dendrite Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Should be all snow here, although we'll see how that relatively warmer, dry layer aloft plays with the snow growth. Pretty much an avg of 1.25" QPF for C NH on the models. Chris' 10-14" is looking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Sleet is the concern for me. Will have a final guess shortly. Knock em down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Should be all snow here, although we'll see how that relatively warmer, dry layer aloft plays with the snow growth. Pretty much an avg of 1.25" QPF for C NH on the models. Chris' 10-14" is looking pretty good. image.jpg Awesome, man. Fire up the blowers and the sleds. 34.5/29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 It took both BOX and OKX until the overnight runs to knock their forecasts back to where Ryan's station has had them for 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Flurries started. Still think 8 inches or so with an inch or 2 of sleet to lock it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Latest thinking from BOX. I'm glad they have seen fit to drop me in a high zone. Also, I noticed they've divided their CWA into two warnings. What are folks anticipating as start time toward the VT line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 And from ALY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Latest thinking from BOX. I'm glad they have seen fit to drop me in a high zone. Also, I noticed they've divided their CWA into two warnings. What are folks anticipating as start time toward the VT line? With all that whining you did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 It took both BOX and OKX until the overnight runs to knock their forecasts back to where Ryan's station has had them for 2 days. It is odd but frequently the nws totals run on the high side around here for whatever reason. OKX has had some monster flip flops with their snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 It is odd but frequently the nws totals run on the high side around here for whatever reason. OKX has had some monster flip flops with their snow map.Yeah OKX especially for sure. I am starting to think the CT zones are truly an afterthought for them, although they are often high in their NY zones as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 is precip breaking out a bit quicker? Compared to my weenie BTV WRF it looks to be. Good luck Rev, I think 8-10 for you for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 is precip breaking out a bit quicker? Compared to my weenie BTV WRF it looks to be. Good luck Rev, I think 8-10 for you for sure OKX radar says there is a little ways to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 What a PITA storm. It's not easy to get snow in Jan with such high thicknesses...nevermind November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 OKX radar says there is a little ways to go. Weathertap is showing all sorts of returns over SNE at this point. Virga? With little temp/dp delta, I'd expect not. I'm not familiar with all the different types of radar (reflectivity tilt, ,etc.). What would one recommend using for this? Is one particularly good at identifying p-type? 34.2/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Weathertap is showing all sorts of returns over SNE at this point. Virga? With little temp/dp delta, I'd expect not. I'm not familiar with all the different types of radar (reflectivity tilt, ,etc.). What would one recommend using for this? Is one particularly good at identifying p-type? 34.2/28 You can watch the pingers advancing on cc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 40.4/30 nervous about my low elevation. Would love to be about 20 miles NW. PRECIPITATION rates and banding will be key. Not expecting all snow here until 11-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Poo Poo Pete B living up to his name. This should be fun to see how that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 You can watch the pingers advancing on cc The "correlation coefficient" one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 OKX radar says there is a little ways to go. Flurries started about 5:30..but that's all it's been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 40.4/30 nervous about my low elevation. Would love to be about 20 miles NW. PRECIPITATION rates and banding will be key. Not expecting all snow here until 11-12.Shadowing is a factor but not a huge one. I have resigned to the warm tongue. Sloppy snow is, well, sloppy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The "correlation coefficient" one?Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Boy the RGEM backed down a bit on snow it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Maps from Channels 22 and 40 out of Spfld. 34./528 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Flurries started about 5:30..but that's all it's beenI hope you get your 8". I am a little skeptical though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 My gut has been telling me 3.5" of unrecognizable snow for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Yes Thx. Boy the RGEM backed down a bit on snow it seems. QPF fail or temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I hope you get your 8". I am a little skeptical though. Nothing changed overnight..Just model noise. Maybe it's 7 instead of 8..but all in all things are on track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Thx. QPF fail or temps? It looks like temps to me, a bit warmer with the 06z run. The 00Z GGEM run is still over the benchmark, in its own world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Nothing changed overnight..Just model noise. Maybe it's 7 instead of 8..but all in all things are on trackNothing changed overnight significantly from the trend at 18z, I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Nothing changed overnight significantly from the trend at 18z, I agree. It's always been a big thump of snow to a few hours of sleet..back to snow.. Nothing changed..What some folks underestimated was the BL warmth. That is what is going to hurt lower elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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