Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Euro..looked nice at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 it looked nice for the guppies in the Atlantic, verbatim. But like Scott said, its kind of a nice spot this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 it looked nice for the guppies in the Atlantic, verbatim. But like Scott said, its kind of a nice spot this far out. I know there is a bit of a weenie tone to that statement, but it's not without some science behind it. Of course that low in SE Canada could squish it, but I wouldn't want this near ACK at this point. If I were in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 I know there is a bit of a weenie tone to that statement, but it's not without some science behind it. Of course that low in SE Canada could squish it, but I wouldn't want this near ACK at this point. If I were in SNE. I agree. I'm liking this setup for SNE. It could end up missing but I will take my chances with good confluence and good activity from the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2014 Author Share Posted December 15, 2014 It would be telling if the ens were still near the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 With the Ens being such a nice hit, you feel very very confident of the inevitable north trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Great solution. Good spot for it right now and it acts as adderall for the weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 With the Ens being such a nice hit, you feel very very confident of the inevitable north trend I can't wait for the inevitable, "the north trend can stop at any time" posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 With the Ens being such a nice hit, you feel very very confident of the inevitable north trend Comparing 0z ens to 12z op is dangerous, wait for 0z ens to come out. However, to put what we're looking for in perspective, a 100-150 mile shift puts most of SNE in advisory criteria from this. Considering that we often see MillerA systems trend further north as we approach the event, I don't think we're in a bad place right now. Sure, would I have liked to see the EURO show a 12"+ BOMB? Yeah, of course. But considering the evolution(Look at EURO h5 at hour 108, beautiful), and the magnitude of the shift we need(Not that large), I think we can still make something happen. As always, plenty of time for things to go one way or another, but the general idea of a possibly nice event is still there, and with that, onto the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Great solution. Good spot for it right now and it acts as adderall for the weenies. Chesapeake Bay is full of weenies waiting for Coast Guard rescue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Lots of snakebiten folk from the past storm it seems. Just like last winter when I wanted storms to be modeled over Toronto at day 7 for the inevitable SE shift haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 I can't wait for the inevitable, "then north trend can stop at any time" posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 I can't wait for the inevitable, "then north trend can stop at any time" posts. I'd like it to start first. Beauty of a day out there if you don't mind the thin snowcover melting. 38.4/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 I can't wait for the inevitable, "then north trend can stop at any time" posts. or the rain to Montreal posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 I can't wait for the inevitable, "then north trend can stop at any time" posts. ditto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 I know Steve mentioned it a few days ago, but seeing a few more people memtioning the Dec 09 analog. Yes please on that. For anyone south of the pike, tough not to like where the euro is at right now. I'd rather see that than a cutter to buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 I know Steve mentioned it a few days ago, but seeing a few more people memtioning the Dec 09 analog. Yes please on that. For anyone south of the pike, tough not to like where the euro is at right now. I'd rather see that than a cutter to buffalo That airmass was colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2014 Author Share Posted December 15, 2014 I know Steve mentioned it a few days ago, but seeing a few more people memtioning the Dec 09 analog. Yes please on that. For anyone south of the pike, tough not to like where the euro is at right now. I'd rather see that than a cutter to buffalo I had about a foot in that. I'd take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Tough to ignore model consensus for no snow for SNE from 21... Then the Euro cut to the Lakes and brings 50+DPs for Xmass Eve/Day. Heh, good Disk weather! woot woot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 That airmass was colder. Yeah just taking a look back at that, it was definitely colder. Even the cape made out like bandits. I'd take even half of those amounts. Euro is in a good place right now though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 At hour 72 you can see the Euro is a bit slow with the energy coming out of Arizona. This delays the phase a tad, which ultimately develops the storm further south and east when it reaches us.. You can also see that it results in a weaker storm along the gulf coast near hour 96...earlier versions had a 1002mb surface low over Louisiana. This is the old Euro bias. It will correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 "Right where we want it" Which part is right where you want it? The track? The evolution? the storm depiction? I know that they all likely mean that the storm track is right where you want it. But honestly the only part of this storm that is presently right where I want it is the storm evolution. Models are showing a very mature strengthening cyclone with plenty of moisture being captured by the associated upper level vortmax. The storm track is far from desired. If the storm was going to be right where I want it I would like the storm to be passing 50 miles southeast of ACK. And for that track to hold for the next infinity model runs. Just nit-picking I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masonwoods Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Tough to ignore model consensus for no snow for SNE from 21... Then the Euro cut to the Lakes and brings 50+DPs for Xmass Eve/Day. Heh, good Disk weather! woot woot A mild and wet Xmass makes any snow on the 21st meaningless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 A mild and wet Xmass makes any snow on the 21st meaningless. Enjoy the snow, it is the only snow you have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Lots of snakebiten folk from the past storm it seems. Just like last winter when I wanted storms to be modeled over Toronto at day 7 for the inevitable SE shift haha. It's like a game of Plinko...where the final storm track will be...nobody knows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Enjoy the snow, it is the only snow you have. People may need to embrace the fact of partly sunny and an eventless miss for the 21st, then no snow for either, ...because it would be the only reality they got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2014 Author Share Posted December 15, 2014 People may need to embrace the fact of partly sunny and an eventless miss for the 21st, then no snow for either, ...because it would be the only reality they got. I think you need to embrace the fact that the aggregate of these events is over a week away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 People may need to embrace the fact of partly sunny and an eventless miss for the 21st, then no snow for either, ...because it would be the only reality they got. We should focus on the 21st before we worry about rain on Christmas, is all I am saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Man. You guys fell for Tips trap? Lol. The dude has no clue of the pattern and was just out trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.