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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thunder and a little shower here now. -
Thankful for the rains we received. I’d say a solid 3-4” through out the midstate. Love seeing the cooler temps. I will gladly take a cool May. The longer the heat is delayed the shorter the summer in my opinion.
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2026-2027 El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What are your thoughts for north country? Obviously vermont always gets more than the cities but does next winter really have the potential to be as much of a stinker for the ski areas as 2015-2016? -
Yeah looks like a quiet period upcoming but some signals things may get a bit more active...probably around the time too many are heading out to the Plains to chase. But def can't sleep on next week, have to see what moisture return is like but that is going to be an anomalously strong jet traversing the deep South again
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A little clunky but it works. Thanks
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Busy doing man things to dead trees with chainsaws. Kiss the ring. Knowing what the difference is between showing what computer outputs show and a forecast is hard for a layman like you. EPS is very chilly. Maybe 1 day of of warmth. 50s next 10 days Euro agree GFS not much better All told i probably squeeze out a couple nice days but temps will struggle with destructive sunshine. Huge pattern change 2026-04-19 51 36 43.5 -5.9 2026-04-20 49 27 38.0 -11.8 2026-04-21 50 26 38.0 -12.2 2026-04-22 48 33 40.5 -10.1 2026-04-23 69 38 53.5 2.5 2026-04-24 61 36 48.5 -2.8 2026-04-25 56 32 44.0 -7.7 2026-04-26 63 37 50.0 -2.1 2026-04-27 71 33 52.0 -0.5
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I think in 2018 DCA got 66" of precip lol. Basically double what we've had the last couple years. I felt like we were living in Florida that year
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4.5" max in Johnson Co. TX ydy. Enjoy it b/c that will be the last of sig svr in the "Alley" for the next week! This pattern out there is the equivalent of CoastalWx "THIS BLOWS" for the Northeast, but at least we may get some half-decent tstm activity here w/ so many FROPAs and the mean trough position stuck in the E UFN.
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Did someone call my name? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleocene–Eocene_thermal_maximum
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Your point Dexter ? Awft On 4/17/2026 at 10:40 AM, Ginx snewx said: EPS is very chilly. Maybe 1 day of of warmth. 50s next 10 days Euro agree GFS not much better All told i probably squeeze out a couple nice days but temps will struggle with destructive sunshine. Huge pattern change 2026-04-19 51 36 43.5 -5.9 2026-04-20 49 27 38.0 -11.8 2026-04-21 50 26 38.0 -12.2 2026-04-22 48 33 40.5 -10.1 2026-04-23 69 38 53.5 2.5 2026-04-24 61 36 48.5 -2.8 2026-04-25 56 32 44.0 -7.7 2026-04-26 63 37 50.0 -2.1 2026-04-27 71 33 52.0 -0.5
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don't really understand the MRGL for the DC area. It makes some sense for areas further south and west, but while the low-level shear should be decent this evening, there really isn't much of a path to sfc-based instability. I'll be happy if we can just get some heavy convective elements with thunder.- 295 replies
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i want to believe
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I can just feel my hopes of mid-70+ water temps at Warren Dunes before August slipping away. Makes raging over missing out on snow seem quite pathetic in comparison
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00z Euro had an interesting look for next Thursday. Decent shear and placement of the low, would like to see some more instability though. Still, its far out and possibly something to track over the next week.
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Yeah big changes last couple days. We need the rain but even tonight's has been chopped back to .25-.50
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- april showers bring may..
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Looks like the bleak long range forecast of clouds cool and showers has evaporated Mild actually this week with clouds but rainfall cut way back and sure a cool weekend coming up but 70s aplenty with a nice spring week to follow
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- april showers bring may..
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Yup . Another beaut
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Spoke too soon, here comes the sun
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Looks that way next few weeks too
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With a shower this morning, we have officially crossed 10" of rain this month in my backyard. Wettest month we've had in the 6 years I've lived here. May to start dry and cool.....let's hope the faucet doesn't completely shut off as seems to have been common over the past several summers.
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Believe a lot of apple orchards in Sussex county and ny got hit hard too.
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Great question! Long term data is stored, but the website hasn't evolved yet to display that information. As a temporary work around, I've been taking the URL for the Las Vegas ASOS (you can use any western region ob) that capture the 5-min observations (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KVGT), then switch out the airport code for the MD mesonet stations, which use the nomenclature of three digits then MD (EX: 001MD, 002MD, etc.) Once you swap out the site code, refresh the page then left click 'Advanced Options' and you can select a time from the 'Number of Hours to Retrieve'. Paging @wxmeddler in case I missed anything.
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Sunday looks kinda ruined again down here. terrible timing for a party
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The PDO has been negative for 6 years. It's easier for the MA to be wet when the PDO is positive because La Nina like dry conditions are more likely when the PDO is negative. The coming El Nino can possibly fail if the PDO stays negative.
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Stein trying tomorrow. Webbed hands blocking good rains
