dendrite Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Models backing off cold this weekend. Lets keep that going through winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago wow poof...gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Keep in mind folks it is MID OCTOBER Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Those west moving typhoons .. gets the ACATT crew all the time . We warned em’ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Those west moving typhoons .. gets the ACATT crew all the time . We warned em’ who cares about that as long as its not hot and humid I'm good 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago I'll take Sunny please. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 30 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Keep in mind folks it is MID OCTOBER Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk concerns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago What a day. Had a downpour this afternoon at the office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 52 minutes ago, dendrite said: Useless model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 hour ago, vortex95 said: @ineedsnowand @CoastalWx immediately rushed to see what *exactly* happened in SNE in 2000-01 winter! Great winter here, especially the pack. Still 47" deep on April 1. (Not foolin' - had 19" on 3/30-31.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 hour ago, vortex95 said: When we get the ultimate 'cane here, this will be the most popular video by far! @CoastalWx be like, "how can this happen?!" Venturi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Useless model. Euro backed off too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Its coming https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1Jv5zciTYS/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Uh oh. October snow. Winter canceled? A little skeptical, but it’s still an area climatologically favored. Euro legacy has it too now. Ensembles don’t really bring it up here though. There’s a strong correlation between very strong El Niños and having one significant to historic U.S. E coast storm in Oct as ALL 9 of the other very strong El Niño Octobers had one: -1877: Hatteras had 1002 mb on 10/27 along with significant rainfall and strong NE winds caused by gradient between a sub 1000 mb low offshore and a 1022 mb high over Quebec. Norfolk got 2.71” of rain. The low was TS #7 then to the S moving OTS: -1888: TS #7 went up the coast 10/11-12: -1957: a strong nor’easter (995 mb) went up the coast 10/5-6 giving Hatteras 4.62” of rain: https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1957/19571006.pdf -1965: TS # 9 formed 10/16 NW Bahamas and hit NE FL 10/19 producing 8.3” on rain at CHS: -1972: very strong nor’easter went up coast NC-NE 10/5-8 with strong winds and heavy rains (>4” NYC, nearly 4” Hatteras): https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1972/19721002-19721008.pdf -1982: strong winds/heavy rain (3.64” of rain Hatteras) from nor’easter 10/23-26 due to strong gradient between 1004 mb low Hatteras and 1030 mb high NE US. I experienced this in DC and still clearly recall the unusual combo of continuous rain, wind, and cold: https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1982/19821018-19821024.pdf https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1982/19821025-19821031.pdf 1991: “Perfect Storm” 10/30-11/1 H #8 (Boston 2.69” of rain): 1997: nor’easter 10/18-20 (Hatteras 1.4” of rain): https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1997/19971013-19971019.pdf https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1997/19971020-19971026.pdf 2015: strong front pushed by 1045 mb SE Canadian high gets hung up along E coast with ~stationary upper low SE US and MH Joaquin ~stationary Bahamas interacting in a way few have ever seen resulting in >17”/historic flooding CHS Oct 1-4: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/dwm_stnplot_20151002.html So, all 9 very strong El Niño had one impactful to historic US E coast storm in Oct! Are the 12Z UKMET, Euro, Euro-AIFS, and Icon sniffing out something real for 2026’s turn? Based on the history noted above, I wouldn’t at this point discount at least the possibility of something notable happening near the E coast next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro backed off too. Definitely warmer next week but cold Sat with wind chills in the 20s. Probably wont break 50 all Sat with temps going down with sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 2 hours ago, vortex95 said: @ineedsnowand @CoastalWx immediately rushed to see what *exactly* happened in SNE in 2000-01 winter! It was a good winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Wind this afternoon was pretty sweet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 47 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Definitely warmer next week but cold Sat with wind chills in the 20s. Probably wont break 50 all Sat with temps going down with sun. It will be in lower 50s outside elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It will be in lower 50s outside elevations. Yeah the cold and freezes literally vanished . Started noticing it Monday . Just a slight BN day now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Some people here need to consider moving to the deep south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said: Keep in mind folks it is MID OCTOBER Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk thanks captain obvious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 17 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: thanks captain obvious Well to be fair…we have nonsense talk for mid October already. So I kind of get where he’s coming from. It’s starting earlier and earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Hit 79 here. Beautiful day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago On 10/13/2026 at 5:16 PM, dryslot said: Snow on the grassy surfaces at Clayton Lake. This was the snow I heard about in Maine I guess yesterday but it was way up in the northwest I guess. Anyone get an inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago That time of year. Migration stop for feeding. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Next week is precariously close to turning into a disaster . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 hours ago, GaWx said: There’s a strong correlation between very strong El Niños and having one significant to historic U.S. E coast storm in Oct as ALL 9 of the other very strong El Niño Octobers had one: -1877: Hatteras had 1002 mb on 10/27 along with significant rainfall and strong NE winds caused by gradient between a sub 1000 mb low offshore and a 1022 mb high over Quebec. Norfolk got 2.71” of rain. The low was TS #7 then to the S moving OTS: -1888: TS #7 went up the coast 10/11-12: -1957: a strong nor’easter (995 mb) went up the coast 10/5-6 giving Hatteras 4.62” of rain: https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1957/19571006.pdf -1965: TS # 9 formed 10/16 NW Bahamas and hit NE FL 10/19 producing 8.3” on rain at CHS: -1972: very strong nor’easter went up coast NC-NE 10/5-8 with strong winds and heavy rains (>4” NYC, nearly 4” Hatteras): https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1972/19721002-19721008.pdf -1982: strong winds/heavy rain (3.64” of rain Hatteras) from nor’easter 10/23-26 due to strong gradient between 1004 mb low Hatteras and 1030 mb high NE US. I experienced this in DC and still clearly recall the unusual combo of continuous rain, wind, and cold: https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1982/19821018-19821024.pdf https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1982/19821025-19821031.pdf 1991: “Perfect Storm” 10/30-11/1 H #8 (Boston 2.69” of rain): 1997: nor’easter 10/18-20 (Hatteras 1.4” of rain): https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1997/19971013-19971019.pdf https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1997/19971020-19971026.pdf 2015: strong front pushed by 1045 mb SE Canadian high gets hung up along E coast with ~stationary upper low SE US and MH Joaquin ~stationary Bahamas interacting in a way few have ever seen resulting in >17”/historic flooding CHS Oct 1-4: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/dwm_stnplot_20151002.html So, all 9 very strong El Niño had one impactful to historic US E coast storm in Oct! Are the 12Z UKMET, Euro, Euro-AIFS, and Icon sniffing out something real for 2026’s turn? Based on the history noted above, I wouldn’t at this point discount at least the possibility of something notable happening near the E coast next week. You may have already observed that correlation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Get used to cold solutions, correcting warmer passing through the mid ranges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: You may have already observed that correlation John, thanks. Are you referring to the late Sept of ‘26 nor’easter? If so, I was just counting ones in October though I realize it was within a week of Oct and thus very likely largely connected to the very strong Nino. But I didn’t check Sept for any of those 9 analogs. So, if we count that one, does that reduce the chance for a 2nd E coast storm later this month? I never found two really notable E coast storms for any of the 9 analog years in Oct, itself. I suspect that may be more than just randomness. Maybe one strong E coast storm late Sept/Oct is enough to sort of calm down the atmosphere and prevent a 2nd one? What do you think? If so and if we count the late Sep nor’easter, maybe that would reduce the chance for another for the rest of Oct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Next week is precariously close to turning into a disaster . check out the 0z Euro!! We take!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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