Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[TSSN+]

4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Idk, I  am all snow now. 35 per close Wunderground station.

Right and hrrr shows rain till 5pm. 3k Nam seems closer to current radar and temps. 33 here with light snow now 

[bncho]

37/34

[Lucketts]

36/36 with light rain

Elevation 500’

[mitchnick]

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

It is slowly caving to the 3K especially in NW zones.  Anxious to see if I turn to snow before noon west of 15 in Frederick county.

The traffic cam at Rt 15 and St. Anthony's road in Emmitsburg showed mixing when I looked 10 minutes ago.

[davidjd1114]

35 and drizzle in York


.

[mitchnick]

Just now, davidjd1114 said:

35 and drizzle in York


.

You're next.

[DDweatherman]

Grass is mostly covered, between 1/2 and 1”, snowing moderately at the moment. 

[davidjd1114]

You're next.

For what??


.

[WVclimo]

Light rain has flipped to light snow now.  Down a degree to 36.

[MN Transplant]

I certainly like the placement of the inverted trough on the models.  But, I think anyone rooting for the 3km NAM early changeover outside of the favored areas is wishcasting.

12z sounding from Dulles.

 

72403 IAD Sterling Observations at 12Z 22 Feb 2026
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
   PRES   HGHT   TEMP   DWPT   RELH   MIXR   DRCT   SKNT   THTA   THTE   THTV
    hPa     m      C      C      %    g/kg    deg   knot     K      K      K 
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1005.0     93    3.4    1.9     90   4.39    330      5  276.2  288.3  276.9
 1000.0    130    4.2    0.3     76   3.93     65      3  277.4  288.3  278.0
  999.0    138    4.2    0.2     75   3.90     67      3  277.4  288.3  278.1
  956.0    493    1.5   -0.6     86   3.85    140     10  278.2  289.0  278.9
  938.0    646    0.3   -0.9     91   3.82    130     11  278.6  289.3  279.2
  925.0    759   -0.5   -1.2     95   3.80    150     11  278.8  289.5  279.4
  923.0    776   -0.7   -1.4     95   3.76    150     12  278.8  289.3  279.4
  910.0    889   -1.3   -1.9     95   3.67    120     14  279.3  289.7  279.9
  884.0   1120   -2.5   -3.0     96   3.49    130     10  280.4  290.4  281.0
  883.0   1129   -2.5   -3.0     96   3.49    133     10  280.4  290.4  281.0
  874.0   1211   -1.9   -2.2     98   3.74    156     10  281.9  292.6  282.5
  859.0   1348   -2.8   -2.9     99   3.62    195     11  282.4  292.7  283.0
  850.0   1432   -3.3   -3.3    100   3.54    215      8  282.7  292.9  283.3
  841.0   1516   -3.7   -3.7    100   3.47    214      8  283.1  293.1  283.7
  825.0   1668   -3.5   -3.5    100   3.60    212      9  284.9  295.3  285.5

[Bubbler86]

Just switched to snow here at 810'  Up at 1400' feet there is a slushy coating on the ground. 

[nw baltimore wx]

2 minutes ago, davidjd1114 said:

For what??
.

Changeover

[mattie g]

37 and moderate rain.

Eagerly anticipating my blizzard.

[davidjd1114]

Changeover

Snow is mixing in now as we speak lol


.

[HighStakes]

Light snow. Dusting. 33. 

[aldie 22]

3 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

Light rain has flipped to light snow now.  Down a degree to 36.

Dang that's close

[LeesburgWx]

Hoping we flip earlier than advertised. Snow is close. Only like 1,000 feet up here

[Wonderdog]

Light rain and 38 in Gainesville.

 

[EastCoast NPZ]

36F light rain.

[TSSN+]

33 with light snow. No accumulation. Need rates to get up here. In a zone of weak returns per usual. 

[Scraff]

The best way to start a snowy Sunday—USA Hockey at 8:00! Let’s go USA! Fuck Canada—except once in a while the CMC is ok. 

[Chris78]

Light rain still in Smithsburg but definitely snowing up in the Catoctins. Visibility has lowered.  The base of the Catoctins is about 1 mile from my house and they've disappeared. 

[dailylurker]

I made it to the gas station 2 miles from my house and it's already trying to flip lol

[Chris78]

14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Just switched to snow here at 810'  Up at 1400' feet there is a slushy coating on the ground. 

I'm about 750ft so hopefully I'll switch soon.

[WVclimo]

Pouring huge flakes now, but melting on contact at 35 degrees.  Guess its gonna be that kind of day here.

[stormy]

35.0 with light rain at 1325 ft.  Ground white and snow falling at 1500 ft. on Afton. Mt..

[Terpeast]

15 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

I certainly like the placement of the inverted trough on the models.  But, I think anyone rooting for the 3km NAM early changeover outside of the favored areas is wishcasting.

12z sounding from Dulles.

 

72403 IAD Sterling Observations at 12Z 22 Feb 2026
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
   PRES   HGHT   TEMP   DWPT   RELH   MIXR   DRCT   SKNT   THTA   THTE   THTV
    hPa     m      C      C      %    g/kg    deg   knot     K      K      K 
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1005.0     93    3.4    1.9     90   4.39    330      5  276.2  288.3  276.9
 1000.0    130    4.2    0.3     76   3.93     65      3  277.4  288.3  278.0
  999.0    138    4.2    0.2     75   3.90     67      3  277.4  288.3  278.1
  956.0    493    1.5   -0.6     86   3.85    140     10  278.2  289.0  278.9
  938.0    646    0.3   -0.9     91   3.82    130     11  278.6  289.3  279.2
  925.0    759   -0.5   -1.2     95   3.80    150     11  278.8  289.5  279.4
  923.0    776   -0.7   -1.4     95   3.76    150     12  278.8  289.3  279.4
  910.0    889   -1.3   -1.9     95   3.67    120     14  279.3  289.7  279.9
  884.0   1120   -2.5   -3.0     96   3.49    130     10  280.4  290.4  281.0
  883.0   1129   -2.5   -3.0     96   3.49    133     10  280.4  290.4  281.0
  874.0   1211   -1.9   -2.2     98   3.74    156     10  281.9  292.6  282.5
  859.0   1348   -2.8   -2.9     99   3.62    195     11  282.4  292.7  283.0
  850.0   1432   -3.3   -3.3    100   3.54    215      8  282.7  292.9  283.3
  841.0   1516   -3.7   -3.7    100   3.47    214      8  283.1  293.1  283.7
  825.0   1668   -3.5   -3.5    100   3.60    212      9  284.9  295.3  285.5

Consistent with my 37/35 atm. Need a lot of work to get down to freezing. 

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, Chris78 said:

I'm about 750ft so hopefully I'll switch soon.

900 or so here, snowing nicely and has been the last few hours.

[ge0]

34.0 in Western Loudoun

Snow mixing in

[aldie 22]

Some flakes starting to mix in in Stephenson