The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[eduggs]

The NBM and the western leaning models were too aggressive, especially a day or two ago. But the eastern-most models were too dry/east. 

[Ridgewoodweather125]

weenie band literally 5 miles east of me - this is brutal

I’ve had a weenie band 5 miles to my east and 5 miles to my west for the last 90 mins here in Ridgewood while I’ve been getting flurries


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[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

The NBM and the western leaning models were too aggressive, especially a day or two ago. But the eastern-most models were too dry/east. 

A+ by the GFS-a week out seeing it.

[nycsnow]

That band over Nassau is ripping 

[bikerman262]

Ripping on the Upper East Side on my way to work. Half block visibility at most.

[Snowlover11]

Going to go out and measure stuck between two bands. Light snow currently.

[Nibor]

[Winterweatherlover]

3 minutes ago, eduggs said:

This has been one of those winters where the stats say it's been a solid winter, but places to the east have consistently cashed in more on every event, which sours it just a touch. It would probably have been better not to check this forum or the radar.

I can get that, it’s the comparison to others phenomenon. 

[bluewave]

29 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Agree but this was way beyond that.  Just a failure and not close to reality over the areas that got the most snow.

The SPC HREF had the right idea somewhere between its mean and max. The globals and even some models like the RGEM struggle with such dynamic systems. I have often noticed that the best banding usually is just NW of where the globals and even some regionals show.

 

[ForestHillWx]

8 minutes ago, MANDA said:

@ForestHillWx How much you got in Chester just south of me?

About to head out to attempt to confirm; but winds are kicking up finally. Easily 10”+; will circle back. 

[Northof78]

10 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

weenie band literally 5 miles east of me - this is brutal

Hello!

[samdman95]

snow in Chelsea, golden retriever for scale


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[lee59]

I would say about 15 inches here. Was not in the heavy bands as much as areas to my west and east.

[Winterweatherlover]

4 minutes ago, eduggs said:

The NBM and the western leaning models were too aggressive, especially a day or two ago. But the eastern-most models were too dry/east. 

Yes this will be analyzed differently depending on location. Seems the heaviest snow axis was higher and more widespread than the non American models had it but the western cutoff was sharper and further east than some runs. Neither is super surprising knowing how these storms tend to go. 

[doncat]

Just relentless here. Been under this heavy band for several hours now...had an additional 6" from when I shoveled few hours ago, so up to 20" now.

[Brian5671]

Guestimate of 12-14 inches here-snow has picked back up

[coastalplainsnowman]

 

1 minute ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I can get that, it’s the comparison to others phenomenon. 

I used to run a poll asking something along the lines of would you rather get 9" and be in the jackpot, or 12" when Boston gets 20", and the results were heavily in favor of 9" and the jackpot.  I appreciated the honesty.

[wthrmn654]

7 minutes ago, jconsor said:

Thank you!  However, I don't see Montauk wind gusts in the NWS local storm reports.  Do see lots of 60-70 mph gusts across NYC and LI.  So 80-85 mph gusts on Montauk are believable.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/?by=wfo&sts=202602221435&ets=202602231435&settings=0110110

One second

[Northof78]

10 minutes ago, andyhb said:

All-timer satellite image.

Wow, save that one...

[wthrmn654]

3 minutes ago, Nibor said:

Mine looks lower

[Allsnow]

Well over 2feet currently 

 

amazing 

[EW9616]

That band over Nassau is ripping 

Looks better than it is where I am just light snow in Syosset


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[Winterweatherlover]

7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

A+ by the GFS-a week out seeing it.

If any storm has a Boxing Day type look just ride the gfs I guess lol 

[wthrmn654]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=2&highlight=off&glossary=1

[Ridgewoodweather125]

The SPC HREF had the right idea somewhere between its mean and max. The globals and even some models like the RGEM struggle with such dynamic systems. I have often noticed that the best banding usually is just NW of where the globals and even some regionals show.


 

Impressive how it nailed the dry slotting over central Bergen County


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[Northof78]

12 minutes ago, Blizzardo said:

Death band rotating south .. not really moving east! 

Damn right

[Blizzardo]

This is what snow weenies dreams are made of right here! 2" per hour rates right now. 

[wthrmn654]

[Blizzardo]

Just now, Northof78 said:

Damn right

This is insane! 

[mikem81]

8 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

That band over Nassau is ripping 

Yes, I can confirm. Finally western Nassau into good banding. Finally confirmed good measurement by adding the 5pm measurement last night, cleared driveway then and had another 11 at 8am. So 16 inches here as of 8am in Garden City. Hoping we can get to 20