CT Valley Snowman Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Southerly breeze picking up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Plus the rich moisture (check out theta-e obs right now) is south of that PA MCS. If it wasn't there the rich moisture would be somewhere across central NY now instead. Much easier to advect that into New England than all the way from the Mason Dixon. It looks like tongue of better theta-e trying to nose into NYC. Maybe it can sneak into SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Pretty solid overcast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 These thirty second bursts of sun aint gonna cut it. Back in dense overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 It looks like tongue of better theta-e trying to nose into NYC. Maybe it can sneak into SNE? Maybe Ekster and I should've laid down on the train tracks while out looking for the aurora last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Maybe Ekster and I should've laid down on the train tracks while out looking for the aurora last night. Any hand holding? I guess we'll see how it goes. Seems like nowcasting as usual. The parameters for shear still there. 12z RAOBS look like EML in PIT and ahead of that meso low near BGM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 These thirty second bursts of sun aint gonna cut it. Back in dense overcast. We're actually getting our first burst of sun as I type. I know it'll be short-lived. Pretty wide range of temps across the area. 64.1/62 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Going with gut.......severe cancelled. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Here we go folks @NWSSPC: 7:59am CDT #SPC_MD 1133 concerning severe potential...watch possible, http://t.co/pvsiv9IXuWhttp://t.co/mgUWD37t68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Any hand holding? I guess we'll see how it goes. Seems like nowcasting as usual. The parameters for shear still there. 12z RAOBS look like EML in PIT and ahead of that meso low near BGM. Actually we did share a bit of a moment as the fireflies were going nuts over the bog. SPC tugs the enhanced back SW into MA only. GYX is starting to raise the white flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 They'll be some severe around I think. Just unsure of higher end or widespread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Hfd 80/70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Relax on canceling @EdValleeWx: MCS will barely have a drop of rain by the time it reaches New England. Amazing. Does that include what's currently falling in NNE? I don't think those 30-50 dbz echoes are drying up before reaching the ground. Of course, this action probably puts the squelch on much chance of severe for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 New HRRR looking better for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Actually we did share a bit of a moment as the fireflies were going nuts over the bog. SPC tugs the enhanced back SW into MA only. GYX is starting to raise the white flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Does that include what's currently falling in NNE? I don't think those 30-50 dbz echoes are drying up before reaching the ground. Of course, this action probably puts the squelch on much chance of severe for this area. We were toast from the get go as usual, The good thing is we are on the back side of the summer solstice so the days will start getting shorter here on out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Here we go folks @NWSSPC: 7:59am CDT #SPC_MD 1133 concerning severe potential...watch possible, http://t.co/pvsiv9IXuWhttp://t.co/mgUWD37t68 I'm more confidence for the area in that circle south of the Pike than the area north of it. If I were Wiz, I'd be camping at BDL. I do have a really big dead maple. It's been dropping relatively large branches spontaneously. Perhaps we'll get enough of a gust to take it down--hopefully across the road (look out below!) rather than on my wife's ornamental bushes. Peek of sun again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Towel.jpg I'm happy to trade a foot of snow for this event. SNE is stealing my severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 New HRRR looking better for SNE Shockingly, that's all south of GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I'm happy to trade a foot of snow for this event. SNE is stealing my severe. lol, I as well, I was going to use that stealing line earlier when some were saying not to cancel so soon, We will add to the qpf totals for the month as talk of drought will wane away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 lol, I as well, I was going to use that stealing line earlier when some were saying not to cancel so soon, We will add to the qpf totals for the month as talk of drought will wane away There was nothing worse than the faux-drought alarms. Quite a few peeks of sun now, warming things up a bit. 66.2/64 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Not surprisingly, the focus is shifting to the areas that are currently in full sun. It's been bright and sunny all morning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Not surprisingly, the focus is shifting to the areas that are currently in full sun. It's been bright and sunny all morning here. Congrats. We've had breaks with the sun shining through clouds, I don't think we've had any blue sky tough. Temp rising nicely though. 67.2/65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfenn1117 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Rather overcast in Simsbury. Storm in the Lower Hudson Valley just went severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 The latest HRRR is quite interesting.......it brings a ray of hope for those inside 495. After the MCS moves through, E. MA has the longest timeframe to destabalize. And it is here that the strongest convection occurs based on the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I'm a little interested in these peripheral cells that may tap the rapidly warming area south of the NH border. That warned line near ALB may just clip parts of my southern CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 The latest HRRR is quite interesting.......it brings a ray of hope for those inside 495. After the MCS moves through, E. MA has the longest timeframe to destabalize. And it is here that the strongest convection occurs based on the HRRR. mesoanalysis several hours out has an area of 8 supercell composite across eastern MA which is quite impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andrewmac Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I was down in Frederick MD for a wedding last weekend and we banged pretty hard. I was hoping this would be at least a glimpse of what I saw down there: 42,000 tops and strobe light effect lighting for the wedding reception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 Looks like that HV sytuff goes north of here which is good. Some clouds have moved back in but satellite trends across PA into southern NT hold some promise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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