WinterWxLuvr Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Radar looks slightly as if they may be weakening a touch. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 853 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... CITY OF WINCHESTER IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... EASTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... EASTERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 945 PM EDT * AT 851 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DETECTED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SPRUCE PINE HOLLOW TO VALLEY HIGH TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TIMBER RIDGE...AND WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS LINE OF STORMS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MARTINSBURG... INWOOD... MILLWOOD PIKE... STEPHENS CITY... GREENWOOD... SHEPHERDSTOWN... BERRYVILLE... RANSON... CHARLES TOWN... FRONT ROYAL... DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL OCCUR FAR AHEAD OF ANY RAIN OR LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING SHELTER. MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Getting rough here fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 From the 900 LWX AFD Disco 00Z LWX RAOB DEPICT PLENTY OF INSTBY...CAPES ARND 3600 J/KG. THUS...STORMS ABLE TO WITHSTAND CROSSING THE APPALACHIANS...AND SHUD NOW MAINTAIN INTENSITY. WL HV ACTIVITY MAKE IT TO METRO DC...BUT NOT LKLY TIL AFTER 10 PM. HV ADJUSTED POPS IN LINE WITH THESE GOING TRENDS. NOT CERTAIN IF THESE STORMS WL BE SEVERE WHEN IT REACHES THE DISTRICT...BUT AT THE VERY LEAST WL HV A LTNG THREAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I don't understand these great radar echoes. These storms lately are all wind and very little rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Very strong winds. Virtually no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 934 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN RAPPAHANNOCK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... EASTERN WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... NORTHERN CULPEPER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... SOUTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... NORTHWESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... WESTERN LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... NORTHERN FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 1015 PM EDT * AT 932 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DETECTED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF FRONT ROYAL TO DELAPLANE TO FRONT ROYAL...AND WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS LINE OF STORMS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FRONT ROYAL... DELAPLANE... HUME... THE PLAINS... WARRENTON... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Wow the outflow has been awesome while outside with the neighbors shooting off fireworks. and wow what a light show to the SSE of us here in Leesburg. Amazing lightning. No rain though but one awesome light show from the lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowden Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Extremely heavy rain here in East Loudoun! Frequent cloud to ground lightning and high winds. Lost power for a minute... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 It felt brutal out there today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Have Been viewing the lightning from the storm to the SW for the last hour Now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 00z NAM has us reaching 100 prior to 11am on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Nice view of the outflow on radar tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 A Complex is diving SE out of Ohio with several warnings. Maybe it will stay together in this juicy atmosphere tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 A Complex is diving SE out of Ohio with several warnings. Maybe it will stay together in this juicy atmosphere tonight. Probably will miss us but good luck with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I was a bit late getting set up (left the tripod head in my apartment...d'oh), but I did grab a few so-so photos of lightning from tonight's storms, since they missed just to my south. Having some tripod issues, and after this the storm really died down quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Nice shots! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 You always have some very nice shots Hank and these are too, excellent shots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Weather channel forecasting 107 for Baltimore saturday, worst part is its possible and the science center will hit 112. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 A Complex is diving SE out of Ohio with several warnings. Maybe it will stay together in this juicy atmosphere tonight. Back here in the Pittsburgh area this week and just got hit with a warned cell. Once we got the purple returns, half inch hail started falling. Good winds and absolutely torrential rains. So nice not to see storms fizzle as they approach you. Frederick weather is just awful and boring! But I'll take my .07" of rain today I guess. Lol. Does seem like the energy off their line is transferring east some so maybe western areas of LWX might get in on some action later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I was a bit late getting set up (left the tripod head in my apartment...d'oh), but I did grab a few so-so photos of lightning from tonight's storms, since they missed just to my south. Great shots and thanks for sharing. Always wanted to get lightning photos...do you just take continuous photos hoping to capture some or is there another secret? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 GFS shows a lot of rain at the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 During 1980, 1991, and 1997, DC reached 95 on seven straight days, but in no prior year has it reached 95 on eight straight days. So, tomorrow should set a new record for consecutive 95+ days. However, setting 95 as the threshold for extreme heat is somewhat arbitrary. Highs during the last seven days (June 28-July 4) have averaged 98.3, whereas in 1930 there was a streak of 10 days (July 18-27) that reached at least 93, with an average high of 99.5 (six of those days reached at least 100). I had 3 yrs with 8 in chart in 95+ thread. I have spreadsheet on another computer but I see eight in 2002 (8/12-8/19)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Weather channel forecasting 107 for Baltimore saturday, worst part is its possible and the science center will hit 112. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Single cell over Quantico.. KNYG 050702Z AUTO 31036G59KT 1/4SM +TSRA BKN008 OVC085 23/18 A2998 RMK AO2 PRESRR P0048 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 00z NAM has us reaching 100 prior to 11am on Saturday. awesome - perfect weather for a move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I was a bit late getting set up (left the tripod head in my apartment...d'oh), but I did grab a few so-so photos of lightning from tonight's storms, since they missed just to my south. Beautiful! Going to try to beat the heat today and get my kids out. Heading up to Cunningham Falls Lake to cool off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 SPC likes us Days 3 and 4: ...OH VALLEY THROUGH NERN STATES... ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY BE ONGOING EARLY SATURDAY IN VICINITY OF BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM A PORTION OF NY INTO NEW ENGLAND. DIABATIC WARMING SOUTH OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL DESTABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND CONTRIBUTE TO 1000-1500 J/KG CAPE DURING THE AFTERNOON. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF SWD ADVANCING FRONT. STRENGTHENING MID-UPPER FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH SEWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN 30-40 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR ALONG NRN EDGE OF WARM SECTOR. FAST MOVING STORMS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLY SOME HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE SWD THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC AND OH VALLEY DAY 4 /SUNDAY/. A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL EXIST SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY AND BELT OF MODERATE WLY TO WNWLY FLOW ALOFT MAY OVERLAP NRN FRINGE OF WARM SECTOR. SCATTERED STORMS WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT DURING THE DAY AND MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 So 105 in play for Saturday at DCA and or IAD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I don't understand these great radar echoes. These storms lately are all wind and very little rain. Noted the same thing. We've had 3 warned storms and one more t-storm since Friday and I've received a grand total of .37" rain. Each of these storms has been all wind and lightning, and I would say are the 3 most intense lightning storms in my memory. Last night took the top spot; I've never even come close to seeing that much cloud-to-ground strikes. I wish I'd videoed. A house a block down the street from mine apparently was hit as multiple fire-trucks were on scene for more than an hour. There was an almost constant wail of sirens as trucks were running up and down Rt 11 responding to - what I assume were - other lightining-caused structure fires. Wild night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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