October 2026

[the_other_guy]

Why is everyone bragging about no heat?

I dont get it.

41F here this morning. Heat was on…and has been on at least 5 times already. 

The weekend of 26/27, it was on several times during the day.

Who wants to be cold and damp in their house? Bizzaro

[FPizz]

7 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Why is everyone bragging about no heat?

I dont get it.

41F here this morning. Heat was on…and has been on at least 5 times already. 

The weekend of 26/27, it was on several times during the day.

Who wants to be cold and damp in their house? Bizzaro

Agreed, turn on the heat or A/C as needed.  

[psv88]

25 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Why is everyone bragging about no heat?

I dont get it.

41F here this morning. Heat was on…and has been on at least 5 times already. 

The weekend of 26/27, it was on several times during the day.

Who wants to be cold and damp in their house? Bizzaro

No clue. I have a wife and kids and I want them to be comfortable. Maybe it makes people feel tough?

[Brian5671]

37 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Why is everyone bragging about no heat?

I dont get it.

41F here this morning. Heat was on…and has been on at least 5 times already. 

The weekend of 26/27, it was on several times during the day.

Who wants to be cold and damp in their house? Bizzaro

it's a badge of honor thing to some to see how late they can go without flipping the heat on.   Kinda weird but whatever floats your boat

[winterwx21]

Low temp of 38 here. Heat went on. 

[NorthShoreWx]

39 here this morning.   Not an easy feat with nearby LIS temps in the 60s.

We had no power for a week after Isaiais in 2020.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

Bottomed out at 34.7. Frost on the roofs and many areas of the grass. 

[jm1220]

11 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

39 here this morning.   Not an easy feat with nearby LIS temps in the 60s.

We had no power for a week after Isaiais in 2020.

PSEG really went to work in my neighborhood after Isaias and some other wind events and trimmed a lot of branches near wires so thankfully in this last storm I just had power flicker a couple times but was good. A few streets away though where they didn’t trim had no power for 2.5 days.  

[guinness77]

lol why is the NHC in love with the name Isaias? 

[guinness77]

4 hours ago, uofmiami said:

Names repeat every 6 years unless retired.

Okay I didn’t know this. I feel like I had never heard that name before but maybe it replaced a retired name? 

[Stormlover74]

23 minutes ago, guinness77 said:

Okay I didn’t know this. I feel like I had never heard that name before but maybe it replaced a retired name? 

Ike in 2008. Wasn't used in 2014

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, guinness77 said:

lol why is the NHC in love with the name Isaias? 

Historically the “I” storm seems to deliver, and it’s been 6 years since Isaias was last used and it’s on a 6 year cycle? 

[SI Mailman]

2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Historically the “I” storm seems to deliver, and it’s been 6 years since Isaias was last used and it’s on a 6 year cycle? 

There have been a lot of notable "I" names retired this century alone.  Ian, Ida, Igor, Ike, Iris, Isabel, Irene, Ivan, Ingrid, Irma.  That's 10 out of 25 years, and you can throw in a greek I as well, Iota in 2020.  

[Brian5671]

24 minutes ago, SI Mailman said:

There have been a lot of notable "I" names retired this century alone.  Ian, Ida, Igor, Ike, Iris, Isabel, Irene, Ivan, Ingrid, Irma.  That's 10 out of 25 years, and you can throw in a greek I as well, Iota in 2020.  

makes sense, by the time we get to the "I" storm it's usually the heart of the season

[jm1220]

First freeze at Westhampton-dropped to 31.

[FPizz]

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

makes sense, by the time we get to the "I" storm it's usually the heart of the season

How are we at I this year?  We name every swirl 

[donsutherland1]

Milder weather will return to the region starting tomorrow. Tomorrow through Monday will see the mercury returning to the upper 60s and lower 70s across the region.

The week will be dry. The next chance for precipitation could be Sunday or Monday. The moisture could be enhanced by the remnants of Isaiah.
 
