May 2026 Obs/Discussion

[Torch Tiger]

46 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Done with this crap. Bring it on. Looks ideal. 

 

We do need the rain witb potential Steiner summer headed in...take

[HoarfrostHubb]

0.65” the last 24 hours

3.90” this month 

[vortex95]

00z GFS significantly stronger and tucked back farther W w/ the closed 500 low for May 30.  It shows 4-8" parts of nrn NH.  What stands out is that the 00z GFS/ICON and the earlier UKMET show substantial QPF, 2-3" in some areas.  This is absolutely key for the Scott S+ this time of year (intensity).

I like that the GFS is showing more sfc low development just S of the region for more ageostrophic flow.
 

[Chrisrotary12]

We’ve already lost next weekend. WTF?

[Modfan2]

Up to .82” so far since Saturday, not stein but not impressive by any means. The lawn and plants are happy!

[vortex95]

1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

We’ve already lost next weekend. WTF?

It will be worth it for the sneaky S+ risk!  Noted the 06z GFS has a max of 4.55" rainfall right over FIT.  Seems a lot for such a low track.  Where is all the moisture coming from, esp. since there is not much of a sfc low initially?  GFS not so OTL it seems b/c the 00z ECMWF has a max of 2.81" in the same exact spot.

That kind of pcpn intensity and a cold 850?  Things that make you go hmmmm....

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

We’ve already lost next weekend. WTF?

Next weekend looks fine. 60’s and dry . Gfs will fail again 

[CoastalWx]

Next weekend looks like poop even on ensembles 

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Next weekend looks fine. 60’s and dry . Gfs will fail again 

All models have something 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

All models have something 

It’s mainly NNE rain 

[kdxken]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Next weekend looks fine. 60’s and dry . Gfs will fail again 

Models didn't fail this weekend. They predicted ass and it certainly has been. If anything, they under did the extent of the ass.

[kdxken]

On 5/20/2026 at 4:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

All next week is 80-85 and sunny . 

Does a Ditty calendar week include a Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday?

[CoastalWx]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s mainly NNE rain 

Not as modeled 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not as modeled 

Only Vort95 is calling for cold and snow now. Even Ineedsnow gave up 

[mreaves]

17 hours ago, powderfreak said:

NNE going to steal the rain tonight?

Good call. Nearly an inch here since midnight. 

[512high]

52F/ .39 since midnight, waiting for the crap to the west to come through, first day off after 55 days straight , wanted to do some yard stuff, will see this afternoon.

[jbenedet]

This spring has been excellent for young plants establishing and seed starting. 

[WinterWolf]

46 hrs of nonstop rain…the jackpot for this thing has been right f’n here. And still raining moderately. As I said yesterday relentless.  Started 10:30 Saturday morning…and hasn’t stopped yet.  Kevin there hasn’t been a dry period yet this 3 day weekend….can a brotha get a break later today…please? 

[moneypitmike]

3 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

We’ve already lost next weekend. WTF?

A stein summer with rain every weekend.  Go figure.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

A stein summer with rain every weekend.  Go figure.

Stein is gone, and back on the set of “Welcome Back Kotter!”  

[HoarfrostHubb]

0.2” today so far but just getting into the heavy stuff.  
 

[mreaves]

Is this really necessary?

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Is this really necessary?

For the snowflakes out there. Pathetic huh. Lol. 

[512high]

Just dumping here.....holy crap

[rclab]

24 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Is this really necessary?

 

21 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

For the snowflakes out there. Pathetic huh. Lol. 

I remember the annual plunge of Brooklyns, Comey Island, Polar Bear Club. In a deep stretch of cold and sometimes with snow on the beach they would make their beach plunge. Newsprint and TV news would cover it. As you can see they were average folk but when I was asked for a comment way back, in my younger days I said “ definitely certifiable”  now, perhaps, I’m not so sure. Stay well everyone, as always …..