NJwinter23

Great storm. I do remember being a bit pissed at the beginning when the dry air kept eating away at the onset of the system...It took FOREVER for the snow to start that day, it finally began by late afternoon, and I knew we had likely missed out on the historic snowfall chances by that point in New Brunswick, NJ. We were modelled on the huge gradient so I thought it still could go either way day of. 11" later in new brunswick, but 18-22 one county to the south and east.

The way I recall the model drama for Jan. 05 storm... models 5+ days out had a major snowstorm for the northeast (the euro stands out here). There was the beastly vort max expected to drop down from Canada, but I also believe the long range models had it phasing with a southern vort max which was referred to as the "Baja low" in the southern stream. The models then began to ditch the idea of these two systems phasing as the Baja low closed off and decided it would hang out over, well, the Baja...The storm threat completely fell apart as I recall from the day~2-5 range as the northern vort was no longer digging south enough and it basically trended to a crap clipper on the models...Then in the short range everything started to come back, and we had just another instance where each model run got better and better as we got closer, to the point where 24 hours out we were staring at a HECS. Loved that storm down here in coastal Jersey where we had 16 inches. Most of the damage (10 inches) came with the warm air advection punch on that Saturday, It got briefly dicey that evening as the back edge of that precip neared with the 850 low, the temp spiked to 32 and a change over was 5 miles from my house. Then in the nick of time temps began to crash again and we caught the beginning stages of the CCB late that night and Sunday morning. Dropped a windswept, cold fluffy 6 inches to top things off.

It is hard to imagine a tornado spinning up EF5 damage that quickly, though I am no expert on the subject. These storms were moving 60+mph at times though so were talking about a 2 1/2 minute tornado that created EF5 destruction? Wow if that's the case. Looking at a map it would appear this could have been part of the same long track supercell that devestated Hackleburg and moved towards Huntsville?

Will, Your recollection of the AVN and ETA runs leading up to that storm within 96/60hrs respectively line up well with the data I got to look at for my case study on the storm I did about a year ago. Interesting to hear how the other global models performed though as I did not get to examine that data. Looking at the gempak images i generated... 3/3/01 00z ETA -48hr: 996mb over se NC, .5-.75 qpf across DC to Baltimore, .25 up to NYC -60hr: 984mb well east of Delmarva, HECS ongoing Philly to NYC right to the coast with 1.5 qpf max over se NJ, another .5-.75 for DC-Baltimore 3/3/01 12z ETA -36hr: 992mb over western NC, 996mb extention to the coast, .5-.75+ blob now from central Kentucky through to Garrett county Maryland, nw of dc-bmore -48hr: 988mb over Salsbury MD, .75-1.00" from LI across all of northern NJ back to central PA down to nw DC/Bmore suburbs with those cities right on the .75 line. 850 0c line now inland across se NJ with only .25 qpf for them. Big nw shift. -60hr: 984mb east of NJ, SNE getting blasted, the CCB extending south across with .5-.75 across northern NJ down eastern PA, dryslot along NYC and the coast 3/4/01 00z ETA -24hr: 1000mb over western NC inverted extensions towards eastern NC and north into Ohio Valley. .5 qpf blob from philly back west to Ohio Valley, DC.Bmore on the fringe and also with the 850 0c line over them. -36hr: 992mb over Salsbury, 850 0c line northwest of DC-Philly ands just south of NYC now. But qpf max now located over State College PA, with .5 extending east to northween NJ/NYC -48hr: 988mb east of NJ , New England back into upstate NY now getting blasted with only .25-.75 NYC to Philly. 850 0c line across Cape Cod 3/4/01 12z ETA -12hr: 1000mb over western NC, qpf max across western PA, .5-.75 across DC/Bmore to Philly, 850 0c line north of these cities -24hr: broad 996mb from eastern NC to Delmarva, qpf max central PA up to Albany, all of NJ less then .5 qpf, less then .25 qpf Philly-DC, 850 line NYC to northwest of Philly/DC -36hr: 984mb east of NJ, but dry area less than .25 over eastern NJ/NYC, New England through uopstate NY south to nw PA get heavier qpf 3/5/01 00z ETA -12hr: broad 996mb on Delmarva, 850 line across the big cities with less than .25 qpf for everybody,heavy snow central PA through Binghampton/Albany -24hr: 984mb just south of LI, southern New England back to upstate NY getting blasted -36hr: 980mb along southern NE coast, epic hit for Boston north into SE Maine back to NH. SE Maine is suddenly forecasted to get 30" of snow. Note how the surface low was almost 4mb weaker for an equivalent timestamp on each consecutive model run. It was result of the 500mb interaction between southern shortwave and northern monster bowling ball rotating down from Canada phasing later with every consecutive model run. This also caused the max precip shield to shift northwest towards the stronger northern stream wave that had better forcing associated with it

From going on a few interviews in the private sector, I noticed every company was selling the fact that they've been growing or even "exploding in growth" from selling their services recently. I would definitely agree with your comment.

Really enjoying this thread as a N mid-atl outsider. The accounts/descriptions of 12/9/05 are truly fascinating in all aspects. In terms of my first weather memories, I have random vague images of playing in the snow in the early 90s, including being outside the day of the first WTC bombings as it snowed very lightly. And I was thoroughly dissapointed that the special report trumped Woody the Woodpecker that day lol. Anyway, the first REAL significant storm events I can trace back to are the following: -92 noreaster, looking out my back door at a rainy bare ground and the tall oaks bending down in the wind like I had never seen before. -93 Superstorm I remember waking up and looking outside to an all out blizzard. Was outside for most of the day as nearly a foot accumulated and recall being forced inside by the change to sleet stinging my face. The next morning I was riding my big whealie on top of the 10" cement ice block on my driveway as my dad picked away at it with an axe. -94 icestorms were epic in central NJ. By far the worst this area has ever seen in my lifetime (though the small area in the se part of my county that was struck with ZR on 2/14/07 might argue otherwise) -2/4-5/95 was a big snowstorm(it's a KU case) I traced backed my memories to. From 95-96 winter on, I literally remember every single snowstorm.

I kept watching because of the CREAM song in the background

Yeah I could tell the band was still exploding at the end of your loop, but what you posted still does justice.. That presentation was outstanding too. Another thing I remember from that storm was that poor old weathafella was away and missed it. What I'd do to experience something like that.

Thanks Will. Looks SICK

Thanks a lot man checking it out now.

Just curiously peaking through the SNE trip down memory lane thread here. Does anybody have a loop of that 12/9/2005 thundersnow epic comma band that annihilated you guys? I remember being amazed watching that unfold from down in NJ where we got a little thump of our own.

Holy ****