Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[Random Chaos]

36.7F here. That's already below what some models were calling for tomorrow at dawn.

[winter_warlock]

3 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

You're the only one that can't spell.

Here we go..

[osfan24]

9 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

0z FV3 stinks for everyone compared to Nams and Hrrr

Isn’t that a sign the GFS will be bad?

[GreyHat]

Magnolia Delaware 

High today 56F

Now 33F

Nice white frost 

[Terpeast]

Just now catching up - had company over today so was quiet.

Looks like the ccb may not get far enough west here, and I don’t want to gamble on the norlun, I’m thinking the local min may be imby or close. Running out of time for bigger changes. Should be a great storm with double digits E/NE of DC, and maybe someone lucky will see 10” from the norlun (and I don’t think its going to be me).

Historic for DE/PHL/NJ/NYC/BOS, though! Fun to watch from a met perspective. 

PS. i’m at 40/29. Tad warm, not sure what the models had me at for this time. 

[Interstate]

Why are people fight when we are about to have the best storm since 2016

[nw baltimore wx]

13 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

35.2 here. 

35 here as well.

[bncho]

Just now, Interstate said:

Why are people fight when we are about to have the best storm since 2016

because NJ and NYC are having their best storm in recorded history.

but who cares tbh... i look at my backyard, i don't like at the Jersey shore's backyard

[Interstate]

Just now, bncho said:

because NJ and NYC are having their best storm in recorded history.

but who cares tbh... i look at my backyard, i don't like at the Jersey shore's backyard

I am still pulling off 12+ IMBY

[clskinsfan]

Already down to 33 here. DP of 28. And the radar is starting to build to my west. I feel a lot batter about getting some snow out here now. We will miss the coastal. But hopefully we can score a few inches before it cranks up. And of course there is the Norlun that will get somebody out this way. 

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said:

35 here as well.

I guess my extra 100 feet of elevation isn’t helping me. 

[BristowWx]

2 minutes ago, Interstate said:

Why are people fight when we are about to have the best storm since 2016

Not even close to 2016. 

[LP08]

Rgem has the norlun through or just west of DC

[IronTy]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

because NJ and NYC are having their best storm in recorded history.

but who cares tbh... i look at my backyard, i don't like at the Jersey shore's backyard

Look at it this way. In a week it'll all be melted here and it'll be sunny and 50F perfect blue bird weather.  Up there they'll still be digging out of dirty gross snow covered in dog poo.  

[TSSN+]

Sitting in the cooking pot of Hanover PA. 37 here. 

[Interstate]

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

Not even close to 2016. 

I never said it was... I said best since.  I will never see nothing like 2016 again in my lifetime

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

Not even close to 2016. 

Of you read said best since. 

[jayyy]

0z FV3 stinks for everyone compared to Nams and Hrrr

Indeed. However the FV3 12 hours out from storm development ain’t it. OBS and short range HI RES is def where our focus should be

[LP08]

Rgem just hates this storm. 

[winter_warlock]

6 minutes ago, Interstate said:

Why are people fight when we are about to have the best storm since 2016

 Will be best storm since 2016 for only people to the east of i95 ,not everyone 

[Ji]

1 minute ago, LP08 said:

Rgem just hates this storm.  seemy pretty wet. 

[Interstate]

1 minute ago, LP08 said:

Rgem just hates this storm. 

Yeah it is crazy the spread that still exist between models with only 12 hours to go

[Interstate]

1 minute ago, winter_warlock said:

 Will be best storm since 2016 for only people to the east of i95 ,not everyone 

I am west of 95 and I am getting 12+ inches of course my windows trays say I am getting 1 inch of rain tomorrow.  I must be where Gray Hat is located

[osfan24]

8 minutes ago, Interstate said:

Why are people fight when we are about to have the best storm since 2016

Is it definitely going to be better than the January storm? Seems unlikely for most. And people getting clobbered up the street is depressing.

[WxMan1]

FV3 never verifies well. I'm more annoyed that the 00Z RGEM sucked for all of us. Never get into sustained mod-hvy rates for a while and the precip is gone before 12Z Mon.  Looks to progressive with the coastal low.

[Ralph Wiggum]

18 minutes ago, Ji said:

your the only one looking at the crap model

 

15 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

You're the only one that can't spell.

[nj2va]

39 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

If you take 80% of Kuchera, this is a bonafide MECS for areas east of I-95 and a SECS for those west except northeastern MD. HECS for Delaware and points northeast. Absolutely insane consistency right now on these mega outputs. 

Just got back home from dinner and drinks. This is all I needed to read. LFG

[TJ3]

1 hour ago, Herb@MAWS said:

Lived in McLean for 8 years a bit south of Great Falls Park. Snow did seem to  accumulate well — and better — there. Always enjoyed drive home from work in DC heading north up GW Pkwy to McLean/Great Falls, enjoyed watching how the snowpack got better the further up the Pkwy I got. DC green, McLean white. 

Lived in McLean for 62 years. The difference between totals on MCLEAN and DCA is significant and real. However, the difference has gone down over years and we are unfortunately now closer to DCA‘s totals then we are IAD’s. That’s happened in the last 10 years and it sucks.

[SnowGolfBro]

Temp dropped faster tonight than i thought it would. Just stepped out back with the dog and it feels like snow is coming. Didnt feel that way at 5pm. Hoping the NAM had this one sniffed out 

[Interstate]

Lets see if the GFS can come west 50 miles in 30 minutes... that should brighten the mood.