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The March 5-7 White Lion Obs/Nowcasting Thread


Ji

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LWX from the 9:42 update

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

STACKED LOW PRESSURE OVER THE HAMPTONS WILL SLOWLY PUSH

OFFSHORE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO THE NNE

OVER THE I95 CORRIDOR...AND PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED OVER TO

HEAVY SNOW. AREAS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BALTIMORE/DC SHOULD CHANGE

OVER TO SNOW AS WELL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. GIVEN THE

DURATION OF RAINFALL OVER THE REGION SO FAR THIS MORNING...HAVE

LOWERED SNOW TOTALS ALONG AND EAST OF I-95...BUT MAINTAINING

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

ALSO ADDED ISOLATED THUNDER TO AREAS S OF THE DC METRO. CONVECTION

CURRENTLY OCCURRING OVER SE VA MAY ROTATE NWD INTO THE PIEDMONT AND

SRN MD. ONE STRIKE WAS NOTED EARLIER OVER CULPEPER COUNTY...AND

FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE ELEVATED INSTABILITY.

PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. BANDS OF

HEAVIER PRECIP EXPECTED TO ROTATE AROUND THE NORTH AND WEST SIDE

OF THE LOW...AS LIFT CONTINUES TO BE STRONG. HRRR ADVERTISES ONE

SUCH BAND ROTATING AROUND THE DC METRO AREA THROUGH LATE

AFTERNOON...AND OTHER BANDING ACTIVITY ALONG AND WEST OF THE BLUE

RIDGE WHERE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN.

A RAPID DECREASE IN SNOW INTENSITIES WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE

MIDDLE/LATE EVE HRS FROM WEST-TO-EAST AS THE LOW ACCELERATES OFF THE

COAST AND DISSIPATES THE LARGER SNOW BAND OVER THE REGION. ONLY

FLURRIES AND RESIDUAL LIGHT POCKETS OF SNOW CONTINUE LATE THIS EVE

BUT ALSO DISSIPATE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HRS. AS CONDITIONS DRY

OUT...WINDS WILL REMAIN. TEMPS WON`T DROP TOO MUCH FURTHER BELOW

FREEZING BUT WILL CHILLS WILL...AS A DRIER BITING NW WIND TAKES OVER

INTO THE EARLY MRNG HRS THU.

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Ok despite radar anomalies etc., I've resigned to accepting 'something pretty to look at.' Congrats to those getting what they deserved. Now I feel grateful for growing up in Ellicott City. DC climo is a b****.

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Chances DCA doesn't record 2''? ...

 

50/50?

 

could do it at the end. radar doesn't look that good for the city right now. we need a few hours of pummeling or lower temps.. neither seem imminent.

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