CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mentioned yesterday it's often overamped....I mean, it probably will have had the better idea when all is said and done, but it will also probably have capitulated to an extent relative to the more ominous runs. I was thinking more strength wise. Like 1000mb seems a bit weak for this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: Loving the gloom. Let's see if we can get out of this thing without any rain. Doubtful....it's just unlikely to be as memorable as many starving weather enthusiasts would like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, CoastalWx said: I was thinking more strength wise. Like 1000mb seems a bit weak for this setup. Wow, that is probably too weak, but I'm balls-deep in ENSO right now, so only keeping peripheral tabs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was thinking more strength wise. Like 1000mb seems a bit weak for this setup. 985 was always a bit suspect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Why am I not surprised this is turning out to be a snooze. Just enough to ruin another weekend too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I wonder if our resident -not-so-secret @CoastalWx admirer, Boris has put his clothing back on... @CoastalWx, take a peek outside your bedroom window and check... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 0z seemed pretty meh overall We knew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wonder if our resident -not-so-secret @CoastalWx admirer, Boris has put his clothing back on... @CoastalWx, take a peek outside your bedroom window and check... Thankfully all clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, CoastalWx said: Thankfully all clear. Just be leery that it may not be the wind if the bushes are reverberating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just be leery that it may not be the wind if the bushes are reverberating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro ticking east again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro ticking east again NYC in the clear? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro ai holds steady 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago Definitely a much less impressive LLJ on the Euro (except towards the Cape). One thing that seems noticeable too is differences with the handling of the high to the north (on all guidance) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NYC in the clear? Perhaps a few smashed pumpkins as they prep the razor blades for the trick or treat candy.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago What a difference between debbie downers here and the hype machine social media death and destruction with pretty colored graphics. Lots of reds and whites on maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago Just now, weatherwiz said: Definitely a much less impressive LLJ on the Euro (except towards the Cape). One thing that seems noticeable too is differences with the handling of the high to the north (on all guidance) You mean impressive wind will be confined to the cape?? I had a great inside tip from my pal, climo....should have listened; dude knows his stuff- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago I do like seeing the euro AI kind of hold steady. It’ll be interesting to see what the 12z stuff does today. But when you get an anomalous 500 set up and multiple lows with convection all over the place, models are gonna have a tough time resolving it. I don’t know how good AI is for something like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 6z euro op doesn’t seem east at hr 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NYC in the clear? Hopefully Im participating in the Tunnels to Towers 5k event in regards to September 11 2001. Walking from Brooklyn through the tunnel to the new Freedom Tower. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago Just now, MJO812 said: Hopefully Im participating in the Tunnels to Towers 5k event in regards to September 11 2001. Walking from Brooklyn through the tunnel to the new Freedom Tower. Good for you man. Great cause. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I do like seeing the euro AI kind of hold steady. It’ll be interesting to see what the 12z stuff does today. But when you get an anomalous 500 set up and multiple lows with convection all over the place, models are gonna have a tough time resolving it. I don’t know how good AI is for something like this. This could be another great test for AI guidance. However, didn't we have some similar scenarios last winter (maybe not truly anomalous as this setup is given time of year) but where we saw AI guidance holding steady and then collapsed towards traditional guidance inside of like 48-60 hr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Hopefully Im participating in the Tunnels to Towers 5k event in regards to September 11 2001. Walking from Brooklyn through the tunnel to the new Freedom Tower. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good for you man. Great cause. This will be my 3rd year doing it. I did the Freedom Tower stair climb in June. Had to climb over 2k steps and 104 floors. Took me over an hour but I did it . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago I was never buying the GFS way OTS or the Euro hooking into NJ. And i was never really "excited" for this event. I've had enough rain and would have preferred to get a few things done outdoors this weekend. Lots of fairs, festivals, and fall events going on this weekend as well which sucks for those people trying to make a living. 30 mph winds isn't enough for me to sacrifice a weekend outdoors. I can understand those along the coast being a bit more enthusiastic if the stronger/closer solutions verify. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This will be my 3rd year doing it. I did the Freedom Tower stair climb in June. Had to climb over 2k steps and 104 floors. Took me over an hour but I did it . Imagine doing that with 100lbs of equipment under the stressful conditions in which they completed that task... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 48 minutes ago Share Posted 48 minutes ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Imagine doing that with 100lbs of equipment under the stressful conditions in which they completed that task... Heroes 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 47 minutes ago Share Posted 47 minutes ago 6z euro is nasty here. Looks like it was drunk at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago Euro ai ensemble mean is stalled south of BID for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago 24 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said: I was never buying the GFS way OTS or the Euro hooking into NJ. And i was never really "excited" for this event. I've had enough rain and would have preferred to get a few things done outdoors this weekend. Lots of fairs, festivals, and fall events going on this weekend as well which sucks for those people trying to make a living. 30 mph winds isn't enough for me to sacrifice a weekend outdoors. I can understand those along the coast being a bit more enthusiastic if the stronger/closer solutions verify. this, chilly weekend washout is not welcomed; was hoping to finish the body work and painting on my old cars before it gets too cold for the paint to cure properly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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