Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 It doesn't look too south compared to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 thats not so bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Saw those but not incredibly different from 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 6z GFS also is southIt really didn't change at all from past runs, though looks like the south propaganda machine is starting early this morning.Tries to give the central and southern Greens 1-2 feet. MVL had 0.8" QPF on the 00z and has 0.8" on the 6z. BDL went from 0.8" to 0.9" though so congrats. WeatherBell toggles through the past couple runs and there's really no change except it got wetter in the SVT/Berks/ALB area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 It really didn't change at all from past runs, though looks like the south propaganda machine is starting early this morning. Tries to give the central and southern Greens 1-2 feet. MVL had 0.8" QPF on the 00z and has 0.8" on the 6z. BDL went from 0.8" to 0.9" though so congrats. WeatherBell toggles through the past couple runs and there's really no change except it got wetter in the SVT/Berks/ALB area. We're not taking any snow from you . No need for the defense mechanism to kick in It just was a noticeable yet subtle tick south from 18z to 00z and now 6z with the surface features which is why you're seeing small upticks in qpf Noyes has a foot from far N CT up to VT/NH border and 18 from there up thru Central VT and NH and then a foot for you.. Everyone is getting plenty of snow man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 We talking sleet, fzrn or rain where 850s go above 0 on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 OK...the models can stop going north now. C NH is looking pretty good on the EC/GFS/EPS. The extended drunk NAM is trying to give me an ice storm... Yeah I like CNE for this one...you over towards RUT back down to ALB, Berks, ORH, BOS and back to you. RT 2 and into SVT/SNH for overall best totals. Ride the ensemble mean and toss the NAM lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 We're not taking any snow from you . No need for the defense mechanism to kick in It just was a noticeable yet subtle tick south from 18z to 00z and now 6z with the surface features which is why you're seeing small upticks in qpf Noyes has a foot from far N CT up to VT/NH border and 18 from there up thru Central VT and NH and then a foot for you.. Everyone is getting plenty of snow man lol you need to get off the taking snow from people kick. I'm not trying to take your snow, I just think the best stuff may be a little north of you as several other posters have said so far. We all know everyone is getting some snow. You take it personally these days if folks don't mention Tolland specifically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 lol you need to get off the taking snow from people kick. I'm not trying to take your snow, I just think the best stuff may be a little north of you as several other posters have said so far. We all know everyone is getting some snow. You take it personally these days if folks don't mention Tolland specifically. The biggest snowfall amounts will end up in the Pike to SNH area..so we agree there. I'm not concerned about me getting the most snow. It's nice when it happens, but I don't yearn for it, or get all bent out of shape when it doesn't happen. And again it seems you've failed to interpret our discussions correctly. I think it would be nice and great addition if when we talk about storms, if a broad, general overview is done of the whole region. It would eliminate all those IMBY questions and put some people's minds at ease.Like the post this morning about rain/sleet/freezing rain ..I mean that's not even an issue except maybe for the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 We talking sleet, fzrn or rain where 850s go above 0 on Euro ?? It never happens anywhere in New England outside of far SE areas like the cape and far SE ct per the op run that I just checked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 ?? It never happens anywhere in New England outside of far SE areas like the cape and far SE ct per the op run that I just checked. Beats me. Just going off of skisheeps pbp. Hour 96 moderate to heavy precip for EMA SENH SWME light precip everywhere else, 850s though are now above 0 from ~DXR-TOL-TAN and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Have a feeling I'm going to get screwed pretty good here in Westerly again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Lol just realized that hr 96 is a freebie. The 850 line isn't anywhere near tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Noyes has me at a coating for Saturday, an inch for Sunday, and 3" for Monday. Very meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I think that's the way to go right now, broad brush 6 to 12 for most of interior Connecticut up to just south of the pike, with 12 to 18 north of the pike up into central New England emphasize some locally higher amounts, particularly in the east facing slopes of the higher terrain, looks like the southern greens could do very well in this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Looks like 10-14" possible in this area. I would happy with that, 12z should start to finalize things one would think. Cold out this morning. