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56 / 42 NE flow - cool , cloudy showers.  What should tally up to 4 more days of mainly clouds with the brunt of the >1.00 - 2.00 inches of rain saturday night into Sunday night.  Pokes of some sun Monday and Tuesday but slow to clear out.  Much nicer Wed - Thu low 80s.   Next cut off backs down and in between Fri and through next weekend and id wager it trends unsettled as ridge balloons into candada.  Ridge finally expands east 6/3 - beyond pushing above normal overall. 

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 96 (1964)
NYC: 94 (1964)
LGA: 94 (1964)
JFK: 92 (2021)


Lows:


EWR: 43 (1931)
NYC: 43 (1963)
LGA: 45 (1963)
JFK: 33 (2022)

Historical:


1783: Massachusetts lawyer James Otis often remarked to friends that when it was his time to die he hoped it would be by a bolt of lightning. Today he got his wish when he was leaning against a doorway in his home and lightning struck the chimney and traveled through the frame of the house, killing Mr. Otis. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1814: Hailstones as large as 11 inches in diameter and weighing a half pound reportedly pounded parts of New Hampshire. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1882 - An unusual late season snow blanketed eastern Iowa, with four to six inches reported around Washington. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1925: Record maximum temperature for Washington DC. for the date is 97 °F.  (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1953 - The temperature at Hollis OK soared from a morning low of 70 degrees to an afternoon high of 110 degrees to establish a state record for the month of May. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - It was a busy day for thunderstorms in the central U.S. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Shreveport LA and golf ball size hail at Marfa, TX. Hobart, OK, received 3.55 inches of rain in the morning, and another 4.03 inches of rain that evening. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced 8.5 inches of rain in two hours north of Potter, and 7.5 inches of rain in ninety minutes north of Minatare. Thunderstorms in Colorado produced five inches of hail at Greeley. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across much of the eastern U.S. Golf ball size hail was reported in Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina and Ohio. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Severe thunderstorms developing along a cold front resulted in 98 reports of large hail and damaging winds in the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley. Golf ball size hail caused a million dollars damage around Buffalo City, WI, baseball size hail was reported at Northfield and Randolph, MN, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 95 mph at Dunkerton, IA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Unseasonably hot weather continued in the south central U.S. Pueblo, CO, equalled their May record with a high of 98 degrees, and the high of 106 degrees at Midland, TX, marked a record six straight days of 100 degree heat. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - A cold front crossing the western U.S. produced snow over parts of Oregon, California, Nevada, Idaho and Utah, with five inches reported at Austin NV, and four inches at Crater Lake National Park in Oregon. Strong winds behind the cold front sharply reduced visibilities in blowing dust over central California, and two multi-vehicle accidents resulted in one death and eighteen injuries. In northern Idaho, a cloud-burst washed tons of topsoil, and rocks as large as footballs, into the valley town of Culdesac. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1991: Thunderstorms in the Denver, CO area produced large hail up to golf ball size. An estimated 5,000 homes and 8,000 cars received considerable damage. Damage was estimated at $60 million dollars. Hail accumulated to a depth of 6 inches at Aurora. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1997: David McWilliams Ludlum was born 1910 in East Orange, NJ - He is responsible for researching and publishing Much of the early history of weather in early America. David died May 23, 1997 in Princeton, New Jersey. He was an American historian, meteorologist, entrepreneur and author. David M. Ludlum's death

2001: The temperature hit 116° at Palm Springs, CA. This tied their highest temperature for the month of May with 5/28/1983 & 5/28/2003. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

2002: A Pacific storm system brought some much needed snow to the Colorado Mountains and foothills with a mix of rain on the Plains. Snowfall totals included: 13 inches at Coal Creek Canyon, 11 inches near Evergreen, CO. The former Stapleton International Airport at Denver reported less than an inch. Three temperature records were set. The morning low temperature of 31° was a record low; as was the morning low of 32° the following morning. The high temperature of only 48° equaled the record low maximum.

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1 hour ago, Superstorm said:


And of course I was heading to Yankee stadium with my son and a couple of friends.

