Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,655
    Total Members
    25,819
    Most Online
    tmcandrew
    Newest Member
    tmcandrew
    Joined

May 2026 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
 Share

Recommended Posts

00z GFS significantly stronger and tucked back farther W w/ the closed 500 low for May 30.  It shows 4-8" parts of nrn NH.  What stands out is that the 00z GFS/ICON and the earlier UKMET show substantial QPF, 2-3" in some areas.  This is absolutely key for the Scott S+ this time of year (intensity).

I like that the GFS is showing more sfc low development just S of the region for more ageostrophic flow.
 

gfs3.png

gfs2.png

gfs1.png

  • Like 2
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

We’ve already lost next weekend. WTF?

It will be worth it for the sneaky S+ risk!  Noted the 06z GFS has a max of 4.55" rainfall right over FIT.  Seems a lot for such a low track.  Where is all the moisture coming from, esp. since there is not much of a sfc low initially?  GFS not so OTL it seems b/c the 00z ECMWF has a max of 2.81" in the same exact spot.

That kind of pcpn intensity and a cold 850?  Things that make you go hmmmm....

gfs.png

  • Haha 1
  • 100% 1
  • no 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Next weekend looks fine. 60’s and dry . Gfs will fail again 

Models didn't fail this weekend. They predicted ass and it certainly has been. If anything, they under did the extent of the ass.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
  • 100% 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

46 hrs of nonstop rain…the jackpot for this thing has been right f’n here. And still raining moderately. As I said yesterday relentless.  Started 10:30 Saturday morning…and hasn’t stopped yet.  Kevin there hasn’t been a dry period yet this 3 day weekend….can a brotha get a break later today…please? 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Is this really necessary?

image.thumb.png.6b077e89d31144f01e3b4993bec27582.png

 

21 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

For the snowflakes out there. Pathetic huh. Lol. 

I remember the annual plunge of Brooklyns, Comey Island, Polar Bear Club. In a deep stretch of cold and sometimes with snow on the beach they would make their beach plunge. Newsprint and TV news would cover it. As you can see they were average folk but when I was asked for a comment way back, in my younger days I said “ definitely certifiable”  now, perhaps, I’m not so sure. Stay well everyone, as always …..

 

IMG_2268.jpeg

IMG_2267.jpeg

IMG_2266.jpeg

IMG_2265.jpeg

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

46 hrs of nonstop rain…the jackpot for this thing has been right f’n here. And still raining moderately. As I said yesterday relentless.  Started 10:30 Saturday morning…and hasn’t stopped yet.  Kevin there hasn’t been a dry period yet this 3 day weekend….can a brotha get a break later today…please? 

Saturday was dry until late day for most people. There in SW CT you were unlucky. This afternoon should slowly improve 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...