Winter 2026-2027 Speculation

[weatherwiz]

33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That's what I have always maintained...if we hit like 2035 and are still in that pattern, then I'll capitulate....but the tide already seems to be turning. Obviously the word is warming....I'm not disputing that, but I'm just referring to the ability to discern the degree to which these patterns/phenomena are a byproduct of CC versus how much they are attributable to natural variation. The atmosphere is still cyclical...it's just warmer, and some of said cycles are becoming augmented and somewhat increasingly stagnated.

Precisely, there is a delicate balance and that needs to be understood. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

48 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Precisely, there is a delicate balance and that needs to be understood. 

It works both ways...we get caught in brutal stretches for extended periods, like these past several years, but we can also go on a run, too....like last decade. Brutal periods are warmer and great periods are warmer and wetter.

[weatherwiz]

This sucks @40/70 Benchmark

With the NWS discontinuing NCEP/NCAR R1 and the switch to CORe, if I'm understanding what I'm reading correctly, PSL is not going to offer plotting of CORe, although it is listed under the list of datasets. 

NCEP.NCAR R1 will still be available for reanalysis purposes but may have to switch over to ERA5 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

This sucks @40/70 Benchmark

With the NWS discontinuing NCEP/NCAR R1 and the switch to CORe, if I'm understanding what I'm reading correctly, PSL is not going to offer plotting of CORe, although it is listed under the list of datasets. 

NCEP.NCAR R1 will still be available for reanalysis purposes but may have to switch over to ERA5 

Yup. NCAR is NOMORE