July 2026

[winterwx21]

4 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Ive missed all the heavy storms for 3 days

 

.18 tonight

.17 yesterday and .12 Friday

The batch coming in from eastern PA should give us a decent soaking overnight, even if we miss the heavy downpours. 

[SI Mailman]

that line on the jersey shore racing northeast to LI

Pretty much just got an inch from that line.

[weathermedic]

 Got 1.20 from that line 

[LCPhotowerx]

i figure this is as good of a time for my first post as any. Nother long time lurker. Was quite the show here in mid Staten Island for a bit there

[eduggs]

1 hour ago, ForestHillWx said:

Port Jervis/Huguenot area looks like it’s getting crushed. That area had a wicked flood in 2006/2007 I think, when the Neversink went over its banks.

Hopefully the stationary cells start to lift. 

That area still looks to be getting pounded. Especially Huguenot to Otisville. Several hours now of 50dbz+. Could be some areas over 4" of rain already.

[NEG NAO]

[winterwx21]

Just had a pretty good downpour. 0.45" so far tonight. 

[Snowlover11]

Pretty unimpressive so far, heavy echos dried up on arrival and kinda just showery all night.

[IrishRob17]

4.76" since 7pm last night here near Campbell Hall.

[qg_omega]

7 hours ago, Snowlover11 said:

Should be fun in the morning heading home. There is a creek down my street and there’s no other way around it.

Zzzzzz maybe .25 overnight while the HRRRRR had over 3 inches for the same period

[Snowlover11]

9 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Zzzzzz maybe .25 overnight while the HRRRRR had over 3 inches for the same period

Yeah definitely didn’t get the goodies, orange county and areas NW got a good drink.

[steve392]

45 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

4.76" since 7pm last night here near Campbell Hall.

This system just kept hammering you guys up there! 

[winterwarlock]

And underwhelming half inch the past 2 days. Still under an inch past 4 days

[bluewave]

22 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Is that accurate. That's 10"+ in central NJ over the next 2 days

The location of the heaviest potential with HFEF max around the region usually shifts from run to run. But the signal is there mesoscale banding producing localized 5”+ amounts.

Sometimes the mean chart is closer and other times the max does better. We never really know for sure. The WPC and NWS use that as one of the models for their QPF forecasts. We can see a few spots so far are over 3”.

But the nature of convection usually means that the models can’t really pinpoint the exact locations. The latest runs have shifted east a bit which is par for the course with convective rainfall forecasts.