Game cancelled.


.

Who determines if a game is postponed ? The home team or MLB ? Obviously  a decision favoring the Yankees because Tampa Bay is in first and HOT and the Yanks are NOT !

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Memorial Days in NYC

 

 

Year Memorial Day Date High Low Rain
2025 May 26 74 53 0.00"
2024 May 27 75 67 0.82"
2023 May 29 80 58 0.00"
2022 May 30 85 64 0.00"
2021 May 31 72 50 0.00"
2020 May 25 73 56 0.00"
2019 May 27 82 65 0.00"
2018 May 28 70 57 0.00"
2017 May 29 62 56 0.09"
2016 May 30 84 69 1.41"
2015 May 25 87 65 0.00"
2014 May 26 88 67 0.00"
2013 May 27 75 52 0.00"
2012 May 28 91 72 0.00"
2011 May 30 87 71 0.23"
2010 May 31 88 69 0.00"
2009 May 25 82 63 0.00"
2008 May 26 81 59 0.00"
2007 May 28 84 68 Trace
2006 May 29 89 67 0.00"
2005 May 30 76 58 Trace
2004 May 31 66 58 0.18"
2003 May 26 58 52 1.11"
2002 May 27 78 60 0.00"
2001 May 28 73 57 0.04"
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50 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Trying to predict rainfall amounts in this set up is next to impossible IMO. Models don't have a handle on exactly where the heavier precip will occur. More than likely there will be a wide range of amounts spread throughout the region IMO.

I agree. This is a very challenging setup. 

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:



Memorial Days in NYC

 

 

Year Memorial Day Date High Low Rain
2025 May 26 74 53 0.00"
2024 May 27 75 67 0.82"
2023 May 29 80 58 0.00"
2022 May 30 85 64 0.00"
2021 May 31 72 50 0.00"
2020 May 25 73 56 0.00"
2019 May 27 82 65 0.00"
2018 May 28 70 57 0.00"
2017 May 29 62 56 0.09"
2016 May 30 84 69 1.41"
2015 May 25 87 65 0.00"
2014 May 26 88 67 0.00"
2013 May 27 75 52 0.00"
2012 May 28 91 72 0.00"
2011 May 30 87 71 0.23"
2010 May 31 88 69 0.00"
2009 May 25 82 63 0.00"
2008 May 26 81 59 0.00"
2007 May 28 84 68 Trace
2006 May 29 89 67 0.00"
2005 May 30 76 58 Trace
2004 May 31 66 58 0.18"
2003 May 26 58 52 1.11"
2002 May 27 78 60 0.00"
2001 May 28 73 57 0.04"

Can you expand these to 3 days (Saturday, Sunday, and Monday), so I can see the whole picture for the entire Memorial Day weekends? For example, 2021 at 72 and 0.00 rain looks misleading because you had highs in the 50s (probably record low maxes) and a lot of rain on Saturday and Sunday.

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1 hour ago, nycwinter said:

since it did not rain as expected i did my walk it felt like a thanksgiving types of day raw windy chilly i even sneezed a few times i hope i do not catch a  cold.

you have to be exposed to a virus to catch a cold.   Cold weather has no bearing.

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3 hours ago, SACRUS said:



Memorial Days in NYC

 

 

Year Memorial Day Date High Low Rain
2025 May 26 74 53 0.00"
2024 May 27 75 67 0.82"
2023 May 29 80 58 0.00"
2022 May 30 85 64 0.00"
2021 May 31 72 50 0.00"
2020 May 25 73 56 0.00"
2019 May 27 82 65 0.00"
2018 May 28 70 57 0.00"
2017 May 29 62 56 0.09"
2016 May 30 84 69 1.41"
2015 May 25 87 65 0.00"
2014 May 26 88 67 0.00"
2013 May 27 75 52 0.00"
2012 May 28 91 72 0.00"
2011 May 30 87 71 0.23"
2010 May 31 88 69 0.00"
2009 May 25 82 63 0.00"
2008 May 26 81 59 0.00"
2007 May 28 84 68 Trace
2006 May 29 89 67 0.00"
2005 May 30 76 58 Trace
2004 May 31 66 58 0.18"
2003 May 26 58 52 1.11"
2002 May 27 78 60 0.00"
2001 May 28 73 57 0.04"

I'd be curious to see the Saturdays and Sundays in here too. I particularly remeber a recent Memorial Day weekend maybe 5-7 years ago, my oldest son played golf on a Saturday in the rain with temperatures in the low 40's during the afternoon. Similar to today but 5-7 degrees colder. 

