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May 2026 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
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21 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Only Vort95 is calling for cold and snow now. Even Ineedsnow gave up 

It's going to be that type of event where we may not know until it actually happens, if it does.  The fact that the GFS/ECMWF/GDPS/UKMET has shifted the heaviest QPF into NNE, that makes it more likely.  Look at the cold 850 temps NW of the 850 low.

It's never going to look like a lock, even close to it, for snowfall this time of year.  Fun 'n games watching noodles and cats paws on the car windshield.  Scott may just travel to NNE for one last look at winter 25-26!   LOL.

The 00z ECMWF for after the weekend event?  Omega "Supreme" does not want to go away.  Not 1, not 2, but 3 more cold 500 lows NEUS!  And another weekend potential ruined June 6-8 w/ back-to-back coastals. 

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9 hours ago, kdxken said:

 

Screenshot_20260525_191035_Chrome.jpg

Misleading.  Measurable rain overall entire weekend says nothing about the sensible wx overall.  Case in point, if Wxwiz got honkin' tstms every weekend in the summer amidst HHH conditions?  Heck, even CoastalWx would welcome that!

And Logan is just one point.  They act like when it rains it is synoptic coverage by default!

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Just looked at the evolution for next weekend. That’s a new way to try to ruin a summer weekend…. a LP diving south out of Hudson Bay. 
 

Side Note: never appreciated that Hudson Bay was relatively shallow (average depth of 300m). Suppose that makes sense given it’s position as basically on the North American continent. 

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1 hour ago, vortex95 said:

Misleading.  Measurable rain overall entire weekend says nothing about the sensible wx overall.  Case in point, if Wxwiz got honkin' tstms every weekend in the summer amidst HHH conditions?  Heck, even CoastalWx would welcome that!

And Logan is just one point.  They act like when it rains it is synoptic coverage by default!

It can't be. It was from AI and Reddit.

 

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3 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Just looked at the evolution for next weekend. That’s a new way to try to ruin a summer weekend…. a LP diving south out of Hudson Bay. 
 

Side Note: never appreciated that Hudson Bay was relatively shallow (average depth of 300m). Suppose that makes sense given its position as basically on the North American continent. 

That’s still a thousand feet deep…pretty deep for a non ocean…no?  

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4 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Misleading.  Measurable rain overall entire weekend says nothing about the sensible wx overall.  Case in point, if Wxwiz got honkin' tstms every weekend in the summer amidst HHH conditions?  Heck, even CoastalWx would welcome that!

And Logan is just one point.  They act like when it rains it is synoptic coverage by default!

Most of all that shit is, and has been misleading…been saying this for a long time. 

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Discrete level synoptic observations re the late week/weekend thing

This isn't the same or a very good analog in terms of behavior, nor anomaly intensity as 1977 May. 

Behaviorally, it's moving much faster comparing the present multi-model handling to back whence. It also appears to be shrinking in the cold anomalous depth as it is coming S.   1977 deepened some do to cyclogen height falls/feed-backs.  

Circumstantially, It's also not teleconnecting the same when considering the broader hemispheric mass-fields.  

 

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Discrete level synoptic observations re the late week/weekend thing

This isn't the same or a very good analog in terms of behavior, nor anomaly intensity as 1977 May. 

Behaviorally, it's moving much faster comparing the present multi-model handling to back whence. It also appears to be shrinking in the cold anomalous depth as it is coming S.   1977 deepened some do to cyclogen height falls/feed-backs.  

Circumstantially, It's also not teleconnecting the same, either when considering the broader hemispheric mass-fields.  

 

It’s not interesting, just enough to be annoying.

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