October 2026 general discussion

[jlauderdal]

2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Feel like I’ve got chickens. 

I was in Nashua earlier today and experienced the torch session prior to the convection, felt like mid 80's and dewey

[Baroclinic Zone]

Last 80s till January

[mitchnick]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Big big furnace setting up after the mild down . Ugly 

Euro weeklies say "not so fast."

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

[codfishsnowman]

Wow...88 both cef and bdl....ugh

Glad it's over

[VivaManchVegas]

4 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Feel like I’ve got chickens. 

That's wild.  We got enough to wet the driveway, not enough to register on the rain gauge. Nashua had a few blow ups after passing our area this year.  Congrats.  

Edit: poor spelling. 

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Euro weeklies say "not so fast."

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

That offers even more confidence it’s coming . They haven’t been correct in many many years 

[WxWatcher007]

3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

C’mon, 45F with no shot of snow isn’t that stressful  

 

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

40, rain, mud, kids tracking it in house….while you post pics of the Stowe quad shrouded in dendrites. No stress here. 

 

3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Touche  

You’re a bad man.

So, when are we firing up the NNE snow, I mean, cold season, thread?

[mitchnick]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That offers even more confidence it’s coming . They haven’t been correct in many many years 

They were pretty good last winter with maintaining the cold. I haven't followed them since March.

[VivaManchVegas]

At least the acorns are dropping this year.  We had zero last year. Now it seems like a lot of smaller and normal acorns everywhere.  Just took the dog out, Owls still trying to scare the rabbits out of their comfort zone.  What a night. 

[powderfreak]

50 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

 

You’re a bad man.

So, when are we firing up the NNE snow, I mean, cold season, thread?

Tuesday looks like a chilly time to do it, ha.

[vortex95]

Looks like @CoastalWx gets to keep his beloved NAM a little longer!

As for his "garbage" model (RRFS), it does appear to have issues w/ making deeply  occluded lows into TCs too easily.  It did that for the most recent storm.  But non-TC CAMs usually do.
 

[dendrite]

We’re ending the NAM about as fast as the Iran war. 

[vortex95]

14 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

They typically mature too quickly and we get leftover banded mess. Not all, but I prefer Miller Bs here. That’s our bread and butter.

"Yah but" you do not have to be concerned about the storm developing "too late" or any issues w/ moisture.  You do not even need a strong sfc low and still get crushed.  Jan 20, 1978 is a classic example.  Gave BOS is biggest 24 hr snowstorm up this time.

[mreaves]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

We’re ending the NAM about as fast as the Iran war. 

Wait, I thought we annihilated Iran?

[vortex95]

13 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

“Me fail English? That’s unpossible.”

"I HAZ?"

[WinterWolf]

33 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Wait, I thought we annihilated Iran?

We will…it’s just a matter of time…but this is a  weather forum..right? 

[WinterWolf]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That offers even more confidence it’s coming . They haven’t been correct in many many years 

That’s not really correct.  So Flip a coin…

[DirtySnowDen]

I do apologize if I came in hot-headed, but the storm last weekend was highly anomalous. We are doing something for the Tri-State Conference this weekend coming up on 10/10. (Yeah, I went to WCSU). Please, please register. Weather weenies weeny-ing out is always a good time, in-person. I’d like to meet the faces to the board monikers, and arguably save the dept. 10/10/26. 30 dollars and you get breakfast and lunch on top of “shooting the breeze” with fellow nerds. Doesn’t happen often, I just hope it isn’t the last from a budget perspective

(The foliage should be quite nice), regardless.

 

 

 

[moneypitmike]

Close to peak in central Maine.  Makes for a pretty commute.

[dendrite]

Min 48.8°

MEX has 29° for CON next Wed morning…33° at LCI. Hopefully we avoid a freeze a little longer.

BML/HIE 22°…should be the first real hard freeze there. 

[Brewbeer]

57 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Close to peak in central Maine.  Makes for a pretty commute.

Do you recommend a Rt. 2 drive to North Adams for lunch?  come back on Rt. 116?  might be scenic ...

[ineedsnow]

E17 

[CoastalWx]

Other than Torchombus Day give or take, seems like a fairly seasonable pattern.

[moneypitmike]

13 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

Do you recommend a Rt. 2 drive to North Adams for lunch?  come back on Rt. 116?  might be scenic ...

I'm no longer in western MA.....but yes.  This is a great time to head up to Route 2.  Hop off 91 in Greenfield......from Shelburne all the way over the mountain should be fantastic. 

Another great way back from North Adams would be 116 to 112 to 143.  Bring you through Pete's hood.  Though from what I hear, they've been in stick season since Labor Day.

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Other than Torchombus Day give or take, seems like a fairly seasonable pattern.

We call it Indewgenous Peoples’ day now

[moneypitmike]

Just now, dendrite said:

We call it Indewgenous Peoples’ day now

Very good.  There's also Cometorchus Day.

[powderfreak]

What a morning.  Backyard view coming along.

[CT Valley Snowman]

In ORH now.  Observing foliage between home and here, generally low/moderate and areas of strong color. NE CT near Union seemed the furthest along.  

[CoastalWx]

Oaks getting that yellow tinge the Kevin mentioned.

[kdxken]

Top 10 incoming? 63° already.