yoda Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 we had a ton of ice on March 13,1993 That was more in S MD though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 So the skepticism is over the ice depiction, then? We are not so far into March that I find the idea that we might get an area-wide ice storm set-up as laughable as some of you. the storm is really a Feb 31 storm anyway.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GFS is insanely cold for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I'm sure we have...we have a period of record of ~150 years March 11-13, 1888 - LOL! We do not have that kind of situation here! LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM looks like it shows a 2 part system, first part is warm, but it lays the cold down, and the main low comes through and dumps on you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 March 11-13, 1888 - LOL! We do not have that kind of situation here! LOL! oh yeah...that was crippling here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM looks like it shows a 2 part system, first part is warm, but it lays the cold down, and the main low comes through and dumps on you guys So the 3 "major" models are 3 different solutions. Lovely EURO -- warm, not much wintry GFS -- sig ice storm GGEM -- warm 1st part, snowstorm 2nd part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 So the skepticism is over the ice depiction, then? We are not so far into March that I find the idea that we might get an area-wide ice storm set-up as laughable as some of you. uhh you new here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Mostly frozen precip. on this run. Back to back cold runs of GFS . And the Euro was also a little more south. Starting to think, as Matt has already mentioned , that if the temps are close to what the last 2 runs of GFS depict, then we r looking @ major icing. 51 years in Rockville. Never have seen major ice storm in March. We'll see what the Euro does. 1994 was pure ice for every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM looks like it shows a 2 part system, first part is warm, but it lays the cold down, and the main low comes through and dumps on you guys Looks like rain Sun night... transitions to sleet/ice Mon morning... then to snow Mon afternoon till Tues morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 So the 3 "major" models are 3 different solutions. Lovely EURO -- warm, not much wintry GFS -- sig ice storm GGEM -- warm 1st part, snowstorm 2nd part can you give a link to GGEM please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Pointing to a HECS to make a point about something being possible is pretty flimsy usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 FYI the GGEM does what the NAM was about to do. Everyone was saying the NAM was warm, but if you looked at H5 the main shortwave was still west of Texas....This is a way you guys could cash in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 FYI the GGEM does what the NAM was about to do. Everyone was saying the NAM was warm, but if you looked at H5 the main shortwave was still west of Texas....This is a way you guys could cash in... more importantly: how epic is day 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 uhh you new here? Yeah yeah, all the cool kids like to **** on ice storm set-ups. Until they happen. That one a few weeks back was legit for a lot of the forum. We are not so far into March that I find the idea that we might hold CAD enough for a repeat for some of the forum to be that outlandish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 can you give a link to GGEM please Meteocentre has it better at 12:15 or so... http://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html -- that is the crappy B&W version though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Yeah yeah, all the cool kids like to **** on ice storm set-ups. Until they happen. there's almost no chance the gfs is right on temps. i'd be willing to be randy's life on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 No big March ice storm since 1888... That means we are due! Lol at Feb 31st comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 lol haha.png That is an epic ice sounding hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I already mentioned this date in another thread- 3/13/84. Not a crippling ice storm, but enough to cause power outages in the suburbs. Here's IAD: http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KIAD/1984/3/13/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA (DCA changed to rain around 9 am as a comparison). There were multiple reports of icy roads and interstates too in the VA and MD close-in suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I already mentioned this date in another thread- 3/13/84. Not a crippling ice storm, but enough to cause power outages in the suburbs. Here's IAD: http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KIAD/1984/3/13/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA (DCA changed to rain around 9 am as a comparison). that has been a frequent analog on the models for a week now...knew about the storm on the 8th obviously and think we got snow on the 11th?...didn't know about the ice event until you mentioned it yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 lol haha.png nice curves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 1994 was pure ice for every storm. Unfortunately, yes. Didn't we a have a discussion this year about it? I wouldn't mind ice if it was followed by a warm-up. No generator here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 West of the fall line folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 The March climo point is legit but clearly North America isn't seeing typical temperatures next two weeks. If the cloud deck is thick enough to battle the sun on Monday, what's to stop ice accumulation? If ice fails, it will be for the same reasons it fails in January...the synoptic setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Whoa, GGEM is a legit snow on part 2. (just saw it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 lol Canada 6-8" snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Hm said yesterday that we not want to dismiss the ice idea. Looks like he might b right. I wonder how much faith we all would have if the GFS had shown rain and warmth ? My guess we all would thrown in the towel. We really r jaded from past experiences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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