donsutherland1 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Through 3 pm, some local records: Highest maximum temperature for 12/12: Bridgeport: 60° (old record: 58°, 2008) Islip: 68° (old record: 60°, 2008) New York City: JFK: 64° (old record: 59°, 1983) LGA: 65° (old record: 62°, 1983) White Plains: 65° (old record: 63°, 1971) Highest minimum temperature for 12/12: Islip: 45° (old record: 42°, 1984) New York City: JFK: 49° (tied record: 49°, 1959) LGA: 53° (old record: 47°, 1956) White Plains: 45° (old record: 44°, 1956) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 The nightmare continues... After today's 66° high temperature, New York City has a monthly temperature anomaly of 9.4° above normal. Wasn't Sunday supposed to be the warmest day? Do you feel it still will be because forecasts trimmed highs a couple degrees (mid 60's) and call for mostly cloudy skies tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Wasn't Sunday supposed to be the warmest day? Do you feel it still will be because forecasts trimmed highs a couple degrees (mid 60's) and call for mostly cloudy skies tomorrow. It may fall short of today's readings by a degree or two unless there is a little sunshine. Central Park may have a shot, as the low probably will be very close to 60°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 +23 on the day for NYC. Highest December daily departure in NYC since the +30 on 12/22/13. TEMPERATURE (F)TODAYMAXIMUM 66 1253 PM 68 1931 44 22 MINIMUM 55 648 AM 5 1988 33 22AVERAGE 61 38 23 12/22/13 71 61 66 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 64 NYC: 66 EWR: 65 LGA: 66 (record) JFK: 64 (record) ISP: 68 (Record) New Brunswick: 69 (Record) TTN: 68 (Record) PHL: 69 (Record) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 It may fall short of today's readings by a degree or two unless there is a little sunshine. Central Park may have a shot, as the low probably will be very close to 60°. backdoor front slides through tomorrow, so guess we level off or fall depending on the time of passage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 63 in the park, 68 where I am in Florida right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 63 in the park, 68 where I am in Florida right now. Considering the temperatures, one has to be tempted to ask if Florida is a new Borough. The 12/13 record high minimum temperature of 51°, which was set in 1991, should be broken tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Considering the temperatures, one has to be tempted to ask if Florida is a new Borough. The 12/13 record high minimum temperature of 51°, which was set in 1991, should be broken tomorrow. 63 at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 63 at midnight. Already near a record high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Already near a record high. 64 is the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 The deep trough from Alaska into the Western US was similar to the previous record warm December 2001. The only difference is on the Atlantic side. The AO was a much lower -1.322 in 2001 and has been positive this December. Goes to show how a very unfavorable Pacific can make a -AO patten very mild here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 From that graphic you can see why the entire 01-02 winter was disastrous. Just look at how powerful that death vortex was, which isn't the case right now. I guess that's some good news once we get into late Jan/Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 64 is the record. it was 63* a little after 5am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 From that graphic you can see why the entire 01-02 winter was disastrous. Just look at how powerful that death vortex was, which isn't the case right now. I guess that's some good news once we get into late Jan/Feb. yep-it locked in and we torched almost end to end. I would have never guessed there was a -AO in 01-02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Back door front sliding through the area now....betting we have seen our highs for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 GFSx drops to +14degs. over the next 8 days (including today). Still does not guarantee a below normal day will be had during period. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 13, 2015 Author Share Posted December 13, 2015 We don't flip before Jan 10 thru 15th . I would not be concerned about this winter lovers but rather enjoy it . The above N November and December were seen back in July . You will be flipping into the heart of winter just as your normals are at their lowest and the analogs tell you it's your snowiest so even a plus 1 will feel cold. This is NYC and if want /expect a wire to wire winter , move. Just as we showed in the enso thread how this wasn't going to be 97, go back and look how that Oct Nov Dec acted , completely opposite of this. Temps were below N , we flip , but you are likely 3 to 4 weeks away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 GFSx drops to +14degs. over the next 8 days (including today). Still does not guarantee a below normal day will be had during period. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA Of course, because it now includes the 2 seasonal days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 At 9:34 this morning, the temperature in Central Park hit 64 degrees. This ties the record high for this date set back in 1923. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Near year's end and we are all devoid of snow. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=12&model_dd=13&model_init_hh=06&fhour=384¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Near year's end and we are all devoid of snow. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=12&model_dd=13&model_init_hh=06&fhour=384¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Even Montreal. Insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Back door front sliding through the area now....betting we have seen our highs for the day Nope for the city. Back up to 64. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 At 10:11 this morning, the temperature at JFK hit 64 degrees. This breaks the previous record high of 63 for this date set back in 1983 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 (12x9.5) + (8x14) = 226degs. surplus as of morning of 21. Target for a new monthly record is (6.8x31) = say 211 Therefore we will have 11 days to get rid of 15degs surplus in order to prevent this outcome. Last 11 days of the month would need to be (15/11)degs. below normal. With no below normal days indicated for remainder of month, you may begin to place your $$$$$ on the warmest Dec. ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 (12x9.5) + (8x14) = 226degs. surplus as of morning of 21. Target for a new monthly record is (6.8x31) = say 211 Therefore we will have 11 days to get rid of 15degs surplus in order to prevent this outcome. Last 11 days of the month would need to be (15/11)degs. below normal. With no below normal days indicated for remainder of month, you may begin to place your $$$$$ on the warmest Dec. ever. We are on track to beat 2001 since it cooled off the second half of the month while the models bring back the +10 or more departures after the brief near normal next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 13, 2015 Author Share Posted December 13, 2015 We are on track to beat 2001 since it cooled off the second half of the month while the models bring back the +10 or more departures after the brief near normal next weekend. Don't see how we don't best the record , the ridge re fires into week 4 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Don't see how we don't best the record , the ridge re fires into week 4 . Yeah, hard to avoid the record warmth since May with the El Nino Western trough and Northeast ridge pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 At 10:29 this morning, the temperature in Newark hit 64 degrees. This breaks the previous record high of 63 for this date set back in 1946 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Usually El Nino doesn't have a western trough/-PNA. Unusual this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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