MillvilleWx Posted Saturday at 01:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:53 PM 21 hours ago, aldie 22 said: Poor Ji he just got the smack down by Jason S from CWG and from Wes...Jays Wintry Mix approval ratings keep getting lower and lower The real housewives of Loudon County are going to be very upset. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Saturday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:07 PM 21 hours ago, aldie 22 said: Poor Ji he just got the smack down by Jason S from CWG and from Wes...Jays Wintry Mix approval ratings keep getting lower and lower Jay's Wintry Mix has the most accurate daily forecast. He always goes with the model with the least amount of activity. He's right about 70% of the time lol. On a severe day all the Facebook mets are hyping it. He'll be like "Today looks mostly dry. A few spots could see a storm. Not Leesburg. Our bubble is strong." Then, later on he'll post a radar image of storms all around Leesburg. The housewives are bowing to him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:19 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:19 PM 11 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Jay's Wintry Mix has the most accurate daily forecast. He always goes with the model with the least amount of activity. He's right about 70% of the time lol. On a severe day all the Facebook mets are hyping it. He'll be like "Today looks mostly dry. A few spots could see a storm. Not Leesburg. Our bubble is strong." Then, later on he'll post a radar image of storms all around Leesburg. The housewives are bowing to him Yeah he generally does better than the hype-y social media mets, and he still has a strong following. Amazing. If we get a blizzard this winter, he will triple his follower count for sure! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Saturday at 08:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:56 PM On 8/7/2026 at 12:35 PM, aldie 22 said: Poor Ji he just got the smack down by Jason S from CWG and from Wes...Jays Wintry Mix approval ratings keep getting lower and lower Wait Ji has a Facebook with 115K followers? Wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Sunday at 12:35 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:35 AM It's coming. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Sunday at 12:36 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:36 AM On 8/5/2026 at 10:07 AM, aldie 22 said: Yeah that is tasty looking, that makes me wonder what potential that may have for us back here in the Shenandoah Valley You guys did well in 1997-98 if I recall. I would definitely rather have some elevation this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Sunday at 01:00 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:00 AM 23 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: It's coming. Not too much doubt about the low position...much doubt about the temperature, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted Sunday at 01:06 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:06 AM 30 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: It's coming. much appreciation for continuing the art of creating fictional storms in a photo editing software rather than using AI #realweenie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted Sunday at 01:26 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:26 AM 50 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: It's coming. I can already feel myself saying "tuck baby tuck" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Sunday at 08:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:06 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 08:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:08 PM 2 minutes ago, frd said: CFS continues to advertise a favorable look at h5 and at the surface for late winter. This model is generally not known to be consistent run to run(lol shocker) but it has been pretty steadfast with this look for many runs. Giga? March looks just as good and Jan is pretty acceptable. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 08:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:11 PM Surface temps for Feb- 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Sunday at 09:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:42 PM 1 hour ago, CAPE said: CFS continues to advertise a favorable look at h5 and at the surface for late winter. This model is generally not known to be consistent run to run(lol shocker) but it has been pretty steadfast with this look for many runs. Giga? March looks just as good and Jan is pretty acceptable. Either these models are on to something or we are gonna get the old oakie doak on November runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted Sunday at 10:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:43 PM @dailylurker and I rented a cabin close to the apex of the Tug Hill from December - February. Elevation will be critical, even in upstate NY so hedging our bets for the winter - my hope is we will be buried from start to finish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Sunday at 10:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:46 PM How is the niño looking right now? Still east based or becoming more basin wide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Sunday at 11:16 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:16 PM 33 minutes ago, katabatic said: @dailylurker and I rented a cabin close to the apex of the Tug Hill from December - February. Elevation will be critical, even in upstate NY so hedging our bets for the winter - my hope is we will be buried from start to finish. Watch it be a record breaker. 450" season right on snow camp or bust. Barns Corner is going to have a hot hand this season. LFG! I still can't believe Barnes Corner is going to be my home for the winter. I'm looking forward to documenting the beautiful relationship between Lake Ontario and the Tug Hill. These LES bands are beautiful when they are streaming across the lake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted yesterday at 12:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:08 AM 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Surface temps for Feb- In a Giga-Niño? Yeah right...I mean we can dream, I guess lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 03:02 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:02 AM 2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: In a Giga-Niño? Yeah right...I mean we can dream, I guess lol Don't believe everything you read over in the main El Niño thread. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted yesterday at 03:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:35 AM 4 hours ago, dailylurker said: Watch it be a record breaker. 450" season right on snow camp or bust. Barns Corner is going to have a hot hand this season. LFG! I still can't believe Barnes Corner is going to be my home for the winter. I'm looking forward to documenting the beautiful relationship between Lake Ontario and the Tug Hill. These LES bands are beautiful when they are streaming across the lake. I was up there in Feb2007 and crazy epic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 04:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:55 PM On 8/8/2026 at 8:35 PM, Ephesians2 said: It's coming. Fringed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 06:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:27 PM 22 hours ago, CAPE said: CFS continues to advertise a favorable look at h5 and at the surface for late winter. This model is generally not known to be consistent run to run(lol shocker) but it has been pretty steadfast with this look for many runs. Giga? March looks just as good and Jan is pretty acceptable. Gun to head a similar progression to 2016 is my thinking. Probably a not so great start to winter transitioning colder as it goes along. People forget how close we were to more snowstorms in Feb and March in 2016. It didn’t come together but the pattern was decent from Jan 15 on 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Gun to head a similar progression to 2016 is my thinking. Probably a not so great start to winter transitioning colder as it goes along. People forget how close we were to more snowstorms in Feb and March in 2016. It didn’t come together but the pattern was decent from Jan 15 on 6-8 incher in Feb 2016 along the Blacksburg to Lynchburg 460 stretch then crazy ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago On 8/8/2026 at 8:35 PM, Ephesians2 said: It's coming. Hell yeah CCB all the way back to Charlottesville. Map makes me want to try to make a composite of my own dream setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 3 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said: Hell yeah CCB all the way back to Charlottesville. Map makes me want to try to make a composite of my own dream setup. **evil laughter** 3 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ephesians2 said: **evil laughter** That's got 72/73 written all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago On 8/9/2026 at 6:46 PM, JenkinsJinkies said: How is the niño looking right now? Still east based or becoming more basin wide? Basically both. This is pretty wild for August. PDO region is a literal dumpster fire. You could cook ramen by the square mile. I dont have many concrete thoughts about winter. Seasonal guidance is basically default enso climo but the Pacific overall is anything but normal or default. But it's only August and much will change. If seasonal guidance has the right idea with the AO/NAO, winter will probably produce but the anomalous nature of enso will prob produce anomalous patterns. When and what is above my pay grade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago On 8/8/2026 at 8:35 PM, Ephesians2 said: It's coming. you put me in the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scope1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 53 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Basically both. This is pretty wild for August. PDO region is a literal dumpster fire. You could cook ramen by the square mile. I dont have many concrete thoughts about winter. Seasonal guidance is basically default enso climo but the Pacific overall is anything but normal or default. But it's only August and much will change. If seasonal guidance has the right idea with the AO/NAO, winter will probably produce but the anomalous nature of enso will prob produce anomalous patterns. When and what is above my pay grade What is the pay grade for a bulldozer operator if you you don't mind me asking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 21 minutes ago, mitchnick said: What is the pay grade for a bulldozer operator if you you don't mind me asking? Lol. Down here, any equipment owner/operator is making well over 6 figures. Going rate is $800-1200/day depending on complexity. Forest mulchers are $1,500+ but that kind of work is dangerous and hard on equipment. Fun to watch though haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now