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3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Moderate -> Enhanced -> Slight) RESULT: Significant wind after dark


Kmlwx
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8 minutes ago, katabatic said:

Ended up with a really nice snowfall. 4.5" as of 10 AM. Occasional light snow continues with the temp in the upper teens. What's really nice is this put me above 100" for the season!

Nice! Its too bad Wisp threw in the towel. Would have been nice to carve up the front side for a couple more days. At least mid season was rockin'.

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8 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Anyone else tracking the potential snow showers this afternoon? HRRR seems insistent some make it over the mountains

I’ll be happy to monitor snow showers at home with a green beer in hand. :lol:

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4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

 

Love the SPC, but wondering how many of those reports occurred with the ending squall line which went through after they dropped percentages. I think they were completely justified in their 4/5 risk (and twitter/public mets retroactively throwing them under the bus suck) but its also fair to say that while justified the forecast failed. A failed forecast is not necessarily a bad one though. You have to warn for the high end in case it happens, hopefully people don't think next time its a boy cry wolf situation.

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18 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

 

Basically no tornadoes in a 15% hatched and no significant wind. It was windy and lot of little reports of a tree limb down, but not a moderate risk. Moderate would have had widespread significant damage. The previous day was only an enhanced and it was more active than yesterday. 

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1 hour ago, mdhokie said:

Nice! Its too bad Wisp threw in the towel. Would have been nice to carve up the front side for a couple more days. At least mid season was rockin'.

This is my 4th winter here and wrt Wisp, this was their best season of the last 4. In fact, each year since the 22-23 dud, it's gotten better (not saying much, I know). Hopefully next year, we'll get a couple of bona fide coastals that bury us. Since they threw in the towel, the Wisp employees are in limbo right now and the ~25 J1 visa employees have all returned to South America. It's that weird intra-seasonal space between ski and golf season where it's tough to get anything done there. Looking outside, occasional snow showers continue and temp is still at 19. Not too shabby for St. Patty's Day :snowing:

 

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2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

 

know they just revamped to fix this - but I think most folks, if you asked them, would say yesterday's storms were maybe a 2/5 in severity on a five point scale. Maybe a 1.5/5. 

The problem(s) - of which there are many - is that a moderate risk is somewhat accurately described as a 4/5 risk. The kind of storms you only see every 3 years around here. Nobody felt yesterday's storms did that.

So verification on percentages... good for SPC, I guess. Lot of room for messaging improvements.

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15 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

know they just revamped to fix this - but I think most folks, if you asked them, would say yesterday's storms were maybe a 2/5 in severity on a five point scale. Maybe a 1.5/5. 

The problem(s) - of which there are many - is that a moderate risk is somewhat accurately described as a 4/5 risk. The kind of storms you only see every 3 years around here. Nobody felt yesterday's storms did that.

So verification on percentages... good for SPC, I guess. Lot of room for messaging improvements.

Moderate also is significant severe and as per spc chart requires 75+mph winds or ef2 or greater tornadoes which there was none of either. 

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