Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Even if the more tepid RGEM verified, I'd take 6" in Novie.wrap around is big on RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I'm noticing that all of the 12z runs are having a hard time figuring out that it's currently snowing in many places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Subtle east and colder shift since 6z runs continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 duh, snowfall distribution wise, geezus Right. The 1/300 year event is the only one that comes to mind when trying to conjure up an instance in which ORH county into NNE were favored. lol Just busting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 wrap around is big on RGEM This whole event is gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 This whole event is gravy. This. Trace to a dusting on colder surfaces, hardest part will we laying down the initial .5" and then we should accumulate fairly well for a while until the pingers ruin the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 This whole event is gravy. Yea it is...I'm waiting for the mashed potatoes though. Still struggling to change over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I'm noticing that all of the 12z runs are having a hard time figuring out that it's currently snowing in many places. The SPC maps are not............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Pellets here in bridgewater. RGEM is interesting. Back end snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The SPC maps are not............. I'm not following Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Right. The 1/300 year event is the only one that comes to mind when trying to conjure up an instance in which ORH county into NNE were favored. lol Just busting.... not many storms have me raining while SWCT NYC Snow, sorry to compare snowfall distribution with holy grails Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 There will be snow on the back end...it won't be a big stinger CCB tail, but there upper level lows have a bit of inv trough sig as they exit off, so a lot of folks will flip back to steadylight snow probably...maybe even an hour or two burst moderate. The same general inv trough nahgs back all day tomorrow into Fri morning which is what we were talking about with weenie snows for T-day and esp T-day night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I'm not following Go in here and you can check surface and upper air at different levels, Its real time http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16&parm=7tad&underlay=0&source=1# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I'll just post one graphic so it's not too much but you can kind of start and see where everything is setting up for where the heaviest banding and heaviest snowfall rates will occur a bit later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 The most crucial period in SNE for N CT/N RI and into pike region up to NE MA is going to be between about 2pm and 6pm...the WCB is tremendous during that period so if you hold onto snow long enough during that, you'll probably be getting 2" per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Yeah it should puke snow this aftn in areas that are all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The most crucial period in SNE for N CT/N RI and into pike region up to NE MA is going to be between about 2pm and 6pm...the WCB is tremendous during that period so if you hold onto snow long enough during that, you'll probably be getting 2" per hour. Bad timing for up here with that as it will be in rush hour to mid evening or so time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Pellets here in bridgewater. RGEM is interesting. Back end snows? Lots of sleet and some cats paws on 140 by the industrial park in your neck of the woods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 just to let you know weather people in new york area are now saying the storm is colder storm models are to warm from last nigt runs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 big apple is snowing head of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I can't wait to hear from my family in Concord, I think they will be right on the line for significant accumulations. I'm thinking 5-8" for them. Looking at the radar, I don't see a ton of movement in the precip shield? Was it modeled that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 just to let you know weather people in new york area are now saying the storm is colder storm models are to warm from last nigt runs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Yeah it should puke snow this aftn in areas that are all snow. you can basically see the core of the WCB lining up from off the Delmarva up to S of LI right now..that will be ripping into central and eastern SNE by 2-3pm and that period from there until 6 or 7pm could be pretty crazy...we'll have to see how that H7 layer does. 12z GFS looked a bit colder in that level...as a funny side note, the GFS also had BL temps about 5-8F warmer than is currently verifying...AWT. Yet people still look at the GFS for BL temps...boggles my mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 just to let you know weather people in new york area are now saying the storm is colder storm models are to warm from last nigt runs . big apple is snowing head of time That's fine for now but doesn't mean much for later on I don't think. The question still is what happens in the mid-levels up and around 10,000ft are so. The latest RAP actually seems to push the mlvl warmth pretty far inland...back through Hartford and Springfield it looks like. Could knock snowfall totals down by 2-3''...maybe 4'' for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Like what I see forecast wise here. That line marking mid level warmth is staying well off the ME coast. There are a couple of areas that might show some mixed precip between there and the coast, those sneaky warm layers that have yet to cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Lots of sleet and some cats paws on 140 by the industrial park in your neck of the woods Yeah my gf is at my house making food and she said there is definitely snow mixing in. Kind of surprised to be honest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 you can basically see the core of the WCB lining up from off the Delmarva up to S of LI right now..that will be ripping into central and eastern SNE by 2-3pm and that period from there until 6 or 7pm could be pretty crazy...we'll have to see how that H7 layer does. 12z GFS looked a bit colder in that level...as a funny side note, the GFS also had BL temps about 5-8F warmer than is currently verifying...AWT. Yet people still look at the GFS for BL temps...boggles my mind. I hope area near and just inside 128 get slammed. Stupid GFS low level temps. It's so funny how confident you can be when tossing those temps below 950. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The entire northeast snowfall forecast as currently had by the various local NWS offices...pretty good coordination between offices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The entire northeast snowfall forecast as currently had by the various local NWS offices...pretty good coordination between offices. Looks good. Is that created separately from their individual CWA maps, or are they just lined up together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Where did you find that, Scott Never seen that product before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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