“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[Typhoon Tip]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

When the storm takes a bit of a wide turn, we often see the dry air try and advect down the valleys more efficiently with a drier ageo vector. It obivously gets overcome if you get into the CCB enough, but the areas kind of on the outer periphery should watch it. I think it affected Jan 2015 in some western areas making it even worse arctic sand than usual. 

This slotted my region during the Boxing Day storm in 2010.  We ended with just low end advisory.  We had 4" of arctic sand that was falsely reported a 6+" but a debate for another time.  The wind was impressive enough that the plows in town were throwing sparks because the roads were scarped clear.   What was interesting about that result is that there was modeled a mysterious notch in the QPF charts that was in fact stabbing down from interior Maine down into these tuck towns E or the Wor Hill/91 S...  Dismissed it as noise.   wrong.  To your point, we never closed the T DP gap during that event - I know, because I looked.  The closest was about 5 F...  16/11 with light arctic grits whirled around by turbine gusts.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Phil should get a good blow from this.  

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

 

You guys are brutal . This is my second and last 

Ha, You earned them.

[Baroclinic Zone]

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

"Wow, Brett, she looks astounding doesn't she?? "Eh, she left a 'lil something on the table".....SLAP

Spit out laughing at this one 

[mahk_webstah]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This slotted my region during the Boxing Day storm in 2010.  We ended with just low end advisory.  We had 4" of arctic sand that was falsely reported a 6+" but a debate for another time.  The wind was impressive enough that the plows in town were throwing sparks because the roads were scarped clear.   What was interesting about that result is that there was modeled a mysterious notch in the QPF charts that was in fact stabbing down from interior Maine down into these tuck towns E or the Wor Hill/91 S...  Dismissed it as noise.   wrong.  To your point, we never closed the T DP gap during that event - I know, because I looked.  The closest was about 5 F...  16/11 with light arctic grits whirled around by turbine gusts.

Same thing up here.  11” but terrible snow growth

[dryslot]

12z Euro is on the clock

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Feels like we’re maxing west trends currently. I’d fully expect a jog east.

i think the Jan 22 references are legit. This obviously isn’t as potent of a system. However, that slowly faded SE over the last couple days.

It was obviously an all time event here because we got in the deformation band, but that was originally modeled way west.

This is potentially most assuredly as potent!

[weatherwiz]

BOX rolling out some watches 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Early reports are that AIFS went NW a good bit 

[MJO812]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Early reports are that AIFS went NW a good bit 

Possibly more to come for SNE 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

Same thing up here.  11” but terrible snow growth

Yup…windblown sugar. We can pound with deep ESE flow, but those are few and far between with snow the dominant ptype. Usually there’s a positive V component feeding in colder/drier/downsloping air here otherwise.

[brooklynwx99]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Early reports are that AIFS went NW a good bit 

yes, big jump. it's coming

[SouthCoastMA]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

yes, big jump. it's coming

I wouldnt say jump, but solid 25 mile tick. That's a blizzard down here

[78Blizzard]

40 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z GEFS, Starting to get some members kissing MVY

All those weak outliers to the east are not happening, so the mean is actually even closer to the Cape.

[40/70 Benchmark]

50 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Phil should get a good blow from scooter

I mean, I know the Brett situation has added a wrinkle to the Noguiera family dynamic, but 'c'mon...

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

All those weak outliers to the east are not happening, so the mean is actually even closer to the Cape.

Those are probably just mesolows with convection in addition to the main low to the west.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I mean, I know the Brett situation has added a wrinkle to the Noguiera fsmioy dynamic, but 'c'mon...

And he’s a teacher. SMH. 

[mahk_webstah]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

yes, big jump. it's coming

Not on pivotal yet. Oy

[MuddyWx]

[CoastalWx]

Oh boy oh boy?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, MuddyWx said:

That should have a Juno band..same area

[brooklynwx99]

euro is obviously more amped. phase is cleaner over the Plains and heights are responding at 45

[dryslot]

[dryslot]

12z Euro "Should" be west of the 06z run.

[ineedsnow]

Euro going to come west

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Mojo risin

[Chrisrotary12]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

3 more of these tics please. 

[brooklynwx99]

lol it continues to cave

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro going to come west

It will probably deliver a last second doodie in the pool while everyone is happy and celebrating.

[Damage In Tolland]

We are on the precipice of a BIG BOY!