WinterWxLuvr Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Nope. Radar looks unimpressive, the front is speeding up, and the GFS is showing a bust. Yep, you're right. It's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 yeah, in an event in which mesoscale details will play a major role, the GFS is the best model to examine. Nope. Radar looks unimpressive, the front is speeding up, and the GFS is showing a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Eastward progression of the front seems to have slowed considerably, looks like a healthy 1" - 2.5" for DC / Baltimore Metro still on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 yeah, in an event in which mesoscale details will play a major role, the GFS is the best model to examine. As they say...sarcasm is the lowest form of wit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Eastward progression of the front seems to have slowed considerably, looks like a healthy 1" - 2.5" for DC / Baltimore Metro still on tap. I think earlier that was just an outward motion on an area of rain. It looks like the front isn't moving at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Sun just poked back out here for a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Low of 68F. Highest low of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Sun just poked back out here for a few minutes. a little of that around here after a brief shower miserably humid out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Starting to wonder how long until this precip reaches me. It appears to be stationary now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Only got down to 70 last night after 79 yesterday -- the house is muggy with this humidity since our air cond is dead and we are waiting until spring. That whole band seems to have filled out with less strong lines and cells compared to earlier. Now it's a huge, slow-moving swath of mod-hvy rain. This is gonna be a soaker! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I love the GFS. Even though you know its 384hr scenarios will never occur, it brings a smile to your face. My point: 06z is showing 2"+ of snow and temps in the low 20s on Halloween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Starting to wonder how long until this precip reaches me. It appears to be stationary now. You can see the kink in NC and that is the pivot that will put us in the firehose later. In the meantime, showers are starting to pop around Richmond which will work towards us that haven't received anything yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I keep thinking I see some rotation in some of these bands... is that right or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I keep thinking I see some rotation in some of these bands... is that right or no? Meh. I mean the wind fields are impressive so probably. But a bit of rotation doesn't mean much if it can't sustain or reach the surface. A few cells to watch maybe from Stafford area up towards Woodbridge atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Meh. I mean the wind fields are impressive so probably. But a bit of rotation doesn't mean much if it can't sustain or reach the surface. A few cells to watch maybe from Stafford area up towards Woodbridge atm. Watching the one due S of EZF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I love the GFS. Even though you know its 384hr scenarios will never occur, it brings a smile to your face. My point: 06z is showing 2"+ of snow and temps in the low 20s on Halloween. that should bring JI out from under his rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Nice windswept rain now. It's cool seeing the leaves fly around. EDIT: Visibility now around 1 mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 that should bring JI out from under his rock It's already started a spat in the banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 1.11 inches of rain so far! My weather equipment needed to be reset as it was uploading 2X the amount of rain that it should have! Local monitor shows the correct amount! Working on the Web Amount! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 1.11 inches of rain so far! My weather equipment needed to be reset as it was uploading 2X the amount of rain that it should have! Local monitor shows the correct amount! Working on the Web Amount! .65 10 miles to your east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 nice looking line might be developing south of dc. overall, the batch of rain is looking more showery as it heads east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Radar appears to be taking on more of a NNW to SSE orientation. Maybe swings through the metro area a bit faster?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 So much for EastCoastNPZ's drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Somethin's a-comin' for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Rumbly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Some of the biggest strikes/thunder of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Anybody else just have their GR Level 2 data go down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Crazy looking clouds...core coming right at me. Can see/hear a lot of lightning/thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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