high risk Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 24 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: The area to watch Agreed. HRRR has a pretty good handle on it, and while I'm still not totally sold on the severe threat, it's moving into a more favorable environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Got mesocyclones on the warned storms. Could see a potential tornado threat given some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Got mesocyclones on the warned storms. Could see a potential tornado threat given some time. Little cluster down 81 let’s see if these storms fire up more. One by Hagerstown has my attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Dumping 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Spidy sense on that storm north of Luray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Loud thunder and windy as it passes through Stephenson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Got a brief warning up here in Greencastle. Not the longest duration storm, but it packed a punch. Some tiny hail with it. Looks like it blew up pretty good to my east in Waynesboro, PA. I’d say anywhere along the M/D should watch out on that line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The line of storms west of DC has definitely gained a little juice. It's super warm and a little saucy feeling here in the lowlands. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Things just got crazy here. Pouring rain and a lot of wind. Thunder and the sky is backlit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Tornado warning west and including Westminster 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Tornado warning west and including Westminster Knew that area by Hagerstown would do something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Passed through here. Picked up .15” of rain. Still have thunder and got a rainbow. Sun out. So happy that Mr. J got home before all this hit. 270 looks like it is absolutely getting slammed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Parr's Ridge convergence zone strikes again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Lots of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Tornado warning here . 17 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago ^whoa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 hours ago, Nomz said: Almost clear in DC, although we still might have some cloud deck coming in, according to vis sat. Already 84/54 at DCA, so it will be nearly impossible for storms to get down to the surface. The HRRR and RRFS are progging ~500 CAPE peak for DC, while the NAM nest and RAP are >1000. Usually, I'd lean towards the RAP, but both it and the NAM are initializing too cold (3 degrees or so), so I'll lean towards the HRRR and RRFF, which show a kind of isolated low-topped supercell event. Maybe some small hail. never let me forecast again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago damn that radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, Nomz said: never let me forecast again Snow is tricky enough, but severe is it's own brand of tricky...might wanna leave it to @Kmlwx and company, lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Backside of the storm. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Damnit. Fist whiff of the season in the lower lowlands 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Sbow is tricky enough, but severe is it's own brand of tricky...might wanna leave it to @Kmlwx and company, lol SVWX is definitely my "specialty" though. What got me into weather, and what is still my favorite to forecast. To be fair I was probably right about the DC area, we just don't have enough instability because we had a local area of persistent cloud deck for basically the entire day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Tornado warning even here in the city 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Feels a bit overaggressive to warn such broad, weak rotation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Nice gusty shower in progress. My wife saw a lightning strike in the distance as it approached, but no T&L that I can hear or see with the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago This event is very driven by 700mb forcing. Local maxima NW of Baltimore, where the most severe storming is, and much less flow with southern extent, which is causing the southern side of the storm to be much weaker. Our temp/dew spreads are a little wider down here as well, which is not helping matters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Ah connective season. That means a trace of rain and thunder somewhere in the distance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago A little wind in Pikesville, Power flickered a few times. Nothing crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Two years ago we were hit by a direct strike and it caused $70k of damage to our house. It is incredible how the perspective changes once that has happened. . 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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