“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[8611Blizz]

2 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Going from 1981-2010 to 1991-2020 normals raised BOS avg snowfall 7" to 49".  That's how lame the snowfall was in the 1980s and how great it was in the new 30-yr periods.  Such an avg snowfall increase is quite remarkable IMHO, esp. for a coastal location that battles "marine infections" often!

Yes. A bump like that is pretty amazing. We'll have that hanging over our heads for the next couple of decades. 

[8611Blizz]

Just now, MJO812 said:

JB likes 10-20 inches from DC to boston

I would like JB to retire.

[SouthCoastMA]

Tough to even get Cape scrapers. So happy for the Euro that it nailed the whiff 

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

JB likes 10-20 inches from DC to boston

When does he not? Lol

[HoarfrostHubb]

That feature in the Dakotas on the GFS seems to be the big difference... pulling the bigger storm west a bit.  I'm thinking it loses this soon

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, weathafella said:

 Climo for season though?  Yes if nothing happens til spring it’s sub par but you could easily reach climo with another solid 6 weeks left.

There’s been a really bizarre vibe in this forum the last few days to end winter after the Monday threat. It’s like we’re supposed to pretend we live in Virginia or the Carolinas….i guess the 2022-2024 period was so bad that some thought they actually did live there. 
 

The extended range pattern doesn’t look like an early spring for us either. 

[weathafella]

So we traveled 2/1.  Delta sent a message suggesting we book a different day.  We made no changes as the writing was already on the wall.  We had a relaxing flight probably no more then 50% capacity for all the people who took their advice.  Rinse and repeat this weekend?

[8611Blizz]

My salt delivery just came in. Guaranteed to skunk any and all threats from here on out...

[H2Otown_WX]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

There’s been a really bizarre vibe in this forum the last few days to end winter after the Monday threat. It’s like we’re supposed to pretend we live in Virginia or the Carolinas….i guess the 2022-2024 period was so bad that some thought they actually did live there. 
 

The extended range pattern doesn’t look like an early spring for us either. 

More whiffs and cold rain in the cards!!!

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

JB likes 10-20 inches from DC to boston

JB is Kevin if he did strength training 

[WeatherGeek2025]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

JB likes 10-20 inches from DC to boston

what's his twitter screen name i wanna bust his balls?

[vortex95]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah but that’s not a realistic climo. We all know  this recent 30 year period is inflated and about to deflate. 

Well, after such an epic period, it can *only* go down.  Regression to the mean.  So how is this an issue overall?  You lived it, you loved it 1992-93 to 2015-16.

[weatherwiz]

We have a long ways to go before any sort of sustained major warmup. Heck, even looks like we're a long ways off from anything even a bit above climo. May as well just keep things active with potential events. 

Probably looking at another year where we go from 40's to 80's in a span of three days

[dryslot]

Looks cold going right into the first of March, Far cry from being over.

[vortex95]

6 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

I would like JB to retire.

 

[VivaManchVegas]

This was in this mornings write up from Gray. There is still hope for some of you massacists. 

 

A trough begins digging into the Mid-Atlantic Sunday sparking
cyclogenesis off the coast of the Carolinas. Meanwhile, high
pressure builds over the northeast making for a mostly dry day
with seasonable high temperatures. The aforementioned low begins
moving northeast up the coast with many ensemble solutions
suggesting high pressure keeps it mostly at sea. However, there
are some notable recent trends in the ensemble guidance. The
wave of interest that ultimately kick starts this is just coming
into range of the RAOB network and really doesn`t enter the
Pacific Northwest until later today. That being said with what
limited recon data the models have been able to incorporate,
they have trended the ridge in the western CONUS more westerly.
This would ultimately allow the low to end up closer to the
coast and result in a greater chance for a more impactful
snowfall for the Northeast. While the majority of ensemble
members are clustered well to the south and east of the
benchmark, there are still more than a few members nearby. It
would be unwise to write this one off just yet until it can be
sampled further.

[Snowcrazed71]

Here's where I'm having trouble with understanding these model runs. Why is there such a difference between two major models? Okay, one's American and one's European, but technology should be pretty equal in today's world, wouldn't you think? It's super frustrating. I'm sure I'm not the only one who feels this way

[Damage In Tolland]

This pack will last well into Morch 

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

I would like JB to retire.

Need to put him and MoreGarbage onto the glass plane like in Superman and send them to space.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This pack will last well into Morch 

Will be gone before or close to it 

[weatherwiz]

Also, after that stretch we had in January to the first part of this month, these temperatures aren't bad lol. Actually feels nice walking outside. I am sure in another month highs of 30's and lower 40's will get old but until then we enjoy

[Henry's Weather]

9 minutes ago, weathafella said:

JB is Kevin if he did strength training 

Shots fired

[VivaManchVegas]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Also, after that stretch we had in January to the first part of this month, these temperatures aren't bad lol. Actually feels nice walking outside. I am sure in another month highs of 30's and lower 40's will get old but until then we enjoy

Maybe it will minimize any flooding risks.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, VivaManchVegas said:

Maybe it will minimize any flooding risks.

I'm not so sure there would be a flood risk from the snow melt alone. Despite the smaller storms we've had and the one biggie, I think we're continuing to run a deficit in the the precipitation column so I think the ground could absorb a quite a bit of snow melt. Now, there could maybe be some issues which arise from ice jams and so forth. 

[Henry's Weather]

Personally dreading the melt - I have a lot of dog poop to collect

[Great Snow 1717]

I wonder how many people actually find enjoyment in this hobby...

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Will be gone before or close to it 

Down to 4-8" here .. with grass popping up under the tree branches and from salted areas .. 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Will be gone before or close to it 

If not early Morch there. Limited QPF SoP tomorrow and whiff Monday. 

[Ginx snewx]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There’s been a really bizarre vibe in this forum the last few days to end winter after the Monday threat. It’s like we’re supposed to pretend we live in Virginia or the Carolinas….i guess the 2022-2024 period was so bad that some thought they actually did live there. 
 

The extended range pattern doesn’t look like an early spring for us either. 

It's a bizarre thought process. Almost afraid to be hurt emotionally so if winter ends happens they won't be hurt. Funny people 

[George001]

2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

I wonder how many people actually find enjoyment in this hobby...

The same people complaining about this winter right now will be looking back at it fondly in 5 years, possibly next year if the El Niño becomes strong.