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5/29 Severe Threat


CT Rain

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Only a handful of power outages in Litchfield County... appears damage was quite limited. Same story in western mass per WMECO. 

 

Might almost back us into a suggestion that this thing is more mid-level driven.  More SBCAPE would have result in more negative CAPE and thus outflow down to the deck. 

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Might almost back us into a suggestion that this thing is more mid-level driven.  More SBCAPE would have result in more negative CAPE and thus outflow down to the deck. 

 

Yeah enough of an inversion right near the ground to keep the strongest winds at bay? 

 

This thing def peaked near ALB and has been winding down since. 

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Yeah enough of an inversion right near the ground to keep the strongest winds at bay? 

 

This thing def peaked near ALB and has been winding down since. 

 

 

SPC mesoanalysis shows almost no DCAPE with this thing, and that's pretty much been true all along, definitely since ALB. It's not an index I look at much, but it does seem to have some value, if today is typical. No DCAPE = no Damage, apparently.

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Going to neat to see the entire thunderstorm complex miraculously vanish upon attempting to cross from the watch box into eastern sections...where there's no watch.     

 

Are you implying there should be a watch further east?  I know you know this, but its not about whether or not they vanish (the BOX forecast has T-storms in the eastern sections), lol. 

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