nw baltimore wx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The canadian is almost identical to the GFS and NAM..The Euro and British model are alone right now. I'm not saying they are not right. Just they are alone. I'm not saying that either. I was just saying that for most of us, we are holding our breath with each gfs run hoping that this doesn't suddenly look like the euro. I'm only saying that it's happened before. We all know that models aren't going to get this dead-on, but us weenies are hoping that one is going to outperform another. Me? I want the gfs. Huff and those well south of DC? The euro. As a weenie, my guess is that it's something in between but I have nothing to offer to support that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm not saying that either. I was just saying that for most of us, we are holding our breath with each gfs run hoping that this doesn't suddenly look like the euro. I'm only saying that it's happened before. We all know that models aren't going to get this dead-on, but us weenies are hoping that one is going to outperform another. Me? I want the gfs. Huff and those well south of DC? The euro. As a weenie, my guess is that it's something in between but I have nothing to offer to support that. The euro is still 10 inches out here for me. At this point I will be shocked if I dont see at least 6 inches from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The euro is still 10 inches out here for me. At this point I will be shocked if I dont see at least 6 inches from this. Yeah, you look good. The crazy gradient from east to west on some of the clown maps makes me nervous, but I always worry right up until the snow stops falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 there have never been more snow maps posted than in the past hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 there have never been more snow maps posted than in the past hour I've been out all day and still haven't looked at the 18z. I greatly appreciate the maps because it saves me from looking at the run. I'm in awe on so many levels...heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 there have never been more snow maps posted than in the past hour Being in the red light district in Amsterdam is fun and all but nothing beats tracking this. I cannot wait to get home tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 A foot of snow in early March isn't as hard as you think. Make mine a bourbon. Well, I'd feel a whole lot more confidence on Parr's Ridge too! Scotch for me, but I've got some fine bourbons too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 NBC 4 Doug Kamerer? led the 6 p.m. newscast by talking about the potential storm. But only said Wednesday will likely be "the most significant" snow of the year for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 When do ensembles stop being 'useful?' Within 48 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 You love being you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Euro is sitting on 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 NBC 4 Doug Kamerer? led the 6 p.m. newscast by talking about the potential storm. But only said Wednesday will likely be "the most significant" snow of the year for many. that's a tough call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 that's a tough call He got a bit bolder during his regular weather segment. He showed a map that had southern Maryland in a "rain to snow" zone. The I-95 corridor was in "mix to snow" zone and said it "could be significant." He then had the extreme NW tip of DC, most of Montgomery, Fairfax and points west in a "significant snow" zone and said by "significant" he means at least 4 inches and perhaps quite a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 NBC 4 Doug Kamerer? led the 6 p.m. newscast by talking about the potential storm. But only said Wednesday will likely be "the most significant" snow of the year for many. Thought he did well. Used 95 as the rain/snow line throughout the day on Wednesday. Said 4+ for west of there is likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I would be happier right now if there was a second hecs on the heels like Feb 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Does Bob Ryan still think there's no reason to think we'll get anything from the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I would be happier right now if there was a second hecs on the heels like Feb 2010. A second HECS in March would definitely suffer by the warming atmosphere even if only a week later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 I would be happier right now if there was a second hecs on the heels like Feb 2010. i think at this range we still didn't know. it started to really come together as that storm was happening/ending. so.. in other words.. give it a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 Does Bob Ryan still think there's no reason to think we'll get anything from the storm? i dont think so https://twitter.com/BobRyanABC7/status/308282655953268737 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 i think at this range we still didn't know. it started to really come together as that storm was happening/ending. so.. in other words.. give it a few days. 18z gfs kinda reloads down the line. Getting later so more miracles would have to happen inside of a miracle. Maybe the d9 cutter ends up below us. You know, models not handling the blocking properly and stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 i dont think so https://twitter.com/BobRyanABC7/status/308282655953268737 He links a pic from the Blizzard of 1888? Ok... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 He links a pic from the Blizzard of 1888? Ok... Not very far fetched IMO. DC got about 6" and from the pic it looks like paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Is the Blizzard of 93, when I think DCA got 12 inches, the record for a March snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 So it is looking more and more like I will get to finally use my new snow pants and boots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Slow in here right now so thought I'd throw this out for the Bmore crew. Anyone have any thoughts on Mike Masco? I don't know anything about him. http://www.abc2news.com/dpp/weather/weather_blogs/snow-threat-increasing-for-wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Is the Blizzard of 93, when I think DCA got 12 inches, the record for a March snowfall? DCA measured 6.6" in '93. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DCA measured 6.6" in '93. I think these are still # 1-2 for March in DC: Mar 27-28, 1891 (12.0") Mar 28, 1942 (11.5") 3/9/1999 may be the DCA record at 8.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Bob Ryan does a 180 since Friday. Now goes all in for a "major" DC snowstorm. Says 70 percent chance of at least 6 inches. http://www.wjla.com/blogs/weather/2013/03/snow-storm-wednesday-more-likely-18222.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Bob Ryan does a 180 since Friday. Now goes all in for a "major" DC snowstorm. Says 70 percent chance of at least 6 inches. http://www.wjla.com/blogs/weather/2013/03/snow-storm-wednesday-more-likely-18222.html Interesting... usually he doesnt do that unless he is sure... and he is often bearish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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