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2 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Can you expand these to 3 days (Saturday, Sunday, and Monday), so I can see the whole picture for the entire Memorial Day weekends? For example, 2021 at 72 and 0.00 rain looks misleading because you had highs in the 50s (probably record low maxes) and a lot of rain on Saturday and Sunday.

 

Year Date Weekend Day High (°F) Low (°F) Rainfall
2001 May 25, 2001 Friday 57 53 0.04
2001 May 26, 2001 Saturday 64 53 0.06
2001 May 27, 2001 Sunday 70 57 0.08
2001 May 28, 2001 Memorial Day 72 57 0.05
2002 May 24, 2002 Friday 83 56 0
2002 May 25, 2002 Saturday 71 56 0
2002 May 26, 2002 Sunday 69 56 0
2002 May 27, 2002 Memorial Day 77 59 0
2003 May 23, 2003 Friday 56 50 0.15
2003 May 24, 2003 Saturday 56 51 0.09
2003 May 25, 2003 Sunday 62 53 0.01
2003 May 26, 2003 Memorial Day 56 51 1.28
2004 May 28, 2004 Friday 77 62 0.39
2004 May 29, 2004 Saturday 66 54 0
2004 May 30, 2004 Sunday 73 51 0
2004 May 31, 2004 Memorial Day 64 57 0.22
2005 May 27, 2005 Friday 79 56 Trace
2005 May 28, 2005 Saturday 79 57 0.15
2005 May 29, 2005 Sunday 75 54 0
2005 May 30, 2005 Memorial Day 75 57 Trace
2006 May 26, 2006 Friday 74 59 0.24
2006 May 27, 2006 Saturday 83 64 0.01
2006 May 28, 2006 Sunday 83 66 0
2006 May 29, 2006 Memorial Day 88 66 0.01
2007 May 25, 2007 Friday 90 64 0
2007 May 26, 2007 Saturday 85 71 0
2007 May 27, 2007 Sunday 86 66 0.03
2007 May 28, 2007 Memorial Day 83 67 Trace
2008 May 23, 2008 Friday 69 49 0
2008 May 24, 2008 Saturday 71 53 0
2008 May 25, 2008 Sunday 77 53 0
2008 May 26, 2008 Memorial Day 80 58 0
2009 May 22, 2009 Friday 84 62 0
2009 May 23, 2009 Saturday 73 60 0
2009 May 24, 2009 Sunday 83 60 0
2009 May 25, 2009 Memorial Day 81 63 0
2010 May 28, 2010 Friday 70 56 0
2010 May 29, 2010 Saturday 77 61 0
2010 May 30, 2010 Sunday 84 67 0
2010 May 31, 2010 Memorial Day 86 69 0
2011 May 27, 2011 Friday 83 65 0
2011 May 28, 2011 Saturday 84 67 0
2011 May 29, 2011 Sunday 82 67 0
2011 May 30, 2011 Memorial Day 86 70 0.29
2012 May 25, 2012 Friday 75 60 Trace
2012 May 26, 2012 Saturday 84 67 0.02
2012 May 27, 2012 Sunday 81 64 0.06
2012 May 28, 2012 Memorial Day 89 71 0
2013 May 24, 2013 Friday 65 45 0.3
2013 May 25, 2013 Saturday 54 45 0.14
2013 May 26, 2013 Sunday 66 48 0
2013 May 27, 2013 Memorial Day 73 51 0
2014 May 23, 2014 Friday 71 56 0.91
2014 May 24, 2014 Saturday 70 57 0.4
2014 May 25, 2014 Sunday 80 55 0
2014 May 26, 2014 Memorial Day 86 66 0
2015 May 22, 2015 Friday 74 55 0
2015 May 23, 2015 Saturday 70 49 0
2015 May 24, 2015 Sunday 81 56 0
2015 May 25, 2015 Memorial Day 85 64 0
2016 May 27, 2016 Friday 87 73 0
2016 May 28, 2016 Saturday 92 71 0
2016 May 29, 2016 Sunday 87 70 Trace
2016 May 30, 2016 Memorial Day 82 68 1.65
2017 May 26, 2017 Friday 73 56 0.1
2017 May 27, 2017 Saturday 71 59 0
2017 May 28, 2017 Sunday 71 58 0
2017 May 29, 2017 Memorial Day 61 56 0.13
2018 May 25, 2018 Friday 86 65 0
2018 May 26, 2018 Saturday 89 72 0
2018 May 27, 2018 Sunday 80 56 0.44
2018 May 28, 2018 Memorial Day 69 56 0
2019 May 24, 2019 Friday 73 61 0
2019 May 25, 2019 Saturday 71 55 0
2019 May 26, 2019 Sunday 86 59 0.2
2019 May 27, 2019 Memorial Day 80 64 0
2020 May 22, 2020 Friday 77 54 0.03
2020 May 23, 2020 Saturday 67 55 0.65
2020 May 24, 2020 Sunday 67 52 0
2020 May 25, 2020 Memorial Day 71 55 0
2021 May 28, 2021 Friday 69 49 1.22
2021 May 29, 2021 Saturday 51 47 0.46
2021 May 30, 2021 Sunday 51 47 0.89
2021 May 31, 2021 Memorial Day 70 49 0.02
2022 May 27, 2022 Friday 80 65 0.27
2022 May 28, 2022 Saturday 74 63 0.72
2022 May 29, 2022 Sunday 77 59 0
2022 May 30, 2022 Memorial Day 84 63 0
2023 May 26, 2023 Friday 72 53 0
2023 May 27, 2023 Saturday 78 56 0
2023 May 28, 2023 Sunday 79 59 0
2023 May 29, 2023 Memorial Day 79 59 0
2024 May 24, 2024 Friday 84 68 0
2024 May 25, 2024 Saturday 81 66 0
2024 May 26, 2024 Sunday 82 65 Trace
2024 May 27, 2024 Memorial Day 73 66 0.96
2025 May 23, 2025 Friday 63 47 0.26
2025 May 24, 2025 Saturday 64 48 Trace
2025 May 25, 2025 Sunday 66 52 0
2025 May 26, 2025 Memorial Day 73 52 0
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And Memorial Day Itself back to 20 - a nice 15 year dry stretch in the 30s / 40s.

