Saturday 6/27 drought reliever

[dailylurker]

It looks like a front will be stalling over our area late Friday afternoon and low pressure in the Midwest moves along the front and into the area. It looks like a slow mover. It could be a long duration, beneficial rain event. Let's talk about it here.

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z EURO has heavy rain moving through on Saturday.

[stormy]

That needs to shift south by about a hundred miles

[wxdude64]

7 minutes ago, stormy said:

That needs to shift south by about a hundred miles

LOL, I think everybody would be happy if it just EXPANDED 75-100 miles to the south. A good 2-3" soaker would do a lot of good for most of us. 

[BlizzardNole]

We'll see.  Yesterday afternoon looked great on paper with LWX highlighting Calvert and St. Mary's for heavy rain potential, and I got a quarter inch.  My area has a departure of -8 inches for the year and would need rainfall of 150% to 200% of normal for four straight months to recover.

[canderson]

Have an event Saturday morning at the National Zoo. Hoping this is delayed a day. 

[Weather Will]

WB 9Z NBM

[nw baltimore wx]

I’ve seen that image before. I’ll expect the under.

[MDphotog]

3 hours ago, canderson said:

Have an event Saturday morning at the National Zoo. Hoping this is delayed a day. 

I would like to see the airshow in Baltimore on Sunday and go to the National Zoo on Saturday.  I vote for delaying it two days! 

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z model runs: note GFS has rain coming in Friday evening; RRFS and 12K NAM are nothing burgers (not shown); Canadian on board; EURO 

[ravensrule]

1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I’ve seen that image before. I’ll expect the under.

Let's save it for the winter. 

[frd]

5 hours ago, stormy said:

That needs to shift south by about a hundred miles

and East 

[LongRanger]

given recent tendencies, sounds like that means sprinkles Saturday and actual rain Sunday

[stormy]

3 hours ago, frd said:

and East 

I would hope that north/south/east and west all get a good soaking...................  

The extended  NWS slows the front down because Sterling increased my POP on Sunday from 30% to 60%.

[frd]

4 minutes ago, stormy said:

I would hope that north/south/east and west all get a good soaking...................  

The extended  NWS slows the front down because Sterling increased my POP on Sunday from 30% to 60%.

WPC increased 7 day totals

 

 

 

 

[Weather Will]

Excerpt from latest Sterling NWS discussion.  They should use this line for every event....  

 

In short, it is a very complex forecast situation, so
stay tuned to the latest forecast for updates as we get to look
at more data.

[stormy]

1 hour ago, frd said:

WPC increased 7 day totals

 

 

 

 

Unfortunately, I'm on the extreme south edge of that.

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z NBM

[Eskimo Joe]

4 hours ago, Weather Will said:

Excerpt from latest Sterling NWS discussion.  They should use this line for every event....  

 

In short, it is a very complex forecast situation, so
stay tuned to the latest forecast for updates as we get to look
at more data.

We don't do complex well in these parts. Safer to take the under on this event.