2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[SnowenOutThere]

Could tomorrow be a possible severe weather day?

We have strong low level lapse rates, good CAPE and some turning of winds with height - though next to no increase with height. Seems like some sort of thunderstorms should be likely along anything that could trigger forcing. 

[yoda]

Maybe?  Afternoon day 2 SPC disco

.Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic...
   Along/south of a stalled surface front, ample diurnal heating amid 
   upper 50s/lower 60s dewpoints and limited inhibition should promote
   widely scattered thunderstorms from the middle OH Valley into the
   Mid-Atlantic during the day. While midlevel flow will be modest, a
   subtle speed max glancing the area should contribute to around 25-30
   kt of effective shear. This should promote a couple loosely
   organized clusters capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
   isolated, marginally severe hail. A relatively higher corridor of
   severe potential is possible over northern VA and vicinity, though
   confidence in storm coverage and overall intensity was too low to
   upgrade at this time.