 

Year Memorial Day Date Day of Week High (°F) Low (°F) Rainfall (in)
1920 May 30, 1920 Sunday 78 53 0.00
1921 May 30, 1921 Monday 76 59 0.00
1922 May 30, 1922 Tuesday 83 62 0.00
1923 May 30, 1923 Wednesday 77 52 0.00
1924 May 30, 1924 Friday 65 49 0.00
1925 May 30, 1925 Saturday 75 55 0.02
1926 May 30, 1926 Sunday 78 54 0.00
1927 May 30, 1927 Monday 73 53 0.00
1928 May 30, 1928 Wednesday 71 55 0.15
1929 May 30, 1929 Thursday 88 68 0.00
1930 May 30, 1930 Friday 64 50 0.00
1931 May 30, 1931 Saturday 90 70 0.00
1932 May 30, 1932 Monday 74 51 0.00
1933 May 30, 1933 Tuesday 70 59 0.35
1934 May 30, 1934 Wednesday 81 58 0.00
1935 May 30, 1935 Thursday 79 62 0.00
1936 May 30, 1936 Saturday 67 52 0.00
1937 May 30, 1937 Sunday 85 56 0.00
1938 May 30, 1938 Monday 65 48 0.00
1939 May 30, 1939 Tuesday 89 68 0.00
1940 May 30, 1940 Thursday 66 49 0.00
1941 May 30, 1941 Friday 79 55 0.00
1942 May 30, 1942 Saturday 92 65 0.00
1943 May 30, 1943 Sunday 77 58 0.00
1944 May 30, 1944 Tuesday 84 57 0.00
1945 May 30, 1945 Wednesday 69 57 0.00
1946 May 30, 1946 Thursday 87 51 0.00
1947 May 30, 1947 Friday 71 52 0.00
1948 May 30, 1948 Sunday 70 64 2.49
1949 May 30, 1949 Monday 69 45 0.00
1950 May 30, 1950 Tuesday 77 56 0.00
1951 May 30, 1951 Wednesday 76 56 0.72
1952 May 30, 1952 Friday 67 56 0.00
1953 May 30, 1953 Saturday 56 50 0.11
1954 May 30, 1954 Sunday 81 64 0.00
1955 May 30, 1955 Monday 80 65 0.14
1956 May 30, 1956 Wednesday 73 54 0.03
1957 May 30, 1957 Thursday 74 55 0.00
1958 May 30, 1958 Friday 80 53 0.00
1959 May 30, 1959 Saturday 89 64 0.00
1960 May 30, 1960 Monday 70 57 0.21
1961 May 30, 1961 Tuesday 68 46 0.00
1962 May 30, 1962 Wednesday 83 61 0.00
1963 May 30, 1963 Thursday 80 59 0.00
1964 May 30, 1964 Saturday 73 48 0.00
1965 May 30, 1965 Sunday 67 48 0.00
1966 May 30, 1966 Monday 73 54 0.00
1967 May 30, 1967 Tuesday 74 48 0.00
1968 May 30, 1968 Thursday 72 54 0.04
1969 May 30, 1969 Friday 90 69 0.00
1970 May 30, 1970 Saturday 68 50 0.00
