Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

[Typhoon Tip]

As I take a hit off my coffee every morning, I keep hoping the modeling cinemas I'm about to let roll will at last depict a big correction ridge bloomin' over east/mid latitude continent.   Day after day after day ...   

Nope. 

There's some semblance in the 500 mb ( Euro op) for ridging to roll back up next week, but I can tell without looking, day after day after day... once again, it stops short of what I had in mind.   So...then I go look at the sfc evolution for those 500 mb frames and yep ... piece of shit over the top high pressure driving in a BD butt bang, if not an outright cold front that seemingly shouldn't be be so aggressively slicing into the warm heights.  Clearly doing so because the Euro model was a corroborative engineering effort between Indeedsnow and NY Metro law enforcement -

I don't wish CC upon the world.   But it is unfortunately for the world, real.   Seeing as that is the case, and we're pretty well solidly fucked to stop it - incredulously so ... - we may as well find some way to enjoy what time remaining in our species MAGAdian-Darwinian cliff rush we have before it all starts going over the edge.  We could at least wallow in our crapulence for creating a global temperature curve whence relative to date, the world is currently at a historic high ... by making it actually fucking warm here... and not everywhere else!   And no ... some random 75 F day here or there doesn't count. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

But Anthony you actually did say winter was over a week ago or more…so this is not true.  And what is that? 

Probably historic charts intended as an April's Fool's homeage.

[Typhoon Tip]

There we go ... just busted 13 F in the last 25 minutes here.  

 

[WinterWolf]

35 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

As I take a hit off my coffee every morning, I keep hoping the modeling cinemas I'm about to let roll will at last depict a big correction ridge bloomin' over east/mid latitude continent.   Day after day after day ...   

Nope. 

There's some semblance in the 500 mb ( Euro op) for ridging to roll back up next week, but I can tell without looking, day after day after day... once again, it stops short of what I had in mind.   So...then I go look at the sfc evolution for those 500 mb frames and yep ... piece of shit over the top high pressure driving in a BD butt bang, if not an outright cold front that seemingly shouldn't be be so aggressively slicing into the warm heights.  Clearly doing so because the Euro model was a corroborative engineering effort between Indeedsnow and NY Metro law enforcement -

I don't wish CC upon the world.   But it is unfortunately for the world, real.   Seeing as that is the case, and we're pretty well solidly fucked to stop it - incredulously so ... - we may as well find some way to enjoy what time remaining in our species MAGAdian-Darwinian cliff rush we have before it all starts going over the edge.  We could at least wallow in our crapulence for creating a global temperature curve whence relative to date, the world is currently at a historic high ... by making it actually fucking warm here... and not everywhere else!   And no ... some random 75 F day here or there doesn't count. 

Not a thing to worry about…take it to the bank. 

[WinterWolf]

23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Probably historic charts intended as an April's Fool's homeage.

Ahh…good point. Forgot about the April fools thing today. 

[dendrite]

3 airmasses in place right now. The wedge in the east, warm sector in SNE/CRV, and then the CAA moving south through upstate NY and VT.

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

3 airmasses in place right now. The wedge in the east, warm sector in SNE/CRV, and then the CAA moving south through upstate NY and VT.

Torch !!

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

As I take a hit off my coffee every morning, I keep hoping the modeling cinemas I'm about to let roll will at last depict a big correction ridge bloomin' over east/mid latitude continent.   Day after day after day ...   

Nope. 

There's some semblance in the 500 mb ( Euro op) for ridging to roll back up next week, but I can tell without looking, day after day after day... once again, it stops short of what I had in mind.   So...then I go look at the sfc evolution for those 500 mb frames and yep ... piece of shit over the top high pressure driving in a BD butt bang, if not an outright cold front that seemingly shouldn't be be so aggressively slicing into the warm heights.  Clearly doing so because the Euro model was a corroborative engineering effort between Indeedsnow and NY Metro law enforcement -

I don't wish CC upon the world.   But it is unfortunately for the world, real.   Seeing as that is the case, and we're pretty well solidly fucked to stop it - incredulously so ... - we may as well find some way to enjoy what time remaining in our species MAGAdian-Darwinian cliff rush we have before it all starts going over the edge.  We could at least wallow in our crapulence for creating a global temperature curve whence relative to date, the world is currently at a historic high ... by making it actually fucking warm here... and not everywhere else!   And no ... some random 75 F day here or there doesn't count. 

