OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I was just looking at 13z RAP soundings for BDL and it's way off with instability. Wonder if this will correct at all with the 14z or 15z runs Has a dry bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Doesn't help, but doesn't hurt as much as a well organized MCS would. So, you're saying there's a chance....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 And watch that storm or storms that is laying down the OFB in PA. It's along a rich moisture gradient, and as SNE continues to destabilize that might root into the boundary layer. Quite a bit of juice moving north into NYC area with dew points >72F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 So, you're saying there's a chance....... See above, there is a nice air mass working towards SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Quite a bit of juice moving north into NYC area with dew points >72F. Theta-e is coming in hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Closing in on 5" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Nice little meh cell just went through Springfield....looks like it will miss my house though. We had a couple of lightening strikes but not much else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Closing in on 5" for the month. Per radar it looked like the cell went right over our heads but just some rumbles and bursts of moderate to heavy rain. Weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Per radar it looked like the cell went right over our heads but just some rumbles and bursts of moderate to heavy rain. Weak sauce. Not a puff of wind with it. 69.1/66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Was completely still for that t-storm, no wind. No hail either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Dew up to 72 here now. Juice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Sun poking through again in Glastonbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Was completely still for that t-storm, no wind. No hail either. 12z GYX sounding had freezing levels over 13,000 feet. Tough to get much hail with that kind of sounding and such a moist environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Cells just tearing through nrn CT!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Just a little temp difference between northern areas and those in the southern climes. 68.6/67 RN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Cells just tearing through nrn CT!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 12z GYX sounding had freezing levels over 13,000 feet. Tough to get much hail with that kind of sounding and such a moist environment. Yeah, I only mentioned because there was hail indicated over me on my radar view. I wouldn't have been looking for it without that icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Yeah, I only mentioned because there was hail indicated over me on my radar view. I wouldn't have been looking for it without that icon. Probably because there was some 60 dBZ in that cell. Typically it's hard to do that without hail, but very heavy rain can bump reflectivity that high. Algorithms sometimes can be pretty stupid like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 On the road in Waterford CT. Wife texted some decent thunder and lighting in Enfield up into Springfield. Nothing crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I hope everyone gets what they're expecting, (Wiz chasing an EF5 naked, Kev watching the hood leveled, expect his house) SNE has always been renowned for having the best parameters always to come up short. In the end 99.9% will be disappointed. Come on down here just last night ~ 2am had a collapsing tower up to 60dBZ fall apart just 2 miles south. The light show was continuous for a hour and nary a drop. I will never complain about high dews again....LOL Anyhow GOODLUCK y'all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 the pa storms are collapsing. let's see how far SE the OFB makes it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Well, that's that from this piece of things. When the clearing in NYS reaches here, it'll be pretty steamy methinks. .07" with a damaging gust to 1mph. Sounded like a freight train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 12z NAM bufkit for BDL is downright scary for later on with it's parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 12z NAM bufkit for BDL is downright scary for later on with it's parameters. Staying put? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Let's dew this thing right today. High end event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Ugly environment up here and DAW still gusted to 38 mph with the line of showers/storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 Staying put? yeah...I guess BDL is a decent spot. Still debating though if somewhere in Worcester county, particularly the south half, is in better position. But if winds remain southerly at BDL helicity will continue being enhanced and perhaps even a bit higher than what models show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Ugly environment up here and DAW still gusted to 38 mph with the line of showers/storms. Round one almost over here, Looks like some strong cells pushing thru York county, I think that area for up this way gets some of the goods later as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Let's dew this thing right today. High end event Do you have a fan on your station? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Decent cell north of FIT, 55 dBZ near 20 kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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