The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.2°C for the week centered around September 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.92°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -10.83 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.120 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.5° (0.6° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[Dan76]

3 hours ago, FPizz said:

How are we at I this year?  We name every swirl 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl&season=2026

[LCPhotowerx]

9 hours ago, SI Mailman said:

There have been a lot of notable "I" names retired this century alone.  Ian, Ida, Igor, Ike, Iris, Isabel, Irene, Ivan, Ingrid, Irma.  That's 10 out of 25 years, and you can throw in a greek I as well, Iota in 2020.  

If this one gets retired too, I suggest we just slip that letter before we tempt  fate again. This is a lil eerie.

[bluewave]

17 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Historically the “I” storm seems to deliver, and it’s been 6 years since Isaias was last used and it’s on a 6 year cycle? 

Yeah, these “I” storms usually occur when the hurricane season is at its peak so it’s the most-retired letter.

 

[WestBabylonWeather]

When should we have a better idea on Sunday timing? 

[Brian5671]

12 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

When should we have a better idea on Sunday timing? 

Looks a bit slower on overnight modeling as the cane stays a bit west and slower...upton reduced to 40% chance of showers here (after 2pm) from an all day washout yesterday

[Stormlover74]

22 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Looks a bit slower on overnight modeling as the cane stays a bit west and slower...upton reduced to 40% chance of showers here (after 2pm) from an all day washout yesterday

And euro hasn't been overly enthused. Could just be a quick quarter to half inch and thats it

[ForestHillWx]

For an “in our backyard” standpoint we cancelled our kids party on 9/26; rescheduled for this Sunday. 35+ adults and kids that need to remain outside…

Needless to say, hitting refresh often before I decide to host it or cancel. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

                                           Super El Niño 

[SACRUS]

77 / 48 just a gorgeous day , lets see how and if any touch 80.

[Brian5671]

Euro sends most of the rain to our south-what little gets here waits until about 5-6pm Sunday eve

[Snowlover11]

Now wonder im sick, the other night i needed the heat, now the house is hot and the AC is on.

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 89 (2007)
NYC: 87 (2007)
LGA: 89 (2007)
JFK: 90 (2007)

Lows:

EWR: 32 (1935)
NYC: 37 (1988)
LGA: 40 (1988)
JFK: 40 (2001)

Historical:

 

1871 - Prolonged drought and dessicating winds led to the great Chicago fire, the Peshtigo horror, and the Michigan fire holocaust. Fire destroyed more than seventeen thousand buildings killing more than 200 persons in the city of Chicago, while a fire consumed the town of Peshtigo WI killing more than 1100 persons. In Wisconsin, a million acres of land were burned, and in Michigan, 2.5 million acres were burned killing 200 persons. "Tornadoes of fire" generated by intense heat caused houses to explode in fire, and burned to death scores of persons seeking refuge in open fields. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1871: The Great Chicago Fire burns much of the city to the ground, fanned by strong southwest winds. An estimated 250 were killed. On the same night, forest fires swept through Peshtigo, Wisconsin. An estimated 1,500 to possibly as many as 2,500 dies as gale-force winds push flames across town. Severe drought blamed for tinder-dry conditions. 

1878: An estimated F3 tornado struck Monticello, Iowa, around 5:30 pm. The Catholic Church was demolished, along with several homes. The business portion of the town was comparatively uninjured. While no lives were lost, 11 people were injured. The German Church in Richland township was destroyed, along with other buildings in the surrounding county. A wind and hail storm occurred during the evening hours in Sigourney, Iowa, causing considerable damage. Fences and shade trees were blown down, and much glass was broken by hail, which fell in large stones. 

1901 - A deluge at Galveston, TX, produced nearly twelve inches of rain in about a six hour period. The rains came precisely thirteen months after the day of the famous Galveston hurricane disaster. (David Ludlum)

1919: An intense tornado moved through the town of Hoisington, 11 miles north of Great Bend, Kansas. It damaged or destroyed 60 homes which resulted in $200,000 in damages. Business papers and canceled checks were found at Lincoln, 55 miles to the northeast. 

 

1946: A minimal Category 1 hurricane made landfall over Bradenton, Florida, before tracking north-northeast across Tampa Bay. The storm was the last hurricane to make direct landfall in the Tampa Bay area.