Yeah this region despite being very warm in March was still shielded from the crazy +10 to +20 departures over 70 percent of the country. 

It's going to take a Pac NW style summer ridge to wake people up. Unfortunately we need to see 110-120F temperatures over multiple days that will shut the grid down for people to get a clue. 

[radarman]

Was full on spring the last 24 hours,  birds chirping, crocus and hellebores popping along with the dews, an altogether different smell out there.  Was nice.  

Anyway sun's gone.  We cloudy

[CT Valley Snowman]

BDL hit 80 yesterday. 70 here currently.   Rapid green-up underway.  Just saw some forsythia really starting to pop on my walk.  

[powderfreak]

34F and dreary.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Yeah this region despite being very warm in March was still shielded from the crazy +10 to +20 departures over 70 percent of the country. 

It's going to take a Pac NW style summer ridge to wake people up. Unfortunately we need to see 110-120F temperatures over multiple days that will shut the grid down for people to get a clue. 

Agreed ...  Brian and I have had this discussion in the now distancing past but again, those heat explosions that took place in the Pac NW and London ...SE Asia, step country of the Urals, Moscow and Austrialia ...those were all synergistic events.  That's when several factors, not just the synoptic footprint, feed back and the modeling technology just doesn't really do that?   SO you end up with product that far surpasses expectation.   

The closes we've come to seeing that E of the Mississippi Valley and N of the Mason Dixie, in modern era whence these synergistic heat waves became a recurring global phenomenon, is the 2012 heat wave.  However, that was restricted to far SW and was squeezed further S and eventually demolished by a massive Derecho/processing event. 

Simply put, we have not had one here.   Despite 102 once in awhile, that's not it.  We could possibly argue that the May heat up in Ontario the bled into NNE a couple years around the early 2020s but 90s mmm there was some resonate feedback going on there, but it was mostly just lacking the DP input into those that drove that.  It was multi-sourced and "bursting" over modeling either.  

I've actually begun to suspect that it is harder for this area to achieve the synergy.  We just have too many available negative inputs... squeezing our circumstance manifold down to lesser ways to get that to happen - it becomes lower odds. 

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

BDL hit 80 yesterday. 70 here currently.   Rapid green-up underway.  Just saw some forsythia really starting to pop on my walk.  

Amazing how fast stuff popped these last two days . Went from Chernobyl to Augusta National 

[Torch Tiger]

Poppin

[CoastalWx]

Too many effing clouds 

[weatherwiz]

Yeah clouds rolled in quickly here...went from nice and bright to probably needing to turn a light on

[Brian5671]

partly cloudy here 73

[Lava Rock]

33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Amazing how fast stuff popped these last two days . Went from Chernobyl to Augusta National 

It's beautiful here

[WinterWolf]

10 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

It's beautiful here

Our grass has greened up…otherwise it’s not much different. Tree buds are starting to thicken up with the warmth the last few days. 

[MJO812]

77 here

5 more months until the Ber months . Cant wait.

[Brian5671]

Hoping for a 90 somewhere this month-if we're going to torch let's do it in style

[Damage In Tolland]

71:61 currently. So naked, so free. Oh how we’ve missed (dew) you 

[dryslot]

The frost heaves are enormous this year.

[MJO812]

30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

71:61 currently. So naked, so free. Oh how we’ve missed (dew) you 

I really need to lose weight. My stomach is hanging over my pants.

I hate this warmth.  At least I can hide my stomach with a jacket.

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I really need to lose weight. My stomach is hanging over my pants.

I hate this warmth.  At least I can hide my stomach with a jacket.

Start trimming Down Ant….Summer is coming. You wanna look decent when you’re partying at Coney island. 

[SouthCoastMA]

52°/47

Bend me over season down here

[Damage In Tolland]

33 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I really need to lose weight. My stomach is hanging over my pants.

I hate this warmth.  At least I can hide my stomach with a jacket.

Ffffttttss?

[CoastalWx]

Even with the clouds tickling 70. Dew 62. 

[rclab]

27 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I really need to lose weight. My stomach is hanging over my pants.

I hate this warmth.  At least I can hide my stomach with a jacket.

Allow your young one to take the lead.and staying actively close with him will definitely reduce your waist size. There may also be coaching opportunities in you future. Stay well, as always ….

[MJO812]

43 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Start trimming Down Ant….Summer is coming. You wanna look decent when you’re partying at Coney island. 

I dont go to Coney Island. Nothing good there.