2/6-7: Clipper Pack Refresher

[Solution Man]

12 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

This post made me look closely out the window here in Hagerstown. I've seen a few mangled flakes, but this air is super dry this morning so it looks like mostly virga. Maybe those slightly better returns out west of me are doing a little better?

Agree

[KamuSnow]

13 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

This post made me look closely out the window here in Hagerstown. I've seen a few mangled flakes, but this air is super dry this morning so it looks like mostly virga. Maybe those slightly better returns out west of me are doing a little better?

Get a pair of these snow goggles:

[MN Transplant]

6 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

How good are HRRR surface temps?  It barely has DC getting above 10 tomorrow.

Consider them the outlier right now.  Probably a bit too cold.  Mid-teens in the afternoon is a better bet.

[TSSN+]

Just now, MN Transplant said:

Consider them the outlier right now.  Probably a bit too cold.  Mid-teens in the afternoon is a better bet.

The Nam only has 12. Either way it’s going to be cold af 

[poolz1]

Traffic cams show light snow falling just west of HGR.  

[Eskimo Joe]

RH spiked a Clear Spring Mesonet site. Maybe some flurries trying to reach the ground?

[rjvanals]

4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

RH spiked a Clear Spring Mesonet site. Maybe some flurries trying to reach the ground?

Looks like a bit of light snow/flurries at Whitetail 

[WVclimo]

SWS for up to an inch west of the Blue Ridge.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
923 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

MDZ003-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-504-507-508-WVZ050>053-055-
502-504-506-062030-
Washington-Central and Eastern Allegany-Augusta-Rockingham-
Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-
Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Eastern Highland-
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Eastern Grant-
Eastern Mineral-Eastern Pendleton-
Including the cities of Hagerstown, Cumberland, Staunton,
Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock,
Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah,
Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Lovingston, Charlottesville,
Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Orange, Gordonsville,
Culpeper, Monterey, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Romney, Paw Paw,
Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown, Moorefield, Petersburg,
Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville,
Fort Ashby, Brandywine, Franklin, Oak Flat, Ruddle,
and Sugar Grove
923 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

...LIGHT SNOW LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

* WHAT...Light snow likely. Total snow accumulations up to 1 inch,
  with locally higher amounts of 1 to 2 inches possible along the
  ridges.

* WHERE...Shenandoah Valley of Virginia, eastern West Virginia,
  western Maryland and central Virginia.

* WHEN...From 12 PM this afternoon to 6 PM this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions this afternoon and
  evening.

[Eskimo Joe]

Just give me an inch of snow in the metros. It'll blow around and look like deep, deep winter. 

[high risk]

Looks like roughly 3AM(west)-5AM(east) timing for the passage of the arctic front.      

[WxUSAF]

12z IAD sounding shows a very dry 850 mb layer. Rest of the column is “normal” in terms of dew point depression. 

[WxUSAF]

Just now, high risk said:

Looks like roughly 3AM(west)-5AM(east) timing for the passage of the arctic front.      

Think we can get the snow band to hang on over the mountains with it? Euro and NAM have hinted at it…

[WVclimo]

Light snow just started here.  22/12.

[high risk]

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Think we can get the snow band to hang on over the mountains with it? Euro and NAM have hinted at it…

     Maybe?    I haven't looked at the mechanics of why this band is way out ahead of the actual arctic boundary.    Another possibility is a few scattered bursts of snow right on the late night front....

[adelphi_sky]

19 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Just give me an inch of snow in the metros. It'll blow around and look like deep, deep winter. 

I know. Thought we would keep the cloud cover from the morning. But of course the sun comes out. Sigh. Waiting for some snow TV.

[WxUSAF]

4 minutes ago, high risk said:

     Maybe?    I haven't looked at the mechanics of why this band is way out ahead of the actual arctic boundary.    Another possibility is a few scattered bursts of snow right on the late night front....

Yea the burst on the front is what I was asking about. The evening snow today seems associated with a lead shortwave 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

NWS taking the wind threat seriously talking about widespread power outages.  Widespread power outages at 10 degrees is no bueno.  Do we really think that 60 mph gusts are gonna mix down tomorrow?  I am hoping not. 

[IUsedToHateCold]

1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

NWS taking the wind threat seriously talking about widespread power outages.  Widespread power outages at 10 degrees is no bueno.  Do we really think that 60 mph gusts are gonna mix down tomorrow?  I am hoping not. 

The wind always seems to perform. Pretty concerned for my area as BGE has become so unreliable that the power goes out in anything faster than a light breeze. 

Hope to see measurable snow, won't be surprised if all we get is a few snow squalls. 

[Kmlwx]

The one thing that may spare us from more damaging amounts of power outages are that the trees are bare. Heck of a lot more damaging when they have all the leaves to act like a sail. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

The amount of hazards on the LWX page is crazy.  Heavy freezing spray advisory!  Never seen that one.

[dailylurker]

17 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

The one thing that may spare us from more damaging amounts of power outages are that the trees are bare. Heck of a lot more damaging when they have all the leaves to act like a sail. 

Exactly. Our forest definitely can handle a nw wind up to 60. An east wind at 60 is different. This kinda wind will clean out dead wood so that could cause a power outage. But widespread tree damage isn't happening with a nw wind during winter.

[GreyHat]

Car navigation radar

[Wxtrix]

it's been flurrying for the last half hour.

[CatoctinRN]

Carroll County just sent an email they  are closing schools 2hrs early due to projected weather . 

[Eskimo Joe]

Looking west towards the Catoctin Mts. from Carroll County. They're vanishing into some kind of haze as the radar lights up to my west. Wonder if there's a burst of snow with this activity?

[paxpatriot]

4 minutes ago, CatoctinRN said:

Carroll County just sent an email they  are closing schools 2hrs early due to projected weather . 

WCPS just called the same. 

[CatoctinRN]

Frederick County schools also!

[yoda]

Extreme Cold Warnings expanded

[yoda]

2 minutes ago, yoda said:

Extreme Cold Warnings expanded

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
929 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

DCZ001-MDZ013-014-018-504-VAZ053-054-501-505-506-526-527-070000-
/O.UPG.KLWX.CW.Y.0011.260207T0900Z-260208T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KLWX.EC.W.0004.260207T0900Z-260208T1500Z/
/O.CON.KLWX.HW.W.0001.260207T0900Z-260208T0000Z/
District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Calvert-Central
and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls
Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern
Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince
William/Manassas/Manassas Park-
929 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Extreme Cold Warning, dangerously cold wind chills
  around or lower than 10 degrees below zero expected. For the High
  Wind Warning, northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of DC, central and southern Maryland, and
  northern Virginia.

* WHEN...For the Extreme Cold Warning, from 4 AM Saturday to 10 AM
  EST Sunday. For the High Wind Warning, from 4 AM to 7 PM EST
  Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low
  as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are
  not taken. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected
  skin is exposed to these temperatures.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chills are expected to remain below zero
  for at least 24 hours beginning Saturday morning and continuing
  through late Sunday morning. Being outdoors for a prolonged period
  of time will be life-threatening.

[Chris78]

Flurries here in Smithsburg