Hoth Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Talking to @The 4 Seasons earlier, this track is closer to a Feb 2013 than any of the other big ones.. For SNE I like that the band will be mature as it moves in, I've noticed sometimes the banding matures too far northeast for my location. 965-975mb low with 25 miles of benchmark, mature banding overhead, bands rotting over us on Monday. You have to go big totals. I'm just stoked I don't have to sniff taint on this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Ah pulling out the SREFS I see. god speed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I think I’m in a good spot right at route in Cambridge, currently in the Alewife area. Seems 14-18 is doable . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I think I’m in a good spot right at route 2 in Cambridge, currently in the Alewife area. Seems 14-18 is doable .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 15 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'm doing maps now, will have out shortly, lets just say it won't be conservative. Too close in and want it to be a final, if possible. I did a morning update telegraphing that the numbers were coming up, and that should suffice for now. Won’t be conservative on the final, I think. Maybe 16-24” lollipops of 30… But we got smoked up here in Barrow last night and I have a ton of driveway clearing to do and my wife is all over me about paying more attention to the weather than her. So evening final call for me. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 What kind of ratios are we getting with this? Is it a foot of cement or some fluff factor with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: Lol tequila sunrise West but way south 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 What kind of ratios are we getting with this? Is it a foot of cement or some fluff factor with it?10-12:1Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think 36 is the ceiling Yeah can’t rule out some 30-burgers. Someone gets stuck under a death band will likely see it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 @40/70 Benchmark with 1.6 on the SREF... bet he is going to wake up the kids and his wife from how giddy in excitement he is going to beSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The way I know this is a good one is waking up and reviewing all the guidance and saying “I think 15” is the floor here” I wish I felt as confident here. Just got some January 2022 PTSD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: I wish I felt as confident here. Just got some January 2022 PTSD I think this would have to trend a couple ticks east to be more like Jan 2022…it’s always possible but it seems unlikely this close in given the way all the guidance looks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 This is going to usher in a traffic apocalypse in New Haven. They did such a shit job with the January storm that there are still plenty of streets partially blocked and down to basically one lane of traffic for both directions. Also, it looks like they've depleted their mountain of salt by I-91. Going to be a fun commute to the office Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 RAP GW That thing is tucked and just crawls E/NE QPF and its not even done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Heading down to mattapoisett now….should be there in time to play catch up on 12z gfs reviews. Would live to read “crosses the cape”. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 11 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'm just stoked I don't have to sniff taint on this one! Hear me out though…if you did…you’d be a hero to us all. Just messing. Good luck down there. Should get crushed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Hoth said: This is going to usher in a traffic apocalypse in New Haven. They did such a shit job with the January storm that there are still plenty of streets partially blocked and down to basically one lane of traffic for both directions. Also, it looks like they've depleted their mountain of salt by I-91. Going to be a fun commute to the office Monday. the funny thing no one knows really how big or serious this storm is or even talking about it that much. Compared to Jan 25-26th, there was so much hype and news coverage. Obviously it was a much bigger storm overall that was visibly trackable across the US while this hasn't even developed yet. Not to mention it affected NM to ME. Just seeing the difference is pretty incredible but it makes sense. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 This may have Feb 2013 type tree damage on south shore. Heavy wet snow as it pounds and then temp falls with those winds. Gfs Bufkit is insane. Has 75-80krs at top of boundary layer. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Wind will be a limiting factor on ratios. Otherwise, the soundings looks really good. Pretty deep dgz right in the 700-500 range. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Yeah I don’t see Jan 2022 here. This will send a death band way NW even if it doesn’t last as long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 18 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: There will be a NEMO band somewhere - 2 faves right now are Monmouth county then SEMASS Just not Tblizz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, wx2fish said: Wind will be a limiting factor on ratios. Otherwise, the soundings looks really good. Pretty deep dgz right in the 700-500 range. I was noticing that just a few min ago looking at soundings. Deep DGZ on just about all guidance. Interior death band could produce some ratios. Won’t be Dec 2020 style but even in storms like Feb 2013, there were at least decent ratios despite the wind. Closer to the coast it’s probably just just too windy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Funny thing is some of the totals might be less than Jan 26, but the snow will be denser and the winds will make this much more impactful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just not Tblizz Rent free 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Some Nemo similarities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, Johnno said: Beauty, runaway will be happy We happy. We horny. Lets Fuking Snow! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: RAP GW That thing is tucked and just crawls E/NE QPF and its not even done How accurate is this that far out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Some Nemo similarities I agree. People now more than ever have this insane fascination about death bands. I say just sit back and enjoy it. I don’t really see the storm as having someone getting screwed unless you’re way outside the snow zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, SnoSki14 said: How accurate is this that far out? Not much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, CoastalWx said: I agree. People now more than ever have this insane fascination about death bands. I say just sit back and enjoy it. I don’t really see the storm as having someone getting screwed unless you’re way outside the snow zone. EMAWX calling for States of Emergency! https://x.com/ray9590/status/2025047143631794649?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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