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May 2026 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
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Step out week ... More apt to call it a 'leap' actually wrt to seasonal migration occurs later this next week in all three popular operational versions.

The ambient non hydrostatic heights are ending up elevated, post trough transits.  This was not as coherent a behavior over prior weeks so I'm considering that as the next threshold-significant move.    And it doesn't take till the 20th of the month either.   The modulation actually begins 13th..15th.    In fact, the overnight GFS run subtly ends up with a static 582 dm height contour aligning roughly IND-BOS, positioning the mean polar jet clearly N of the conus for multiple days beyond.  The 06z tries to even heat wave prior to what's likely a faux default erosion out there at 320+.     

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18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Seems like the rain much lighter and scattered than modeled 

Lol ...  polishin' the turd? 

I applaud your virtue in attempting to see the bright side of a deplorable circumstance but ...  my subjective opinion about today? 

It is has, so far, zero redemptive value.  None.  Nil, nothing, zilch, nadda.   44, light rain.  Case closed.

Does nothing to improve the background moisture deficits in any meaningful way, while simultaneously absolutely crushing any outdoor enjoyment.  And ... doing so on a precious weekend day when 90+% of civility has so few days off is an extra special kind of stinky piece of shit. 

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18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Lol ...  polishin' the turd? 

I applaud your virtue in attempting to see the bright side of a deplorable circumstance but ...  my subjective opinion about today? 

It is has, so far, zero redemptive value.  None.  Nil, nothing, zilch, nadda.   44, light rain.  Case closed.

Does nothing to improve the background moisture deficits in any meaningful way, while simultaneously absolutely crushing any outdoor enjoyment.  And ... doing so on a precious weekend day when 90+% of civility has so few days off is an extra special kind of stinky piece of shit. 

Not polishing doodies but even getting some dim breaks of sun this morning currently. Certainly not a nice day but it had been modeled wire to wire soaker . Getting to that time of year when synoptic rains tend to break up some during the day 

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Frosty 26 this morning, but at least the sun is out.  First 8 days this month has had only 31% of available sunshine; average is 42%.  We've had rain on all 8 days, but are running only 90% of average.  Tuesday's high of 78 changed the sugar maple buds to small leaves, which haven't expanded much since then.  Looks better 20th onward.

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