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The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026


Rjay
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Western Suffolk crush job… wow

I’m close to N/S border near cold spring harbor and radar is more impressive than what’s falling for some reason. Would think it would be much harder right now


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2 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

weenie band literally 5 miles east of me - this is brutal

This has been one of those winters where the stats say it's been a solid winter, but places to the east have consistently cashed in more on every event, which sours it just a touch. It would probably have been better not to check this forum or the radar.

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4 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

It's at the light house on that building next next to it.  Nws is using those gusts, they verified in fall when they were 81s well. 

Thank you!  However, I don't see Montauk wind gusts in the NWS local storm reports.  Do see lots of 60-70 mph gusts across NYC and LI.  So 80-85 mph gusts on Montauk are believable.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/?by=wfo&sts=202602221435&ets=202602231435&settings=0110110

CT LI wind gusts as of 930 AM 23 Feb 2026.png

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3 minutes ago, eduggs said:

This has been one of those winters where the stats say it's been a solid winter, but places to the east have consistently cashed in more on every event, which sours it just a touch. It would probably have been better not to check this forum or the radar.

I can get that, it’s the comparison to others phenomenon. 

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29 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Agree but this was way beyond that.  Just a failure and not close to reality over the areas that got the most snow.

The SPC HREF had the right idea somewhere between its mean and max. The globals and even some models like the RGEM struggle with such dynamic systems. I have often noticed that the best banding usually is just NW of where the globals and even some regionals show.

IMG_5855.thumb.jpeg.275d8e9aa723fc096652409970ec9b4f.jpeg

 

IMG_5856.thumb.jpeg.e2af5b4ce2d2315ab4de9dbd4a737583.jpeg

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4 minutes ago, eduggs said:

The NBM and the western leaning models were too aggressive, especially a day or two ago. But the eastern-most models were too dry/east. 

Yes this will be analyzed differently depending on location. Seems the heaviest snow axis was higher and more widespread than the non American models had it but the western cutoff was sharper and further east than some runs. Neither is super surprising knowing how these storms tend to go. 

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1 minute ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I can get that, it’s the comparison to others phenomenon. 

I used to run a poll asking something along the lines of would you rather get 9" and be in the jackpot, or 12" when Boston gets 20", and the results were heavily in favor of 9" and the jackpot.  I appreciated the honesty.

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