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Looks like we are closer to a consensus for the weekend. Still need to watch what happens Monday as the data will be a bit better sampled today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GYX once again underwhelmed, even with the north shift. He even calls a 36 hour period a 48 hour period. Bunch of meh according to GYX: ON SUNDAY A FRONT WILL STALL DRAPED JUST TOOUR SOUTH. THIS WILL BRING A STRETCH OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGHSOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND INTO MAINE. THE OFF AND ON SNOW WILLCONTINUE FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAYMORNING WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES FOR NHSOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND SOUTHWESTERN MAINE. FURTHER NORTH THE QPFDECREASES SUBSTANTIALLY AND SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE MUCH LOWER.WITH THE SNOW FALLING OVER A 48HR PERIOD, IT WON`T SEEM NEARLY ASSIGNIFICANT AS RECENT STORMS WHICH HAD MUCH HIGHER SNOWFALL RATESBUT THE PERSISTENT LIGHT SNOW WILL STILL CAUSE SLIPPERY ROADS.AS WE MOVE INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK CONFIDENCE DECREASESOVERALL. ANOTHER WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY ANDTRIES TO INTENSIFY... SENDING ANOTHER PERIOD OF ACCUMULATINGSNOWFALL WITH OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION. HERE MOREOPTIONS APPEAR:(1) THE SYSTEM CAN INTENSIFY OFF THE ATLANTIC COASTBRINGING ANOTHER MORE CLASSIC COASTAL LOW SYSTEM,(2) IT CAN TRACKMORE NORTHERLY BRINING WARM AIR ALOFT FURTHER NORTHWARD, WHICHWOULD BRING CONCERNS OF MIXED PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHERN NH OR (3)IT CAN HOLD THE STATUS QUO AND JUST PASS BY AS ANOTHER WEAK WAVEWITH MORE LIGHT SNOW. GIVEN THE HEMISPHERIC BLOCKING PATTERN, ILEAN STRONGLY TOWARDS OPTION (3) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 GYX once again underwhelmed, even with the north shift. He even calls a 36 hour period a 48 hour period. Bunch of meh according to GYX: ON SUNDAY A FRONT WILL STALL DRAPED JUST TO OUR SOUTH. THIS WILL BRING A STRETCH OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND INTO MAINE. THE OFF AND ON SNOW WILL CONTINUE FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES FOR NH SOUTH OF THE NOTCHES AND SOUTHWESTERN MAINE. FURTHER NORTH THE QPF DECREASES SUBSTANTIALLY AND SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE MUCH LOWER. WITH THE SNOW FALLING OVER A 48HR PERIOD, IT WON`T SEEM NEARLY AS SIGNIFICANT AS RECENT STORMS WHICH HAD MUCH HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES BUT THE PERSISTENT LIGHT SNOW WILL STILL CAUSE SLIPPERY ROADS. AS WE MOVE INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK CONFIDENCE DECREASES OVERALL. ANOTHER WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY AND TRIES TO INTENSIFY... SENDING ANOTHER PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WITH OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION. HERE MORE OPTIONS APPEAR:(1) THE SYSTEM CAN INTENSIFY OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST BRINGING ANOTHER MORE CLASSIC COASTAL LOW SYSTEM,(2) IT CAN TRACK MORE NORTHERLY BRINING WARM AIR ALOFT FURTHER NORTHWARD, WHICH WOULD BRING CONCERNS OF MIXED PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHERN NH OR (3) IT CAN HOLD THE STATUS QUO AND JUST PASS BY AS ANOTHER WEAK WAVE WITH MORE LIGHT SNOW. GIVEN THE HEMISPHERIC BLOCKING PATTERN, I LEAN STRONGLY TOWARDS OPTION (3) Congrats on 12+ of meh I guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Looks like we are closer to a consensus for the weekend. Still need to watch what happens Monday as the data will be a bit better sampled today. Do you buy more into that now? I know you used to not think it mattered all that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Euro is a toaster bath for this whole event south of the Pike. Yikes. Sort of feared it was going this way yesterday as things came into better focus. Maybe a few inches or so but the odds of a bigger event are becoming much lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Do you buy more into that now? I know you used to not think it mattered all that much. I'm thinking the way the northern stream crosses it is more important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Do you buy more into that now? I know you used to not think it mattered all that much. Honestly I think people make a bigger deal out of it than it should be, but when you have a s/w cluster fook, it may help in this case. It's not like it will mean a 1004mb low turns into a 980 beast, but track is what matters to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Anyone have that fugly eurowx snowfall weenie map handy from the 0z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Congrats on 12+ of meh I guess? My point exactly. He seems rather underwhelmed. Probably the same guy who wrote the 3 inches of snow showers blending into the snowbanks discussion yesterday. That seems like a decent event to me but not to Curtis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Euro is a toaster bath for this whole event south of the Pike. Yikes. Sort of feared it was going this way yesterday as things came into better focus. Maybe a few inches or so but the odds of a bigger event are becoming much lower. Yea, the trend was clear as day, even though a couple of folks denied it. I'm optimistic it has stopped just soon enough for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Folks in denial. This is shaping up to be a pretty meh event south of pike. Days and days of snow gone poof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 This snow greed is nauseating. Do you folks not remember three weeks ago when there was nothing to look at but bare, Barron, brown grounds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 This snow greed is nauseating. Do you folks not remember three weeks ago when there was nothing to look at but bare, Barron, brown grounds? If you find snow greed nauseating, then you're on the wrong board. Its akin to an animal rights activist hanging in a butcher shop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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