CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 thanks...does it look like significant ice verbatim for the interior or here? Well my guess would be more the higher terrain of orh county and the berks..up through sw nh, has the best shot of any siggy icing, but Blackstone would probably be far enough inland for a little ice anyways. I'm sure we'll see things change over the next few runs, but hopefully we can get the coastal to take over sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 How long you gone for? I hate these 36 hour turn arounds! I show up at the office Friday zombielike.... These are all I do now are these 1, 2 nighters only. I am a zombie for sure the next day, but would rather be home these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 19. -sn here at 2k looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 15, 2011 Author Share Posted January 15, 2011 what is criteria in S and/or SW NH for a WWA? i wonder if everyone knows roads will be slippery........or did they just hear "maybe a few flurries". Advisory criteria for here is 4''. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 these are windy white-outy snow squalls folks - And this banded stuff extends N into southern Ontario, as well as E to near ALB and it is all charging E. kingston, ON hvy snow 1/8 mile rippin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 It's starting to look good for central ne. Yes. Been out all morning running errands thinking I see only a few renegade flakes but the radar that Ginx tossed up looks damned good for decent accumulating snow. Mid-week looks pretty nice as well, though I'm not in the camp that wants ice. No thanks, at least not for accrual of over half-inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Anyone care to discuss the chances of this becoming an all-snow event for SNE, and what would need to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Leaving Tuesday at 5pm for ORD, all day in Chicago,then Wed night to Omaha, All morning in Omaha Thursday then back home through Chicago landing around 10pm. Nothing direct from Omaha. If my flight out Tues was canceled I wouldn't be terribly upset. LOL...I may see you in the terminal Thurs night. I arrive from TPA around 9:20 or so. Actually, my strategy is to walk off the plane directly to a cab and in my house before 10. It could happen. Then on the computer posting something about the next system....walk the dog...then bed. Wake the next day and feel it big time mid day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 looks like the 12z GGEM tries to develop the secondary quicker than 00z with a colder solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 looks like the 12z GGEM tries to develop the secondary quicker than 00z with a colder solution Very warm....H85 above 0C for most of NE but implied llvl colder so ice interior. CMC supports last night's Euro on Friday system. Very Feb 67 like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Good Luck on the snow for the next 10 days.. I am headed to Asia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Good Luck on the snow for the next 10 days.. I am headed to Asia. How long you gone for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Wow UKMET says my flight round 14Z is delayed Tuesday morning for sure. Moderate snow falling by 12Z. I wouldn't mind. A cancellation would be just about perfect as I'd probably have to do what I need to do Wednesday remotely. Is that GMT time? My wife is flying out of Manchester, NH at 7am Tuesday morning. Is she is jeopardy of not getting out? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Euro looks like the NAM. A little snow, then cold rain at the coast and perhaps a good chunk of CT. Ice for areas like Berks and up through sw NH and nrn ORH county. Low moves right into sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 I can't afford (literaly) a large rain event with all of the snow on my 230 year old roof. This kind of pattern plays havoc on my old-as-time house. What's worse are the frozen gutters that will aid in the expansion of the siding, ultimately allowing water to filter in. Sounds confusing, but bottom line, please tell me that this wil NOT be a lengthy rain event for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Euro looks like the NAM. A little snow, then cold rain at the coast and perhaps a good chunk of CT. Ice for areas like Berks and up through sw NH and nrn ORH county. Low moves right into sne. so rain event....except ice in GC...monads ...this needs to improve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 so rain event....except ice in GC...monads ...this needs to improve You would see snow to ice and then some rain. You'll be fine if you squeeze a few inches out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Lock in an icestorm north and west of 495 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 You would see snow to ice and then some rain. You'll be fine if you squeeze a few inches out. My usual Euro source (Dryslot) must be out ripping his snowmobile across a lake. Euro is mostly frozen up here, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Snowign lightly. 18.0/11 off my high of 18.2. I'll take snow over ice next week, please. Edit: ice at BDL will be good for flight cancelation, snow at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Make sure to clear out those storm drains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Lock in an icestorm north and west of 495 This is one event where I hope you are wrong, but I think you might be right I still am hoping it is mostly snow with a little glaze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 15, 2011 Author Share Posted January 15, 2011 Lock in an icestorm north and west of 495 Fine as long as we limit accretion to under .5''... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 It's a tough call yet again... gee wiz. In any event, I'm impressed with the rad presentation along the Mohawk Trail upstream this afternoon. This kind of 30DBZ fuzz in 25/10 type air mass is high ratio low visibility stuff. I don't perceive this as a "dry up" scenario because it is not based on either CAA, or s-base instability, but has got mlv dynamical support. I think 1-spot 3" totals should sweep through the area. The storm mid week is puzzling. The 12z GFS has all snow at FIT per point-click MOS product at Weathertap, and the synoptics are not impossible, yet the warm solutions forcibly entered on the 12z guidance. I still see colder solutions as favored despite these runs, but may capitulate if things appear different on over the weekend. Part of the reason why is because the west to east component of the flow is where most of this amplitude is stored... The north south is relatively shallow. In other words, we don't necessarily need the more typical Dekotas longitude ridge axis; particularly also when the flow is highly compressible over FL - that ain't hurting anything. Also, the PNA is rising, so the correction vector is pointed toward more western heights out in time, probably somewhat E as well. ...how much remains to be seen, but envision a model byproduct that shades the top of the ridge axis polarward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 It's a tough call yet again... gee wiz. In any event, I'm impressed with the rad presentation along the Mohawk Trail upstream this afternoon. This kind of 30DBZ fuzz in 25/10 type air mass is high ratio low visibility stuff. I don't perceive this as a "dry up" scenario because it is not based on either CAA, or s-base instability, but has got mlv dynamical support. I think 1-spot 3" totals should sweep through the area. The storm mid week is puzzling. The 12z GFS has all snow at FIT per point-click MOS product at Weathertap, and the synoptics are not impossible, yet the warm solutions forcibly entered on the 12z guidance. I still see colder solutions as favored despite these runs, but may capitulate if things appear different on over the weekend. Part of the reason why is because the west to east component of the flow is where most of this amplitude is stored... The north south is relatively shallow. In other words, we don't necessarily need the more typical Dekotas longitude ridge axis; particularly also when the flow is highly compressible over FL - that ain't hurting anything. Also, the PNA is rising, so the correction vector is pointed toward more western heights out in time, probably somewhat E as well. ...how much remains to be seen, but envision a model byproduct that shades the top of the ridge axis polarward. Exactly what I've been saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Good lord...the forecast looks GREAT!! I'll bet everyone away from the immediate s coast and cape sees a net gain from this next event, then the arctic hounds are released.....I can't complain about a thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Good lord...the forecast looks GREAT!! I'll bet everyone away from the immediate s coast and cape sees a net gain from this next event, then the arctic hounds are released.....I can't complain about a thing. Optimistic about Tuesday? I kinda wish I could stick around and see how the rest of this winter turns out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Optimistic about Tuesday? I kinda wish I could stick around and see how the rest of this winter turns out. That we don't torch, yes. I just want a couple inches of snow, a bit of sleet. then keep it below 37*......I am not getting ice, so I'm not event bothering with that; almost always a fantasy for this area points east to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Lock in an icestorm north and west of 495 Not if the Euro is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Not if the Euro is right Don't think it's seeing ll cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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