1971 May 31, 1971 Monday 74 60 0.16
1972 May 29, 1972 Monday 78 56 0.00
1973 May 28, 1973 Monday 70 52 0.59
1974 May 27, 1974 Monday 55 52 0.00
1975 May 26, 1975 Monday 73 54 0.00
1976 May 31, 1976 Monday 76 60 0.00
1977 May 30, 1977 Monday 70 53 0.08
1978 May 29, 1978 Monday 79 62 0.00
1979 May 28, 1979 Monday 75 57 0.20
1980 May 26, 1980 Monday 76 57 0.00
1981 May 25, 1981 Monday 87 67 0.00
1982 May 31, 1982 Monday 66 62 0.04
1983 May 30, 1983 Monday 71 61 1.11
1984 May 28, 1984 Monday 64 56 1.15
1985 May 27, 1985 Monday 86 63 0.04
1986 May 26, 1986 Monday 76 58 0.00
1987 May 25, 1987 Monday 63 53 0.00
1988 May 30, 1988 Monday 87 63 0.00
1989 May 29, 1989 Monday 78 53 0.00
1990 May 28, 1990 Monday 72 56 0.00
1991 May 27, 1991 Monday 89 63 0.55
1992 May 25, 1992 Monday 61 44 0.00
1993 May 31, 1993 Monday 70 57 0.90
1994 May 30, 1994 Monday 83 60 0.00
1995 May 29, 1995 Monday 80 58 0.68
1996 May 27, 1996 Monday 63 51 0.11
1997 May 26, 1997 Monday 70 56 0.00
1998 May 25, 1998 Monday 69 59 0.42
1999 May 31, 1999 Monday 89 68 0.00
2000 May 29, 2000 Monday 65 53 0.00
2001 May 28, 2001 Monday 72 57 0.05
2002 May 27, 2002 Monday 77 59 0.00
2003 May 26, 2003 Monday 56 51 1.28
2004 May 31, 2004 Monday 64 57 0.22
2005 May 30, 2005 Monday 75 57 0.00
2006 May 29, 2006 Monday 88 66 0.01
2007 May 28, 2007 Monday 83 67 0.00
2008 May 26, 2008 Monday 80 58 0.00
2009 May 25, 2009 Monday 81 63 0.00
2010 May 31, 2010 Monday 86 69 0.00
2011 May 30, 2011 Monday 86 70 0.29
2012 May 28, 2012 Monday 89 71 0.00
2013 May 27, 2013 Monday 73 51 0.00
2014 May 26, 2014 Monday 86 66 0.00
2015 May 25, 2015 Monday 85 64 0.00
2016 May 30, 2016 Monday 82 68 1.65
2017 May 29, 2017 Monday 61 56 0.13
2018 May 28, 2018 Monday 69 56 0.00
2019 May 27, 2019 Monday 80 64 0.00
2020 May 25, 2020 Monday 71 55 0.00
2021 May 31, 2021 Monday 70 49 0.02
2022 May 30, 2022 Monday 84 63 0.00
2023 May 29, 2023 Monday 79 59 0.00
2024 May 27, 2024 Monday 73 66 0.96
2025 May 26, 2025 Monday 73 52 0.00

