need a deficit of just about 210  (6.7x31)to become warmest ever Dec.   Therefore the last 11 days of month would have to average slightly below normal  [say 9/11 of a degree]   to prevent this outcome.

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The only days that will actually feel like December will be 19-20th and even then it'll only be near normal. After that it's off to the races yet again.

Just spectacular warmth that'll crush 2001 to take the top spot, which I didn't think was possible so quickly.

Yep.  The 72 hr. period 12/19-21 should stay within 29-43degs.   Then we go right back to LOWS in the 50's after X-Mas.

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The only days that will actually feel like December will be 19-20th and even then it'll only be near normal. After that it's off to the races yet again.

Just spectacular warmth that'll crush 2001 to take the top spot, which I didn't think was possible so quickly.

Yeah, that's probably the only time cold weather enthusiasts will really get a chance to enjoy some seasonable weather this month. Really been an incredible stretch.

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RECORD EVENT REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1105 AM EST SAT DEC 12 2015

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT ISLIP NY...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 66 DEGREES WAS SET AT ISLIP NY

TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 60 SET IN 2008.

AN UPDATE TO THIS RECORD WILL BE ISSUED IF THE TEMPERATURE EXCEEDS

66 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

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RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1109 AM EST SAT DEC 12 2015

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT KENNEDY NY ...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 62 DEGREES WAS SET AT KENNEDY NY TODAY.

THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 59 SET IN 1953.

AN UPDATE TO THIS RECORD WILL BE ISSUED IF THE TEMPERATURE EXCEEDS

62 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

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RECORD EVENT REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1112 AM EST SAT DEC 12 2015

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT LAGUARDIA NY...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 64 DEGREES WAS SET AT LAGUARDIA NY

TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 62 SET IN 1983.

AN UPDATE TO THIS RECORD WILL BE ISSUED IF THE TEMPERATURE EXCEEDS

64 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

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RECORD EVENT REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1003 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2015

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM LOW TEMPERATURE FOR DECEMBER 10TH TIED AT

NEWARK NJ...

A RECORD MAXIMUM LOW TEMPERATURE OF 48 DEGREES WAS SET AT NEWARK NJ

YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 48 LAST SET IN 1966.

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RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1117 AM EST

SAT DEC 12 2015

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT BRIDGEPORT CT...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 60 DEGREES WAS SET AT BRIDGEPORT CT

TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 58 SET IN 2008.

AN UPDATE TO THIS RECORD WILL BE ISSUED IF THE TEMPERATURE EXCEEDS

60 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

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