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2/10-2/18 look fairly hostile for cold and snow in the northeast south of NNE unless we can see some improvements in the pacific as we get closer. The blocking will prevent a “torch.”

The problem is when does it reload...and if we can manage an event VD/PD weekend with said relaxing pattern. If we don't ya start wondering about the rest of the month. I mean I don't read ensembles that well so maybe somebody can tell me if thet show cold coming back after next week. And a February SSW doesn't give me confidence because that was too little too late last time. But man I'd love a good snow event in late February--that would be almost historic given how rare it is (I won't believe it till I see the calendar say February 21st-28th and it's snowing a few inches outside, lol)

Well how do we know that won’t end up like those mega torches perpetually two weeks away that some ensembles were showing a month ago?

30.9 here.

Yea they have. Recent runs have been slightly less positive tilt though and we’re seeing a slower progression/more backing of the precip bc of it

Looking at the next two weeks, some ensemble members do get us to the 60s particularly the middle to end of next week. Have to remember, however, that normal highs rise to the low 50s at the end of the month so 60 is not that much above normal. As everyone here knows, we will need much below normal temps for snow during the day as we approach the end of February and the EPS extended indicates that is possible.

WBAL just ran a story about the challenges of snow removal and its impact on schools. A portion of the convo centered around un shoveled sidewalks in the adjacent neighborhoods and nowhere in any of the video roll did you actually see someone from the community shoveling sidewalks……because you know, that’s the school’s responsibility. End of rant. Old man yells at cloud.

you should have said "Not saying this will even appear on the 0Z run" - not that there is anything wrong with that...

Sure as hell worked this year. Lol Nothing's perfect, that's a fact, but when it comes to being the seasonal bullseye for snow, being the one for the first 1 or 2 events puts you in the "likely" category for the season imho. 2015 was an exception. A very good one at that, but an exception nonetheless imho.

So the hose did a pretty good job today of at least opening up a few of the ice dams but man that temp needs to come up at least another 10 degrees or so to put a serious dent into the ice pack. We’re getting there though..might’ve got just a hint of color today with that ever so slowly rising sun angle!

As the crow flies, I live less than 2 miles away on top of a hill and it always amazes me what the differences are between here and there.

Big Thaw more likely next week

Yeah we’ll see…looks pretty cold even if it moderates a bit. Too bad we have a bush league high Saturday morning because models are bringing afternoon temps down near 0°.

Probably Wednesday the 21st right was the last time…was up near 40 that day if I remember right?

It would be disappointing if we didn't get at least 30" for the season given how cold its been. Getting no snow in Feb & March (which I highly doubt) would be a major shutout.

Receipts?

let's go!

It might our last chance

NAM 3k still looking interesting. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Ensembles hinted at this snow potential for a while albeit positive tilt.

29.5° today felt like 60 honestly, I don't think I've been above freezing here in a couple weeks, that mid Jan thaw was the last time I think...the cold I can handle it is the wind that kills me and drafty house ftl.

Not saying THIS will happen, however bowling ball season is approaching.

Only half our region will score that dusting based on current models. Thats at best.

My son just saw the euro forecast on WBAL. He turned to me and said “that’s terrible”. smdh… nobody has any faith in #WWAW