dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Already 968 a bit east of DE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 19 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Any insight into 500 mb heights over Miami? Forgetting your rule of thumb Marginal ... At 24 hours, prior to the amplitude setting up over the MA, the heights over the Florida Panhandle are 582 N, to 584-ish S, which is on the fence ... arguable a very minor stressing of that hypothetical rule. However, the other part of that, which is actually the more important aspect, the wind flags are < 40 kts on average. That means that the flow is not preconditioned to a compressed state. Such that as the S/W/phase going on over top in latitude, doesn't have the southern momentum being absorbed in the baseline velocity anomaly. Words get a bit pricey in that... but it has to do with whether a wind max is actually differentiable in the U component of the flow. For example, if the ambient velocity of the flow (U component) is humming along at 70 kts, and a powerful S/W with a 110 kts wind max up in Manitoba has it's sights set on the TV ... as it descends the stream lines, it's 110 -70 = 40 kts of differential. Not terrible. But, if the ambient flow is only 30 kts, that becomes a much bigger velocity left over to force jet responses. The sign that the former "robbing"/absorption is taking place, the vorticity begin to slope backward and the trough's axis into the southern flanks looks/bends back positive. Longer than I wanted... In this case, the marginal limitation is easily overcome. Arithmetically, this whole amplitude has vast momentum compared to a 584 dm hgts, with limited or 0 geostrophic wind anomaly. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Big time wind damage across SE MA and the Cape, coastal RI, and far SE coastal CT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Cane gusts back to Albany ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Destroyed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 NAM is cocaine bear. NAM crossed the streams and is summoning Gozer the Gozerian. 4 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s a hurricane Seriously. 965Mb is yuge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 OMG 20-40" from Baltimore to Boston with 50-75mph winds still snowing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 This run is ridiculous!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Still going to need more latitude with this for most of NH and the CRV (outside of CT) I think. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Seriously. 965Mb is yuge Every tree down from TAN to ALB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 All the snow weenie stuff aside this storm is literally life-threatening if you go by this Nam run.. hopefully the word gets out and people don't take it as hype 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, dendrite said: Still going to need more latitude with this for most of NH and the CRV (outside of CT) I think. Thought there was more runway for this run, would like this 50-75 miles north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 BECS territory there. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Depending on rest of 12z blizzard warning probably expanded but those are some insane winds up to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Fuck yes. 5 8 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: OMG 20-40" from Baltimore to Boston with 50-75mph winds still snowing Nam is pure nudity 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, CT Rain said: Fuck yes. When your excited, we know it’s real deal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Jumped east at hr 39 then came back at hr42 there's a chance this tucks even more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 NAM has me singing a somewhat annoying (but today, appropriate) Fall Out Boy song: Some legends are told, some turn to dust or to goldBut you will remember meRemember me for centuries 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I can't wait to make a snow map later. It's going to be like a rated R Picasso piece. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Hey guys. So these are the days that we wait for, sometimes for years. Good luck down there. I really have not been paying to much attention as it has comfortably looked like a miss or scrape up here. Now I'm taking more interest. I guess my question would be, looking at the current runs would the defomation band get far enough NW to get me and Brian into the action? Usually in deep low's the White Mountains to my northeast shadow me. I'll be lurking and watching. Oh, 7" powder last night 24F light snow now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Big time wind damage across SE MA and the Cape, coastal RI, and far SE coastal CT I mean just big wind all the way back through CT (exception far NW corner). 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: OMG 20-40" from Baltimore to Boston with 50-75mph winds still snowing We love to see it. Let's get the GFS to double down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Those winds and wind field similar to Blizz of 78 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Days and days without power? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3k will probably be even more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 We do, uh, have a rather big storm on our hands... First call and hopefully the final. Obviously sided with the more aggressive guidance with a general 1-2 feet across the area, lesser amounts in NW MA. Highlighted potential for 2+ feet in SE MA and central NJ around Monmouth/Ocean where models are hitting those areas hard. The track, development and intensity of this storm closely resembles Feb 2013 and 2006, these were also storms showing up on CIPS analogs frequently so they were used as a guide. Think this has the potential to produce 2-3 feet in some of the more intense banding. We're only 30-36hrs away now so i didn't want to have to update this just to increase it and feel mostly confident in verifying. Likely a historic, record breaking storm for some. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Fuck yes. When CT Rain is THIS pumped? HECS is possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: I mean just big wind all the way back through CT (exception far NW corner). We love to see it. Let's get the GFS to double down. Yup...waiting on GFS. I may even hold off on the Euro but its game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Days and days without power? You start out living in S Wey.. when it’s over your’re in Wey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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