Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,508
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    joxey
    Newest Member
    joxey
    Joined

August 2015 Pattern and Disco


Ginx snewx

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 772
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I think it got pinched a bit as it was trying to advect northeast and we had a lot of cloudiness as a result which didn't help either.

Unfortunately some were expecting a lot of 96s and 97s and the only thing that supported that was MET guidance which should be taken with a grain of salt to begin with in the summer.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Unfortunately some were expecting a lot of 96s and 97s and the only thing that supported that was MET guidance which should be taken with a grain of salt to begin with in the summer.

Yeah the MET numbers were awful but I remember MAV beig too warm also. But not as bad. MAV was spitting out 90 for ORH for a few runs leading into it.

Maybe this one won't underperform.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The warmth that we'll have over the next few days is akin to having a winter storm finally verify a warning in mid-February when 6" of snow are reported in Lunenberg.  What we have here is a dead-ratter of a warm season for those who clamor for HHH.

 

Don't get me started on winter 2013-2014 ;)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah the MET numbers were awful but I remember MAV beig too warm also. But not as bad. MAV was spitting out 90 for ORH for a few runs leading into it.

Maybe this one won't underperform.

I guess the question is, what is everyone expecting Wed/Thu?

 

19-20C 850s are only about 1C warmer than the last warm stretch. So I'd assume the hot spots peak around 93-96F?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My goodness ... the 00z NAM veered the Wednesday afternoon wind field just slightly and BOS shoots to 30 C in the T1 layer.  The index finger rule is to add 2 - 3 C from that level to get the 2-meter, assuming no obstruction -- which I don't see any here.  That's 93 F proper at Logan, which despite MOS products, that's the warmest I have seen the FRH grid ...  until, the 06z... 

 

The wind is turned subtly more into a west direction and now eastern coastal zones are completely at the mercy of the broiler.  Full sun, 10 kt off-shote through 20 C at 850 and superb mixing altitudes at 31 C is like a 35 C 2-meter temp there.  95 or 96 ... not bad, and does qualify (tho subjective) as "big heat" in my mind. 

 

That Wedensday night in the urban centers could be a hoot - 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...