 

 

NYC Central Park Memorial Day Climatology (1920–2025)

106 Years of Historical Memorial Day Weather Analysis

Over a century of Memorial Day weather observations reveals that many assumptions about the holiday do not match reality. While people often remember either extreme heat or complete washouts, the long-term record tells a more nuanced story involving dry-weather regimes, clustered extremes, and noticeable warming signals.

Top 15 Findings

1. The "average" Memorial Day is milder than most people remember
Across 106 years, the average Memorial Day high was 75.5°F, with an average low of 57.5°F. Memorial Day in New York is historically more late spring than full summer.

2. Memorial Day is dry much more often than wet
Rain occurred in only 32 of 106 years (30%), meaning roughly 7 out of every 10 Memorial Days were dry.

3. Weather memory is biased toward extremes
People tend to remember either 90° BBQ days or holiday washouts. Most years are actually moderate and comfortable.

4. The hottest Memorial Day reached 92°F
The warmest Memorial Day occurred in 1942, reaching 92°F.

5. The coldest Memorial Day reached only 55°F
The coolest Memorial Day high occurred in 1974, a full 37°F colder than the warmest year.

6. Memorial Day weather has surprisingly high variability
A 37°F spread between the warmest and coolest Memorial Days shows how dramatically conditions can vary despite being the same holiday.

7. Rainfall follows a "feast or famine" pattern
Average rainfall was only 0.14 inches, while the wettest year received 2.49 inches, nearly 18 times the average amount.

8. A handful of years dominate rainfall totals

Largest Memorial Day rainfall events:

1948: 2.49"

2016: 1.65"

2003: 1.28"

2024: 0.96"

1993: 0.90"

A small number of years contribute disproportionately to total Memorial Day rainfall.

9. The 1934–1947 Memorial Day dry stretch stands out as one of the strongest signals in the entire record
Between 1934–1947, Memorial Day recorded no measurable rainfall across fourteen consecutive holidays. Using the long-term climatology where roughly 70% of Memorial Days are dry, this is statistically unusual and likely reflects a broader climate regime rather than simple random variation.

10. The early 2010s stand out as a warm cluster
Between approximately 2010–2015, multiple Memorial Days reached the mid to upper 80s, creating one of the warmest clusters in the record.

11. Overnight temperatures may be warming faster than daytime highs
The warmest Memorial Day low was 71°F (2012) while the coolest was 44°F (1992). This can be an indicator of changing urban and climate conditions.

12. Holiday timing changed in 1971
Before 1971, Memorial Day occurred every May 30. Beginning in 1971 it shifted to the last Monday in May, introducing a slight climate timing effect.

13. Memorial Day weather appears to occur in regimes rather than random year-to-year noise
The record contains visible clusters of:

Warm periods

Cool periods

Dry periods

Wet periods

 

14. The strongest climate signal may be persistence
Instead of isolated years behaving independently, weather patterns appear to sustain themselves over multiple years.

15. The "typical" Memorial Day still wins
Despite extreme years receiving the attention, the long-term average remains remarkably stable: mid-70s during the day, upper-50s at night, and dry most of the time.

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