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3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Moderate -> Enhanced -> Slight) RESULT: Significant wind after dark


Kmlwx
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8 minutes ago, katabatic said:

Ended up with a really nice snowfall. 4.5" as of 10 AM. Occasional light snow continues with the temp in the upper teens. What's really nice is this put me above 100" for the season!

Nice! Its too bad Wisp threw in the towel. Would have been nice to carve up the front side for a couple more days. At least mid season was rockin'.

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8 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Anyone else tracking the potential snow showers this afternoon? HRRR seems insistent some make it over the mountains

I’ll be happy to monitor snow showers at home with a green beer in hand. :lol:

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4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

 

Love the SPC, but wondering how many of those reports occurred with the ending squall line which went through after they dropped percentages. I think they were completely justified in their 4/5 risk (and twitter/public mets retroactively throwing them under the bus suck) but its also fair to say that while justified the forecast failed. A failed forecast is not necessarily a bad one though. You have to warn for the high end in case it happens, hopefully people don't think next time its a boy cry wolf situation.

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18 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

 

Basically no tornadoes in a 15% hatched and no significant wind. It was windy and lot of little reports of a tree limb down, but not a moderate risk. Moderate would have had widespread significant damage. The previous day was only an enhanced and it was more active than yesterday. 

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1 hour ago, mdhokie said:

Nice! Its too bad Wisp threw in the towel. Would have been nice to carve up the front side for a couple more days. At least mid season was rockin'.

This is my 4th winter here and wrt Wisp, this was their best season of the last 4. In fact, each year since the 22-23 dud, it's gotten better (not saying much, I know). Hopefully next year, we'll get a couple of bona fide coastals that bury us. Since they threw in the towel, the Wisp employees are in limbo right now and the ~25 J1 visa employees have all returned to South America. It's that weird intra-seasonal space between ski and golf season where it's tough to get anything done there. Looking outside, occasional snow showers continue and temp is still at 19. Not too shabby for St. Patty's Day :snowing:

 

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2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

 

know they just revamped to fix this - but I think most folks, if you asked them, would say yesterday's storms were maybe a 2/5 in severity on a five point scale. Maybe a 1.5/5. 

The problem(s) - of which there are many - is that a moderate risk is somewhat accurately described as a 4/5 risk. The kind of storms you only see every 3 years around here. Nobody felt yesterday's storms did that.

So verification on percentages... good for SPC, I guess. Lot of room for messaging improvements.

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15 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

know they just revamped to fix this - but I think most folks, if you asked them, would say yesterday's storms were maybe a 2/5 in severity on a five point scale. Maybe a 1.5/5. 

The problem(s) - of which there are many - is that a moderate risk is somewhat accurately described as a 4/5 risk. The kind of storms you only see every 3 years around here. Nobody felt yesterday's storms did that.

So verification on percentages... good for SPC, I guess. Lot of room for messaging improvements.

Moderate also is significant severe and as per spc chart requires 75+mph winds or ef2 or greater tornadoes which there was none of either. 

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1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

know they just revamped to fix this - but I think most folks, if you asked them, would say yesterday's storms were maybe a 2/5 in severity on a five point scale. Maybe a 1.5/5. 

The problem(s) - of which there are many - is that a moderate risk is somewhat accurately described as a 4/5 risk. The kind of storms you only see every 3 years around here. Nobody felt yesterday's storms did that.

So verification on percentages... good for SPC, I guess. Lot of room for messaging improvements.

I do agree there was some messaging issues but across broadcast media too. Speaking locally but there wasn’t much mention of the 7-9pm line in any of the weekend news weather segments I watched. More focus on the tornado threat. It wasn’t until yesterdays midday and evening news did the 8pm line get attention. Saw plenty on FB annoyed at how dire things were hyped to be during the day, then caught off guard last night when it gusted to 40 for an hour, then sleet, then snow. 

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12 minutes ago, mappy said:

I do agree there was some messaging issues but across broadcast media too. Speaking locally but there wasn’t much mention of the 7-9pm line in any of the weekend news weather segments I watched. More focus on the tornado threat. It wasn’t until yesterdays midday and evening news did the 8pm line get attention. Saw plenty on FB annoyed at how dire things were hyped to be during the day, then caught off guard last night when it gusted to 40 for an hour, then sleet, then snow. 

Tornadoes are a lot more interesting to report on, unfortunately. We can debate the merits of the 15% sig1 tor, but that usually is the tornado threat of the year, so don't blame local news for reporting that as such. That takes a lot of attention away from the winds, which were always forecast to roll through between 5-8pm. It distracted us all too and we should in theory know better.

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411
NOUS41 KPHI 171906
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-180715-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
306 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...CONFIRMED EF-1 TORNADO IN CAROLINE COUNTY MARYLAND...
...EXTENSIVE STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE CONFIRMED IN QUEEN ANNE`S
COUNTY MARYLAND...

A survey team from the National Weather Service office in Mount
Holly, New Jersey has confirmed a tornado occurred last night in
Ridgely, Maryland (Caroline County). The preliminary result is an
an EF-1 with maximum winds to 100 mph.

The survey team also examined significant wind damage that occurred
last night between Sudlersville and Millington in Maryland (Queen
Anne`s County). The preliminary result is that extensive
straight-line winds occurred with speeds between 70-90 mph.

The survey team is currently in Kent County, Delaware.

A final assessment including all of the details are expected to
be completed and transmitted via a Public Information Statement
sometime this evening.

The storm survey information will also be available on our
website at http://www.weather.gov/phi

$$

Gorse

@AlexD1990

@JakkelWx

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3 hours ago, zwyts said:

Hi H****d  

I'm moving to Philly this fall, so I'll be in the other forum (if i don't get banned first)

No one would ever fess up to what got M*tt in trouble. I think it was that god  awful off topic shit slinger children’s forum and your Jewish faith?

what’s the Philly story?

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2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

know they just revamped to fix this - but I think most folks, if you asked them, would say yesterday's storms were maybe a 2/5 in severity on a five point scale. Maybe a 1.5/5. 

The problem(s) - of which there are many - is that a moderate risk is somewhat accurately described as a 4/5 risk. The kind of storms you only see every 3 years around here. Nobody felt yesterday's storms did that.

So verification on percentages... good for SPC, I guess. Lot of room for messaging improvements.

The rain I got in the afternoon was a 4, the one hour temp drop a 4, the wind a 3.5, the tornados and lightning a 0.

i still maintain it’s not “too short of a notice” to decide about schools at 9/10am because everyone’s on alert and watching already to see if early dismissal is wise Using the night before info is not wise

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1 hour ago, IronTy said:

No damage from any wind last night at my house but first thing this morning I heard chainsaws and on the way to work noticed that two houses on my street had large 100ft tulip trees down across their driveways.  Luckily they didn't appear to hit any cars or houses.  

You referenced a train like noise so  something nearly tornadic must have been within 1/4-1/2 mile and might have been in those neighbors area 

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