Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7

[Typhoon Tip]

NAM appears to have already busted too wet in CT through 15Z  ...

Just a quick eye-balling of rad trends over the morning hours, looks like primarily light right with a few moments in there of moderate have taken place thus far.  I can't imagine what's in the rain cans from that rad evolution, matches that plume of QPF the model painted moving through there over the same time - again...just a cursory look over.  So those justifying your d-drip highs, please don't be offended.

[butterfish55]

Was working in Taunton by route 44 all morning with off and on light rain. Just drove to a job in Brockton with dry roads and breaks in the clouds. Very sharp cut off for rain.

[CoastalWx]

7/10/25 we had 7” in like 3 hrs with most of that in 90 min. 

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

NAM appears to have already busted too wet in CT through 15Z  ...

Just a quick eye-balling of rad trends over the morning hours, looks like primarily light right with a few moments in there of moderate have taken place thus far.  I can't imagine what's in the rain cans from that rad evolution, matches that plume of QPF the model painted moving through there over the same time - again...just a cursory look over.  So those justifying your d-drip highs, please don't be offended.

Everything you saiid there( I actually read it all due to the brevity )  Is true. It’s been light , steady with a quick burst of two minutes of moderate then back to light and at times nothing more than spits on the windshield. . A total boring meh event except NYC west and south .
 

.74 so far .

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

7/10/25 we had 7” in like 3 hrs with most of that in 90 min. 

There’s been some prolific ones.  August of ‘24 for western CT. 

[weathafella]

Everything I’ve seen suggests (at least for mby-eastern pike region) the rain moves in tonight and we heavy late into the first half of tomorrow.  I’m hopeful that is right because we’re way drier vs normal-like 50% ytd.

[Brian5671]

closing in on 2 inches here.  nice steady moderate rain to soak in

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18 minutes ago, butterfish55 said:

Was working in Taunton by route 44 all morning with off and on light rain. Just drove to a job in Brockton with dry roads and breaks in the clouds. Very sharp cut off for rain.

Few sprinkles this morning at home, but looking at the cam, looks like it’s dry now 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

7/10/25 we had 7” in like 3 hrs with most of that in 90 min. 

The south shore has had some crazy Rainers over the last half decade. Want to say it was late July or August of 21 that had a prolific Rainer in the Marshfield/Norwell/Hanover area

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Everything you saiid there( I actually read it all due to the brevity )  Is true. It’s been light , steady with a quick burst of two minutes of moderate then back to light and at times nothing more than spits on the windshield. . A total boring meh event except NYC west and south .
 

.74 so far .

This is excellent.  I don’t want/or need 7 plus inches of flooding garbage.  Steady soaking with more on the way through the day and overnight. We’ll be 3” here when it’s all wrapped up is my estimate.  And that’s perfect. 

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

This is excellent.  I don’t want/or need 7 plus inches of flooding garbage.  Steady soaking with more on the way through the day and overnight. We’ll be 3” here when it’s all wrapped up is my estimate.  And that’s perfect. 

Grateful for the rain. No doubt. My area up thru BDL has missed all the storms and most rains since June 1. But I crave extremes and damage and when it as close as it was Saturday yet missed I was hoping for some kind of extreme rain event ,though I knew that wasn’t possible looking at this set up . Not CT anyway 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Grateful for the rain. No doubt. My area up thru BDL has missed all the storms and most rains since June 1. But I crave extremes and damage and when it as close as it was Saturday yet missed I was hoping for some kind of extreme rain event ,though I knew that wasn’t possible looking at this set up . Not CT anyway 

Still a while to go, should be a widespread 2-5” across the state with isolated higher amounts. Already at 2” here just from today 

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Grateful for the rain. No doubt. My area up thru BDL has missed all the storms and most rains since June 1. But I crave extremes and damage and when it as close as it was Saturday yet missed I was hoping for some kind of extreme rain event ,though I knew that wasn’t possible looking at this set up . Not CT anyway 

you will like the 15z HRRR congrats on the flood

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Still a while to go, should be a widespread 2-5” across the state with isolated higher amounts. Already at 2” here just from today 

But if you get 3-5” along the coast spread out over 2 days with no flooding .. that’s kind of boring. At least to me. Good for that kind of rain there , but many are not seeing those totals 

[SouthCoastMA]

Here it's been either 3" of rain or long stretches of stein, no inbetween as of late. 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

you will like the 15z HRRR congrats on the flood

Tossed 

[Modfan2]

8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

you will like the 15z HRRR congrats on the flood

Is it going to back build? Looks like dry air is eating at this from the North and West

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Is it going to back build? Looks like dry air is eating at this from the North and West

whole thing is drifting S and E unless something else forms it's mainly over

[kdxken]

[kdxken]

14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

you will like the 15z HRRR congrats on the flood

Guessing it's like the 12Z. Dumps "6 in on the wood yard. Better be way the hell off. 

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

But if you get 3-5” along the coast spread out over 2 days with no flooding .. that’s kind of boring. At least to me. Good for that kind of rain there , but many are not seeing those totals 

No doubt boring but beneficial yes 

[kdxken]

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

The orientation is likely going to end up the opposite of that. 
 

heaviest West, trailing off SE

[Torch Tiger]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

But if you get 3-5” along the coast spread out over 2 days with no flooding .. that’s kind of boring. At least to me. Good for that kind of rain there , but many are not seeing those totals 

days n days type event.  Sucks

[dendrite]

The guy who enjoys 24hr 3sm -SN events in winter isn’t excited about 3-5” of rain in 24hrs?

[kdxken]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The orientation is likely going to end up the opposite of that. 
 

heaviest West, trailing off SE

Not so sure about that. Hope you're right.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The guy who enjoys 24hr 3sm -SN events in winter isn’t excited about 3-5” of rain in 24hrs?

I’m not getting that but yes that is extremely boring . 

[Chrisrotary12]

21 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Looks like the Flizzards snow map. 

[powderfreak]

17 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The guy who enjoys 24hr 3sm -SN events in winter isn’t excited about 3-5” of rain in 24hrs?

Who is this DIT?!  

[Modfan2]

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not getting that but yes that is extremely boring . 

It’s not even doing much north of the CT/MA line, and anything drier air is push south