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  1. Past hour
  2. If it doesn’t clear out pretty substantially I think we’re mostly shot for anything later but I’ll take whatever rain we get.
  3. 1.03 in Central Park between 11:51 and 12:51. As always ….
  4. Storm near Madison VA is rotating. Has a well defined mesocyclone on radar, and it’s even further from the warm front than most of us.
  5. One storm after another. Fun from a weather enthusiast point of view, crappy for somebody who has been on the road all day.
  6. 1.5” - would be fine missing the severe threat this evening but we’ll see how it works out.
  7. New severe thunderstorm watches in IN/MI/OH/PA along with the enhanced risk outlook type area. A few storms are getting going in Flint in South Bend, but nothing much. Probably a marginal severe storm by Flint. KDTX has no radar data, by the way, so that's a bummer for me an a couple of you guys in Michigan.
  8. Hysterical that JFK’s latest ob is TSTM/Smoke.
  9. Well over 2” of rain here
  10. there is still some left over smoke in that image
  11. Below is the first time I have used AI (Claude) to help analyze the Chester County Data set with data from 1893 to Present. Below is the average number of 90+ days by station and month. Including the years of record and the overall annual average. It did this correctly! see below.
  12. And yet the NCEI cooling didn't stop for another 45 years! Climate changing adjustments working overtime!
  13. We'll see if the break and clearing around 3 pm is enough to heat up the atmosphere for a more widespread 6pm round2
  14. We've been getting near constant thunder since around 11am here in New Hope PA. Had some very close lightning strikes earlier.
  15. https://nypost.com/2026/07/17/science/could-el-nino-and-atlantic-nina-join-forces-to-stop-hurricanes/?utm_campaign=nypost&sr_share=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwdGRjcATIledjbGNrBMiV4GV4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkDDM1MDY4NTUzMTcyOAABHrZJplYxVhr-qY48UT6kFhSme1bPRK1zvCIdz63839hZK2q13u4fIvlfVA-5_aem_TWYFCDQhIkpDDrf6FtadpA
  16. incoming storms here near brier creek. Some rumbling now
  17. Round two is incoming for the south shore. Constant thunder at jones beach currently .
  18. Hoping for afternoon batch to go south
  19. I’m liking Harrisburg to Lancaster to Philly for the best tornado potential today just based on where the warm front appears to be setting up.
  20. Tornado warning now in Western NY. Ontario County.
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