H2Otown_WX Posted July 22 Share Posted July 22 On 7/13/2026 at 7:08 AM, Go Kart Mozart said: It'd be funny if Judah Cohen comes up with an index to correlate forest fire smoke to a snowy and cold winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted July 23 Share Posted July 23 Highly doubt that persists through winter.CFS got an ugly -PNA/-NAO comboSent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 23 Author Share Posted July 23 25 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: CFS got an ugly -PNA/-NAO combo Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk I don't agree with a -PNA winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted July 23 Share Posted July 23 I don't agree with a -PNA winter season.Neutral positive?Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 23 Author Share Posted July 23 1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said: Neutral positive? Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Positive. Here is the PNA progression from DJFM 2023-2024, a weaker El Niño within the heart of the Pacific cold phase. 1.21, 0.45, 0.09, 0.45 It's going to be more negative than that season? Good luck....take a look at all of the super El Niño events....waaaaay positive. Even 1991....only one that was neutralish was 1972, but it was still barely positive. Now, maybe the orientation of the PNA ridge will suck....but the reading won't come out negative for the DJFM mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 warm and rainy. incredibly easy forecast 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 26 Author Share Posted July 26 My early look at the polar domain...pretty deep for a first hedge. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/07/preliminary-assessment-of-polar-domain.html Primary Polar Analogs: 1982-1983, 2015-2016 2026-2027 Polar Analog Composite: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 26 Author Share Posted July 26 14 hours ago, forkyfork said: warm and rainy. incredibly easy forecast Shit, I can't compete with that...should have done my homework- 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted July 26 Share Posted July 26 My early look at the polar domain...pretty deep for a first hedge. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/07/preliminary-assessment-of-polar-domain.html Primary Polar Analogs: 1982-1983, 2015-2016 2026-2027 Polar Analog Composite: EwSent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 26 Share Posted July 26 Bam going with historic warmth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 26 Author Share Posted July 26 2 hours ago, qg_omega said: Bam going with historic warmth I thought that was just December... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 On 7/25/2026 at 11:29 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Shit, I can't compete with that...should have done my homework- no need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 27 Author Share Posted July 27 38 minutes ago, forkyfork said: no need I think that tells you all you need to know in terms of seasonal temp anomaly, which really only has about a 1/10 chance of being cold in this modern era, anyway...so it really doesn't tell you much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 17 hours ago, qg_omega said: Bam going with historic warmth Which means get your snowblowers ready 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 It may never snow here again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 5 hours ago, MJO812 said: 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 34 minutes ago, dendrite said: Bucket list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 7 hours ago, MJO812 said: He was pretty accurate when he did his forecast for last year… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 11 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Bucket list Who gets the liter that he had in his mouth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 57 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Who gets the liter that he had in his mouth? Tolleris or JB ??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 10 hours ago, Masswx said: He was pretty accurate when he did his forecast for last year… His forecast was much better than other forecasts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 21 hours ago, MJO812 said: Which means get your snowblowers ready ....so true!! ...and some already are doing dry runs in preparation.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 28 Author Share Posted July 28 4 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: His forecast was much better than other forecasts.. He was okay on a seasonal level, but I remember he initially rushed the flip back to cold in January. He kept to trying to go cold again first week and I knew it would take until mid month. At least he owned it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 28 Author Share Posted July 28 22 hours ago, MJO812 said: God, I can't stand him...biggest hack there is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: God, I can't stand him...biggest hack there is. He must be doing something right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 28 Author Share Posted July 28 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: He must be doing something right... Yes, generating clicks....which is often the antithesis of sound meteorology. Same crap-maps every year...without fail. I know to ignore him, but the masses don't know any better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes, generating clicks....which is often the antithesis of sound meteorology. Same crap-maps every year...without fail. Doesnt he own a succesfull business?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes, generating clicks....which is often the antithesis of sound meteorology. Same crap-maps every year...without fail. I know to ignore him, but the masses don't know any better. Well, look who not only clicked it, but just had to post it here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 5 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Doesnt he own a succesfull business?? ...a crap emoji for asking a legitimate question???.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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