1972: Panama City, Florida: A cold front passing across Florida produces a tornado in Panama City that brings down power lines and blows out windows. (Ref. WxDoctor)
 

1982 - An unusually early snowstorm hit the northern Black Hills of Wyoming and South Dakota. The storm produced up to 54 inches of snow, and winds as high as 70 mph. The snowfall was very much dependent upon topography. Rapid City, 20 miles away, received just a trace of snow. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Unseasonably cold weather prevailed from the Upper Mississippi Valley to the southeastern U.S. Thirty cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Madison WI with a reading of 22 degrees. The low of 28 degrees at Evansville IN was the coolest of record for so early in the season. Hot weather continued in the southwestern U.S. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 104 degrees and a record tying 116 days of 100 degree weather for the year. Tucson AZ established an all-time record with 72 days of 100 degree weather for the year. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Snow was reported across parts of northern New England. Two inches blanketed Mount Snow VT. Warm weather continued in the northwestern U.S. The afternoon high of 80 degrees at Stampede Pass WA exceeded their previous record for October by seven degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Morning lows in the 20s were reported from the Northern Plains to the Upper Great Lakes. International Falls MN and Marquette MI reported record lows of 22 degrees. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in central California as the Oakland Athletics won the American League pennant. San Luis Obispo CA reported a high of 99 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1993: With 1.05 inches of rain that fell at Columbia, MO, the yearly total precipitation was pushed to 55.77 inches, breaking the annual record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1996: Annandale Barcroft Hills Weather Center 1.88 inches of rain from Tropical Storm Josephine as it passed to our east.
Hurricane Josephine's Track - Weather Underground

1999: Isolated thunderstorms caused significant accumulations of hail in southwest Oklahoma and northwest Texas. Hail fell up to 30 minutes in a swath from Gould to near Duke, Oklahoma; rain-drifted hail to depths of 3 feet in ditches. Hail cumulated 6 inches south of Cooperton, Oklahoma, and 8 inches near Lockett, Texas. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA)

2000: The coldest pre-October 10th air mass in nearly 50 years has invaded the central United States!!! The cold was most impressive over Texas. San Antonio only reached a high temperature of 46 degrees October 8,2000. This set a low-maximum temperature for the date. The previous record was 65 set in 1975. The normal high in San Antonio is 84. A 111-year-old record was broken Sunday morning October 8th in Memphis, Tennessee, when the temperature fell to 36 degrees (the previous record was 39 degrees set in 1889). (Ref. Wilson - Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)

2001: Hurricane Iris made landfall S of Belize City, Belize (on SE section of the Yucatan Peninsula); sustained winds of 145 mph; storm surge to 15 feet. The M/V Wave Dancer, charted by the Richmond (VA) Dive Club, sank at Big Creek. 17 of 20 dive club members on board died; 3 crew members also died. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

2005: The Annandale Weather Station maximum rain in a 24-hour period is 5.66 inches which was set on October 7th and 8th 2005.
(Ref. Annandale Weather Records)

2018: Hurricane Michael Panama City, Florida Hurricane Michael was a historic hurricane on several counts - Hurricane Michael made landfall Wednesday October 10th as an unprecedented high-end Category 5 hurricane (on the Saffir-Simpson Scale) along the Florida Panhandle region with a maximum sustained wind speed of 155 mph at landfall and a minimum air pressure of 919 mb (27.14 inches of mercury). In terms of central barometric pressure, Michael was the third most powerful hurricane to strike the U.S. mainland, ranked behind the unnamed Labor Day Hurricane of September 1935 (892 mb) and Hurricane Camille (900 mb) in August 1969. However, Michael's central pressure was the lowest on record for any October hurricane to strike the United States. In terms of maximum sustained wind speed at landfall, Michael was the fourth strongest, behind the Labor Day 1935 hurricane (184 mph), Hurricane Camille (172 mph) and Hurricane Andrew in 1992 (167 mph). Michael is the first Category 5 hurricane on record to make landfall on the Florida Panhandle with (160 mph winds).

[WestBabylonWeather]

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Euro sends most of the rain to our south-what little gets here waits until about 5-6pm Sunday eve

5-6pm would be great trying to spend the day in Manhattan